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Sunday, March 31, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 4/1

The excitement that a new month is finally upon us!!!!

I will say that most of these picks are really toss ups. Since its hard to really determine how some of these pitchers and baseball teams will play. But here goes nothing.



If I hear of any updates or make any changes to my picks I'll try to update them on here quick enough or will tweet them @danossftcpicks. Let me know what you guys think of my picks. I believe the best pick of the day is the Los Angeles Dodgers. Best of luck to everyone today.



730 Manchester United- Both of these teams played acouple of days ago. So its hard to say because we dont know the lineups and how many minutes some key players will play. But I think Manchester United is just the better team. Chelsea has some injuries and really arent in good form. I think ManU will lead off the month with the green.  Confidence:2

105 Boston Red Sox- Tough to pick a road team on opening day but I'm going to do it. Lester didnt have a great year last year and I'm thinking he will rebound this year. This is a tough stadium for him to do that in but the Yankees lineup doesnt scare me. The only hitter is Cano who does scare me. I think as long as they keep him in check the Red Sox will score enough runs to win this game. Here are the projected lineups. Confidence:4

1. CF: Brett Gardner
2. RF: Ichiro Suzuki
3. 2B: Robinson Cano                                                                
4. 1B: Kevin Youkilis
5. DH: Ben Francisco
6. LF: Vernon Wells
7. SS: Eduardo Nunez
8. 3B: Jayson Nix
9. C: Chris Stewart

1. CF: Jacoby Ellsbury
2. RF: Shane Victorino
3. 2B: Dustin Pedroia
4. 1B: Mike Napoli
5. 3B: Will Middlebrooks
6. DH: Jonny Gomes
7. C: Jarrod Saltalamacchia
8. LF: Jackie Bradley
9. SS: Jose Iglesias

105 No HR- Complete tossup. Yankee stadium is a hitters ball park but these pitchers are tough. If the yes happens I'm thinking Cano or Napoli. This is just the safer pick. Confidence:2


110 New York Mets- I think this game could go either way but I like the Mets. Volquez is inconsistency really scares me and is one of the main reasons for this pick. I think Niese is a really under valued pitcher. I think the Mets also have a hitting advantage as well. Confidence:3


210 Milwaukee Brewers- I think this is a no brainer pick but its opening day so maybe they put this up for a reason. Gallardo is clearly the better pitcher and the Brewers have a better lineup because of Ryan Braun. Confidence:4

1. CF: Dexter Fowler
2. 2B: Josh Rutledge
3. LF: Carlos Gonzalez
4. SS: Troy Tulowitzki
5. RF: Michael Cuddyer
6. 1B: Todd Helton
7. C: Wilin Rosario
8. 3B: Chris Nelson
9. SP: Jhoulys Chacin

1. RF: Norichika Aoki
2. 2B: Rickie Weeks
3. LF: Ryan Braun
4. 3B: Aramis Ramirez
5. C: Jonathan Lucroy
6. 1B: Alex Gonzalez
7. CF: Carlos Gomez
8. SS: Jean Segura
9. SP: Yovani Gallardo





300 Fulham- I think Fulham is once again the better team. I like QPR but they are 2-4-9 on the road which scares me. Fulham is 6-3-5 at home and is in pretty good form and have got atleast a draw in there last 12 games except when playing Manchester United or Manchester City. I think the same thing happens here I think they at least get a draw but I would predict a 2-1 win. Confidence:3


405 Los Angeles Dodgers- Two of the best picthers in the game go head to head with Cain vs Kershaw. I give a slight edge to Kershaw. I only see 2 good hitters in the Giants lineup being Sandoval and Posey. Then you go to the Dodgers lineup with Crawford, Kemp, Gonzalez and Either. Confidence:4

410 Los Angeles Angeles- Cueto is coming off an unbelievable season last year. I'm unsure if he can duplicate it again this year. I think he could struggle with the Angels lineup. I think Pujols has seen him enough times when he was with the Carindals to feel good going against him. My reason for this pick is the Angels lineup is better. I think the power hitters will thrive in playing in Great American Ball Park. Confidence:3

410 Chicago White Soxs- I like both of these 2 pitchers. The Royals were one of the worst teams in MLB last year. I think that continues this year. Confidence:3


