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Thursday, February 28, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 3/1



A new month is finally upon us. There are some pretty tough picks today but hopefully my write ups will continue to do well. The rest will be posted in the next couple of hours. I updated a few of my picks with some further research.

My new pick of the day is Princeton. I hope everyone will see this in time to switch if you wish.

7:35 Lee Westwood- Fowler shot a 4 under on the back nine yesterday. I don’t think he does that again. I think Westwood is a more consistent golfer and should win this prop. Prediction Westwood -2 Fowler- E. Confidence: 2


12:25  Jason Dufner or Tie- This is really a toss up in my mind. They shot they exact score yesterday. I think Dufner is a better and more consistent golfer. Confidence: 1


12:30 Silkeborg win or draw- I think this is the safer pick. Silkeborg beat Aalborg not too long ago. I think a draw is the most likely outcome. Prediction draw. Confidence: 2


2:45 Napoli win or draw. Once again I think this is a safer pick just because it wouldn’t surprise me if Napoli did end up winning this game. I think there just in better form right now and should be able to pull out atleast a draw. Prediction draw. Confidence: 3

3:00Getafe confidence: 3

3:11 10 strokes- confidence:2

7:00 Indiana Pacers- The only reason I think you would pick the Raptors would be you think they bounce back after a horrible performance against the Cavs, they play better at home and Pacers aren’t a great road team. Pacers will also be playing on back to back nights. Hibbert will be back for this game. I think it will be close but I think Indiana is a much better team the Toronto. Confidence:3



7:00 New York Knicks The Knicks have struggled recently but I think they are such a better team than the Wizards. I think it will be close but the Knicks should pull out a victory. Confidence:4


7:03 Princeton Tigers –I hate when I see the odds for the games before I do the write-ups. But I did for this game. I’m in shock that Princeton is a 6 point favorite considering Harvard beat them earlier this year. I don’t watch Ivy League basketball but 6 points is a lot to pass up. Confidence:5


7:03 Iona Gaels- Once again we have a team that is a big favorite based off of odds. Iona is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. There beat Loyola at Loyola earlier this year. I feel fairly confident in this pick because Iona is a good team. But it is hard to beat a team twice in one year. Confidence:4

7:03 Iona leading at halftime- confidence:3


7:30 Boston Celtics – I think this is one of the best picks of the day. Steph Curry has been on fire recently but I think Boston will cool him down. Boston tough at home. Golden state struggles sometimes on the road. Boston should win this game. Confidence:4


8:00 Edmonton Oilers- Both of these teams are playing on back to back days. Halak is in net for the Blues tonight so I assume he wont be tomorrow. Blues have struggled to score and haven’t played well when Halak isn’t the goalie. So I think Edmonton should win. Confidence:3


8:00 New Orleans Hornets – These are 2 bad teams. But the Hornets play a lot better at home. If Davis is ruled out I might switch to the Pistons but I think the Hornets are a better team and should get a win. Confidence:3


8:00 Brooklyn Nets – I think on paper a lot of people will see this as one of the better picks of the day. But I’m a believer that teams bounce back most of the time especially a team that is talented as the Mavs. I wouldn’t pick the Mavs to the win but I’m not confident in the Nets. Confidence:2


8:10 Heat win by Double Digits- These are 2 of the hotter teams in the NBA. Even though I think Randolph will dominate down low I don’t think Memphis has enough to slow down the Heat.  Confidence:3


8:11 Conley Points- I think this is just a safer pick because Lebron will make free throws. If conley gets somewhere around 10 points which I think he should then he should win this prop. Confidence: 3


9:00 Atlanta Hawks- Another NBA matchup that on paper seems like an easy pick. But I think the Suns have been playing a lot better since they got the other Morris brother. I cant pick the Suns to win but I think this could be a letdown game for Atlanta. Ill say Atlanta wins a close  game. Confidence:3

9:05 Manhattan - Confidence:2

9:30 Any Other Result- Hard to say right now but the spread is only 8. Depends what happens in the first half but if Miami is up big in the first half I think this would be a better pick. Confidence:2


10:00 Anaheim Ducks- Ducks are on fire right now and it makes me wonder if there due for a bad game soon. But on paper this looks like a really good pick since Minnesota is going to be tired from playing tonight. Confidence:3


10:30 Oklahoma City Thunder- what a game this should be. But I cant pick against OKC even if Denver has only lost 3 home games. Denver is good but OKC is better. Confidence:3

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

SFTC picks for Thursday 2/28

Not a bad day on day 2. Went 10-8. It seems the picks I feel better about seem to always lose so maybe everyone should pick against them.

I will make these write ups short but Ill make sure the picks will be ready to go on March 1.