703 Phillies- Hamels has pitched really well this spring. Its really hard to find a reason to pick against the Phillies when he is on the mound. I like the Braves changes they have made in the offseason. But I think this game is a tossup and would give the edge to the Phillies cause of Hamels. Confidence:2

704 4 or more- Hamels is one the best strikeout pitchers against one of the lineups that I think will strike out the most. I think as long as Hudson strikes out one batter than there should be 4. Confidence:3

705 New Jersey Devils- Tough game to pick. I really dont like to pick the Devils without Kovalchuk but they have played well at home against the Islanders. Islanders have played well on the road. All of the odds are saying New Jersey is a huge favorite kind of unsure why but I wont pick against them at home. Confidence:2

705 New York Rangers- Winnipeg has played really well this year and has really exceeded my expectations of them. Winnipeg has beat the Rangers twice already this year. But I think the Rangers need this game and wont want to get swept by Winnipeg. Confidence:3

733 Any Other Result- I think Kentucky is a good enough team to compete with UCONN. Confidence:3

805 Minnesota Wild- They are one of the hottest teams in the league. They are 13-3-1 at home. I'm not a huge fan of the Blues and it wouldnt totally shock me if they won this game. But I think the Wild take this game. Confidence:2

805 Memphis Grizzlies- Spurs lost a heart breaker to Miami today. Hard to say what will happen in this game but I dont like teams playing on back to back days. Memphis is tough at home. Confidence:3

805 No run- I dont think there is really any use in my doing a writeup for this pick. These pitchers are both solid. But the top of the order should be up batting for the second time. Could go either way.  Confidence:2

805 Boston Celtics- Once again I dont like teams playing on back to back days especially older teams. Its hard to pick the Timberwolves but I could see this game going either way. Confidence:2

933 Georgia Bulldogs- Maybe this pick is a little biased. Now I dont watch a lot of womens basketball but I felt Georgia was really underseeded. I picked them to go to the final four in my bracket so I'm sticking with it. Confidence:3

935 Edmonton- Calgary just traded away their captain. They havent played well as a team of late. They are 3-10-2 on the road. Edmonton is a young team that has been playing well of late. I think they should take this game. Confidence:4

1005 Seattle Mariners- Once again this game is a toss up with 2 of the best starters in the MLB. I dont think there should be anything else to say except how can you pick against King Felix. Confidence:3

1005 St. Louis Cardinals- If you will follow my picks throughout the season you will see that I will tend to almost always pick them. I just think they are really talented. They have one of the best lineups in all of MLB from top to bottom. I really like Wainright but its hard to say how he'll come out and pitch. I dont think Kennedy is good so I dont see why the Cardinals dont win this game. Confidence:4


1035 Los Angeles Clippers- Its hard to ever pick against the Clippers. They have lost 2 in a row and I think they come out really hungry for this game. Pacers have really struggled on the road this year. Confidence:3

1035 Vancouver Canucks- I could really see this game going either way. But in a 50-50 game like this one I usually like to pick the better team. In my opinion thats Vancouver. It does kind of scare me that San Jose has played so well at home though. I think the Canucks will want to erase a bad loss at Edmonton over the weekend. Confidence:2

Saturday, March 30, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 3/31

Only 1 more day until we can start a new month.



830 Aston Villa- Confidence:1
1140 Andy Murray- Confidence:2
1203 Notre Dame- Confidence:2
1230 Detroit- Confidence:1
135 Any Other- Confidence:4
220 Florida- Confidence:2
505 Louisville- Confidence:2
600 Capitals- Confidence:1
600 Kings- Confidence:2
705 Heat- Confidence:3
810 No strikeout- Confidence:1
905 Yes HR- Confidence:2

Friday, March 29, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 3/30

I cant even put in to words the shock I am in that Kansas blew that lead late. Its offical that all of my brackets are done so oh well.

I will just post my picks but I will make sure I put full writeups for April 1st.



845 Sunderland- Confidence:2
1205 John Hopkins- Confidence:1
1215 Serena 2-0- Confidence:2
100 Bruins- Confidence:3
130 Kokrak- Confidence:1
300 Nashville-Confidence:2
340 NY Red Bulls- Confidence:1
430 Marquette- Confidence:2
700 Buffalo-Confidence:1
700 Ottawa-Confidence:3
705 Wichita St 3s- Confidence:3
706 Any other player- Confidence:3
730 Florida- Confidence:2
800 Clippers-Confidence:1
800 Minnesota- Confidence:3
810 34 or more-Confidence:4
1040 Chivas USA- Confidence:1

Thursday, March 28, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 3/29

Started yesterday off great and finished awful.  My Marquette pick was golden.

I need to vent about Indiana. I'm really dissapointed in the way they played. I feel Tom Crean didnt do a good job at making the right adjustments to the zone. They let Syracuse dominate in the paint and let them dictate the tempo. I dont want to take anything away from Syracuse but what a dissappointing performance from Indiana as a whole team.

Anyways here are my picks. Most of them I will just post my picks since it is the end of the month. If I decidee to do a writeup it will be for the Kansas/Michigan game.

IS IT APRIL YET?


900 Snedeker- Confidence:1

1200 Bronby-Confidence:2

200 Westwood-Confidence:1

205 5 or fewer- Confidence:1

307 Any Other- Confidence:2

330 Paris Saint Germain- Confidence:2

435 Mass- Confidence:3

715 Louisville DD- Confidence:2

730 Cavaliers- Confidence:2

730 Celtics- Confidence:2

730 Raptors- Confidence:1

730 Lightning- Confidence:3

737 Kansas- Confidence:3

737 McLemore and Withey- Confidence:2

830 Wild- Confidence:2

855 71 or more- Confidence:3

945 Michigan St- Confidence:3

1010 FGCU FT- Confidence:3

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 3/28

Really not an exciting day for picks but atleast March Madness will be starting back up. I will be posting most of my analysis on just the college basketball games.


850 Hunter Mahan- Confidence:2

103 Washington Nationals- Gio Gonzalez is the projected starter. Confidence:3

150 Keegan Bradley- Confidence:1

310 20 games or fewer- Confidence:2

715 Marquette 3 pters- The way I'm interpretating this pick is basically if its straight up. Marquette 3 pt shooting is almost non existent. I am a really big Marquette fan and hearing everyone say they're going to just lose this game because they squeaked by there last 2 games isnt a good enough reason for me. Its just the way Marquette plays. They rotate a ton of bodies and  play so aggressive on the defensive end. Miami is a really exciting team to watch and I  look at them as a very similar team to Marquette but with the shooting power that Marquette doesnt have.  There are 2 things I have against Miami. One is these players have never made it this far in the tournament. They are mature but they are not experienced which I look at as a huge factor in a critical game like this. On the other hand Marquette has made it to the sweet 16 for the third consecutive year. The other reason I dont like Miami is the injury to Reggie Johnson. You dont just erase a guy who averages around 20 minutes a game with 7 pts and 7 boards.  I think it will throw off there rotation and will have to call on some other players to play large amounts of minutes. Which is where I see the critical areas coming into play. With increased minutes Miami will be tired late in the game which I see them throwing a lead away late. Miami ranks 210 in the nation in free throw percentage and granted that is mainly due to there big men but is still not a good number for a team this far in the tournament.  I ultimatley see the difference coming down to rebounding. I see Marquette dominating the boards and getting a lot of second chance points due to their style and hustle. Buzz Williams will have this team ready to play. They will grind out this game. It might be slow and it probably wont be pretty but I believe if they dont win it will be very close and will green the 3pters. My prediction is Marquette hits 5 3s and wins 66-64. Confidence:4

730 Senators- Confidence:4

747 Ohio State- This is a really tough pick for me to do a writeup about since I can see this game going either way. I really dont like Ohio State and think they are really overrated. But I still think they win this game. The key thing I see about this game and it has been about me picking Belmont to beat Arizona is this. How you beat Arizona is stopping Lyons. Kraft is the best on ball defender in college basketball. I dont see Lyons having a great game so I think Arizona will struggle. Sean Miller is a great coach though who coached under Thad Matta. It should be noted this game is in LA which gives a traveling edge to Zona. Ultimately I think Ohio St will be able to win this game 68-62. Confidence:3

747 9 or fewer- Thomas will shoot a lot and this is uncharacteristic of me. But I believe Sean Miller will try to game plan around stopping Thomas. Confidence:2