7:25- Tiger Woods- Ive been flip flopping on this pick. Tiger is the favorite of the tournament hard to pick against him even though I usually like the tie option on day 1. Confidence:2



12:25 Rory McIlroy-  I like Rory I think he should post a solid round but nothing to go off of other than your gut and the odds makers. Confidence:2


1:30  Silvasspor win or draw- Confidence:1

2:45 Khlmkl Moscow- Confidence 1

7:00 Islanders- Confidence 1

7:03 North Carolina- Confidence 3

7:04 11 or fewer- Confidence 2

7:05 Northwestern-  Confidence 2

 7:05 Clippers- Confidence: 4


7:30 Florida Panthers- Confidence 2

8:10 Clemson FT- Confidence 1

8:10 76ers 3 pters- Confidence:2

9:05 South Carolina- Confidence 2

9:06 Duke- Confidence 4

9:06 62 or fewer- Confidence 2

10:10 Free Throw- Confidence 1





Tuesday, February 26, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 2/27





I’m onto day 2 of write-ups. I have to say its bittersweet feeling. On one side I’m happy with myself for going 12-5 and having a solid day. On the other hand I’m pissed that I was so confident in Barcelona. To the people that actually read this and I hope that people will actually follow my picks. SOCCER IS NOT MY SPORT. I guess I should convince people to follow my basketball picks considering I was 9-2 on those. 

As far as my picks go for today. There are no picks that would be worthy of a long streak but we are at the end of the month. The picks that I am most confident about are the Raptors, Colorado and 19 or more. Toronto Raptors is the lock of the day unless Kyrie Irving gets ruled out then I will probably switch to the Raptors. Feel free to let me know if you have any questions. Hope everyone enjoys and good luck. 




10:15 7 games or more- I think Roger will want to come out and bounce back. But its hard for me to not take the over. I think Marcel will give Roger a hard time and could even win a set. Prediction 6-4, 6-3. Confidence:3


2:30 Bayern Munich- They look like a solid pick today at home. There in good form and see no reason why not to pick them. Prediction 2-1. Confidence:4


2:45Middlebrough win draw or lose by 1- I think this is just a safer pick. Chelsea is more than capable of winning by 2 goals but I think the likelihood is they wont. Middlesbrough is at home and will play tough. Prediction Chelsea 3-2. Confidence:3


7:03 Georgetown- Georgetown is coming off a huge win and is arguably one of the hottest teams in the country. I think this game should be pretty close and low scoring but its hard to pick against Georgetown . Prediction Hoyas 62-58. Confidence:3


7:03 Shabazz Napier or Tie- I think since Napier is at home and should get more shots than Porter. Prediction Napier-8 Porter-7. Confidence:3


7:04 Oklahoma State wins by 15- I don’t see any way that Oklahoma St would lose this game. But I think TCU could come out and play tough but OK ST is still a much better team and should handle TCU. Prediction 75-58. Confidence:4


7:05 Toronto Raptors- My pick right now is based on the fact that Kyrie Irving might not play and the Cavs will be playing on back to back days. If Kyrie is definitely not playing then I will be a lot more confident about this pick. Prediction 95-87. Confidence:4


7:05 Orlando Magic- 2 really bad NBA teams. Don’t really know what to say about this game. Magic seem like they should win since there the home team. Prediction 90-88. Confidence:2


7:35 Montreal Canadiens- 2 teams that are having decent years. I think the Canadiens are pretty good and should bounce back after a shutout loss against the Islanders. Prediction 3-2. Confidence:3


8:10 Warriors 3 pointers or tie- Tough pick for me. I think Golden State should keep this game close. The Knicks have really been struggling lately. The Knicks are tough at home but I think that Warriors will knock down enough 3s to win. Prediction 3pts- 8 Knicks-6. Confidence:3


8:11 Melo and Stoudemire- I cant pick against Melo in this prop. Every thing that I look for in a prop like this points to the NY duo. Melo will shoot on half of NY possessions and I don’t think anyone one the Warriors can guard him. Prediction NY-26 GS-22. Confidence:5


8:11 19 or more- I dont think anyone on Golden State can cover Melo. I think he will come out firing in the first half. I feel like this is a safe pick. Prediction 20. Confidence:4


9:05 Texas Longhorns- This should be a tight game. Dont believe that Oklahoma is that good. But just a total gut call. Prediction 68-66. Confidence:2


9:06 Any Other Result- I think Depaul will play tough against Louisville. I think Louisville could have a bit of a let down game here. I just think its hard to win by blow teams out on the road in the Big East even if it is Depaul. Prediction Louisville wins by 12-13. Confidence:3


9:30 No- I think the only player who would score the 9 would be Carmelo. As much as I like Carmelo to have a good game its just hard for me to say he'll score  9 points in a quarter.  Maybe I would change this is Melo or NY has a bad first half. Confidence:3


10:05 Anaheim Ducks- This is a lot tougher matchup based on the pick percentages. The Ducks have beaten the Preds twice this year both in a shootout. As much as I think its hard to beat a team 3 times I cant pick against the Ducks. Prediction 4-2. Confidence:2


10:40 Denver Nuggets- I think Denver is a much better team even though they struggle on the road. I dont think Portland is very good. The fact that Gallinari might not play kind of scares me but i think they should still win. If Gallinari is playing then I would make this a 4.   Prediction 98-94. Confidence:3


11:05 Colorado Buffaloes- I dont have a whole of analysis to say about this game. I think Colorado is one of the top teams in the conference and I dont think Stanforad is that good. I cant find out why I would pick Stanford. Prediction  71-66. Confidence:4


11:06 Pepperdine Free Throws Made or Tie- I dont think St. Mary's blows them out completely. I think Pepperdine should keep this some what close and make enough free throws. Prediction FTs-12 St. Marys-10. Confidence:3