800 Lakers- Confidence:3

800 Blues- Confidence:2

830 Dallas Mavs- Confidence:4

900 No- confience:1

930 Edmonton - Confidence:3

945 Indiana winning margin- Syracuse has been impressive in their games in the tournament. But I think there run stops here. The most players for Syracuse to make 3s would be 6. I think 4 make them. The key I think to this game will come down to 3pt shooting for Indiana. Which I think with the flexible of Indiana's wing guys will be able to penetrate the zone and find open shooters. I think giving Tom Crean 4 days to prepare for this zone will be all they will need. This team will come out fired up and ready to play. I think they win by around 7-9 points. Confidence:4

1017 La Salle 3s- Eveyrone had these 2 teams right? La Salle is a pretty solid shooting team. I think they have a shot to win this game. Wichita St is know for their toughness. I see a high scoring game where La Salle hits around 6 or 7 3s. I do think Wichita St wins this game though. Confidence:3

1030 Red Wings- Confidence:2

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 3/27

I apologize for the technical difficulties so I'm going to start doing writeups for Wednesday already.


900 Traktor-Confidence:1

105 Tigers- Verlander vs Hamels. Verlander hasnt pitched well in Spring Training but its hard to pick against them and they are the better team. I always like to check the lineup before hand to make sure the best players are playing.  Confidence:2

115 18 or fewer- This is a tough pick. I think its a sure thing that Sharapova wins in straight sets so its just a matter of will Errani be able to have 1 good set. Sharapova won yesterday 6-2 6-2 while Errani went to 3 sets. I think Sharapova is more rested and will handle this game. If it goes over it will be no more than 20 but I just dont see that happening. Confidence:2

310 9 or 10- I'm not exactly sure why everyone is picking any other here. Ferrer is -800 to win the first set. I see Melzer winning getting at least a couple of points. I think the 2 most likely numbers are 3 or 4. I feel that this is a pretty decent pick though. I think people that will research this pick will see that any other would have won the last time these 2 played on hard surface. But it was a couple of years ago. I think Ferrer is in real good form and he'll win the first set 6-4. Confidence:3

703 Virginia winning margin - To me Virginia seemed to be motivated and playing well in the NIT. They are a very good home team. Iowa is a pretty good team but they only average around 5 threes a game. Virginia is a very good defensive team. I think they win by around 7 or 8 which I think should be enough for this prop. Confidence:3

705 Charlotte- Charlotte has been playing better lately and Orlando hasnt. Neither of these teams are good so I give the advantage to the home team. Confidence:2

705 Hawks- I dont have a lot to say about this game. Atlanta is around a 500 team on the road and Toronto is around a 500 team at home. If Rudy Gay doesnt play I would feel better about this pick but if he does play like I suspect then this will be a tight game and I dont feel good about either side. Confidence:1

705 Cavaliers- Boston plays tonight in a tough game against the Knicks. I dont feel great about this pick but Cavs play better at home and Celtics dont play well on the road. One stat I found is Boston is 1-4 in the last five games against Cleveland. Confidence:2

705 76ers- This is the 4th game between the 2 teams this year. The Bucks have won all 3 this year. 76ers are tough at home and I dont see the Bucks winning all 4 of these games. Confidence:3

735 Grizzlies- Knicks are tough at home but I think that Memphis's bigs are too dominate down low and will dominate the post. If Chandler does play I might switch this pick. Knicks have a lot of old bodies that I think will struggle playing on back to back days even if they are playing at home. Confidence:3

805 Southern Miss winning margin- BYU averages close to 6 3s a game. I think BYU is good but Southern Miss is just better. I think BYU will struggle with Southern Miss's athletism. If Southern Miss comes out and plays like they have all season then they should win this prop. Confidence:3

805 Rockets- They are 25-10 at home and the Pacers are 15-19 on the road. Rockets are 7-3 in their last 10 games and are on a 3 game win streak. Confidence:3

810 Bulls 3 pts- I think the Bulls will compete in this game. It seems the Heat have tried to cruise in the first half of their last couple games. I think if they try that they could still win but it wont be by much. The Bulls arent a great shooting team but i think if they 6 or 7 they should win this prop. Confidence:4

811 19 or fewer- feel this is a safer pick because Wade is back, heat are on the road and Bulls are solid defesinvely Confidence:2

905 Baylor DD- I think Pierre Jackson wants to go out as a champ. I think they are a far better team. Playing at home will be a plus. Providence is also just 4-7 on the road. Confidence:3

930 No-I feel this is a better pick but it depends on how the first half goes. Confidence:2

1005 Calgary Flames- These 2 teams are division foes. Colorado has won both there 2 games this season. Colorado hasnt been playing well recently and they are 2-10-3 on the road. These are two average teams that I both kind of like. I would feel a lot better about this pick but Calgary will be playing on back to back days. Confidence:3

1005 Sharks- This is game 5 of theire season series. The Ducks have won 3 of the 4 games this All have been tight games. I expect to be the same. Basically my reason for the picks is the Sharks are 8-1-4 at home this year. Granted they havent played well recenlty but I think they need this game much more than the Ducks do. Confidence:2

1040 Portland- They are tough at home and think they win this game. Confidence:2

Tuesday 3/26

I finally figured out the problem so I will post the picks now.


David Ferrer 2-0- Confidence:3
Azerbaijan- Confidence:2
Cardinals- Confidence:3
 France- Confidence:2
UNC 3s- Confidence:2
Carolina- Confidence:2
Knicks- Confidence:2
Alabama-Confidence:2
Alabama lead at half- Confidence:2
Pistons- Confidence:1
Tampa Bay- Confidence:2
Flyers-Confidence:1
No 10+-Confidence:2
Baylor by 35- Confidence:3
Clippers-Confidence:2
Mexico-Confidence:2


Sunday, March 24, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 3/25


I will hopefully add some more info on the later picks. I'll let people know if I change any of my picks via twitter.




1000 Tiger by 2- I feel this is just the better pick. Im pretty confident that Tiger will win the tournament but dont know how I feel him winning by 2. That is because he wont be playing to win by 2 or more. The only golfers that I could see screwing this up are Keegan Bradley and Ricky Fowler. They are both 3 shots back. But with my brief research on the rest of todays pick I feel that this is the best pick. Confidence:4

1110 7 or more- I dont really have any analysis on womens tennis but I just feel this is a better play because this is the basically the elite eight matchup. I know Na is pretty good but the other player just beat Wozniacki. Confidence:2

105 Orioles- Godfrey vs McFarland. I never heard of either. Flip a coin maybe. Confidence:1

155 Any Other- This pick kind of depends on what the score is at the point in the tournament. If he is up a couple of strokes he might lay up and play for a bogey. Which is what he did the last time this pick was up a couple of weeks ago. I will try to announce my pick on twitter since I will probably be watching the tournament.  Confidence:2

330 Brazil win- Confidence:2

703 Providence DD- Providence is tough at home and Robert Morris is coming off an emotional win against Kentucky. I think Robert Morris wont carry about there season anymore. Confidence:3

705 Any Other- Confidence:1

705 Grizzlies- Confidence:2

710 Any Other- This pick will probably depend on what happens with Wade. Confidence:2

735 Ottawa- I feel pretty confident in this pick because Kovalchuk is going be out for a couple of weeks. Confidence:3

805 Blackhawks- Confidence:2

835 Dallas- Confidence:1

905 BYU winning margin- Confidence:2

945 South Florida- Confidence:2

1005 Anaheim- Confidence:2

1005 Southern Miss DD- Confidence:2

1005 Phoenix- Confidence:2

1035 Golden State- Confidence:2

Saturday, March 23, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 3/24





930  Rwanda win or draw- Confidence:1

1103 Virginia DD- Confidence:2

1205 Duke by 30- Confidence:2

1216 Iowa ST- I really think Iowa St has a shot to win this game. I think they will keep it close and have the athletes to play with Ohio St. I think the key to play win against Ohio St is to not let Kraft get going. I think Lucious is a very good defender who could do just that. Ohio St impressed me in their first game but it was against Iona. Confidence:3

140 Tiger Woods- Confidence:3

245 Temple FT- Indiana is very good and should win this game but I think Temple is athletic enough to match up with Indianas front line. I think Indiana struggles with physical teams which Temple is. I dont see Indiana blowing temple out so thats basically my analysis on this pick. Temple averages around 15 FT per game.  Confidence:3

300 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:2

505 Any Other- Confidence:1

505 Chicago Fire- Confidence:1

515 North Carolina 3 pts- If you follow my picks you would know that I'm a huge UNC fan. North Carolina has been playing better ever since they switched their lineup to starting four guards. The weakness to doing that is they dont have a solid post presence on offense or defense. Withey should have a huge game as long as he stays out of foul trouble. If McAddo is in foul trouble this could be a bad game. My prediction is Kansas wins this game pretty easily but I would pick the 3s just because it will be high scoring game and UNC will be shooting a ton. Confidence:3

610 Minnesota- I think Tubby has these guys playing really well. More of a gut call than anything. But I believe that Minnesota is very good defensively and can really contain Florida. Confidence:3

700 Bulls- Confidence:1

700 Spurs-Confidence:2

711 San Diego ST- I think they come out and play well against this Cinderella story. They are really athletic I dont see Florida Gulf Coast playing that well on back to back games. Confidence:3

735 Any other- Confidence:2

741 Ole Miss- Tough game for me to do a writeup on since I really havent watched that much of either team. Henderson is tough and I think they should win. Confidence:2

800 Calgary - Confidence:3

800 Vancouver- Confidence:2

841 Miami DD- I think Miami pounds Illinois. I have not been a fan of Illinois all year. I think they will defend Paul well and he will struggle. Confidence:4

841 61 or fewer-Confidence:2

900 Kings- Confidence:3

941 Creighton 3pts- I think Duke could struggle guarding Mcdermott. Creighton is a good team and I see them having to shoot a lot of 3s to stay in this game. Confidence:2

1010 7 or fewer- Confidence:2






Friday, March 22, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 3/23

I apologize for being busy the past couple of days I will try to post atleast some information on every prop. I hope these picks will start to change in my favor.



842 Graeme McDowell- Both of these golfers have struggled in their first 2 rounds. I think they will both shoot somewhere around par to 1 under. If this was 18 holes I would feel a lot better. But I think Graeme with the tie option is a pretty decent pick. Confidence:3

1203 Alabama- I think Alabama is a better team than Stanford. They are 14-3 at home this year and I think they should win this game. Confidence:3

1218 VCU- I have said all season that VCU is built to make a run in this tournament. Most of the games that Michigan has struggled this year has been when Trey Burke hasnt been able to get going. I think VCU will harass him with their depth and tire him out with their press. VCU also has a big edge in the post. Confidence:4

130 Any Other- I really hope they dont win by 50. Confidence:3

150 Justin Rose- I think Rose is just a better golfer. Confidence:3

200 Wild- The wild have been playing really good hockey of late. I think they should win this game. Confidence:3

245 Memphis 3 pointers- I know Memphis isnt a great 3 pt shooting team. But they are extremely athletic and I think match up well with Michigan St. I see them having a shot to win this game. I think they should win this prop if they hit 5 or 6 3s. Confidence:3

345 DC United- Confidence:1

420 Cal by 20- Confidence:2

518 Louisville DD- Colorado St doesnt have great guards which is what you will need to play against Louisville. I wouldnt risk a high streak on this pick because Colorado ST will have a rebounding edge and could keep this game close. I think Louisville is too talented and their press will be too much. Confidence:3

610 Arizona DD- Since I watched Arizona entire last game. I was really impressed with the way Sean Miller had this team prepared. This team will go as far as Lyons wants to take them. If he plays even close to the way he played on Thursday they should win easily. I think Arizonas guards are way too talented for Harvard. I will be rooting for Harvard though. Confidence:4

700 Detroit- 2 really bad teams. No idea who wins. Confidence:2

710 Saint Louis- Both of these teams are coming off impressive wins on Thursday. Seeing SLU play all year being an  A10 fan, I think they have too much leadership and really want to dedicate this run to Majerus. I think Oregon will keep this close but I think SLU is just more talented then Oregon in almost every phase. Confidence:4


745 Marquette- I have been waiting for this game whenever the brackets have came out. I think Butler will really struggle with a team that is more athletic and physical than them. Marquette does scare me because of the flaws in their game which include lacking of outside shooting. Since they arent a great shooting team it means that this will be a lower scoring game which means Butler will be in this game. I think the main key to stopping or beating Butler is defending Clarke. I think he is the focal point of their offense. I hope Marquette will see that. If they do then their athleticism should win them this game hands down. If they dont and he gets hot then Butler might run away with this game. Confidence:4


 746 Butler or tie- I just think this is a much safer pick. The game should be close at halftime so the odds favor this pick. Confidence:2

800 Bulls- Total gut call but I think the Bulls pull out this game at home.Confidence:2

840 Gonzaga winning margin-  I think Gonazga didnt play their best basketball on Thursday and will come out and play better. Southern got hot and made a good bit of 3s to keep it close. Wichita isnt a great shooting team. I think as long as they win by around 7 then they should win this prop. Confidence:3

852 Yes- Depends on the first half but both of these teams are low scoring teams. Confidence:2

915 David Taylor

940 Syracuse DD- Cuse made a statement granted it was Montana. They play extremly well and I see them to play the same sort of game. Should be too much for an average Cal team. Confidence:3

1000 Oilers- A better home team and a gut call. Confidence:2

1040 San Jose- Confidence:1


Thursday, March 21, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 3/22

Today is finally here.....STUNT DAY!!!

Hope everyones brackets are doing well. I cant believe Belmont played as bad as they did yesterday.
Most of the picks today I cant provide insight for but I will post my picks. If I decide to change some I will try to do it on here or tweet it out @danossftcpicks


805 No

1055 8 strokes

1215 any other- confidence:3

1215 no

1240 ole miss 3s- Confidence:3

1241 no free throw

125 3 pointer

140 NC ST- Confidence:4

141 NC ST

210 Miami- Confidence:3

211 4 or fewer

245 Cincinnati - Confidence:3

246 Creighton

310 La Salle- Confidence:3

311 Mcgruder or southwell

355 Cincinnati 3pm

410 Indiana- Confidence:2

411 no foul

440 Colorado- Confidence:4

441 illinois ft

525 no indiana

555 illinois

655  Georgetown- Confidence:3

656 any other player





SFTC Picks for Thursday 3/21

Pick of the day is Belmont 3 pointers.


1215 Valpo- Confidence:3

1240 Butler- Confidence:4

140 Pitt- Confidence:4

210 Saint Louis- Confidence:3

245 St.Marys- Confidence:2

310 Marquette- Confidence:5

410 Gonzaga- Confidence:2

440 Oklahoma St- Confidence:3

650 Louisville- Confidence:3

700 Montreal- Confidence:3

700 New Jersey- Confidence:2

703 Maryland- There at home and I think they are taking the NIT pretty serious because there are young. Denver is good but Maryland is a good pick.

705 Toronto- Confidence:2

715 South Dakota St single digit- I expect for Michigan to win this game but SDST can score. That is my main reason for this pick. I expect them to keep this some what close. Confidence:3

715 35 or more- Confidence:2

720 Belmont - I think Belmont has a real shot to win this game. They are a great shooting team and should keep it atleast close. The games Arizona has lost this year have been mainly to good shooting teams because they dont defend the perimeter particularly well. I expect that same sort of thing to happen here. I am picking them on my bracket and I feel very confident for them to win this prop. Confidence:6

727 UNLV- These two teams played earlier this year and UNLV won. Cal is a much better team since then but I think UNLV is a better team. I think UNLV will really contain Crabbe which is a big reason for this pick. Confidence:4

800 Nashville - I still can get over how bad they have been playing gotta think they win sooner or later. Confidence:3

820 3 pointer

920 Colorado St- I think that there big guys are a lot better than Missouri's. I think they really focus on slowing down Pressey which should really irritate this Missouri team. Confidence:3

945 VCU DD- Akron will be without there starting PG. They played better against Ohio but they still had a large amount of turnovers. This VCU team will harass them and force many turnovers. They should win this game no problem. Confidence:4

950 New Mexico - Confidence:3

957 Any Other- just a guess but I think Montana will fight and wont let Cuse blow them out. Confidence:3

1000 Phoenix- Confidence:2



Tuesday, March 19, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 3/20

Sorry for the minimum info. I will make sure there will be writeups on thursday and friday for the college basketball games.


1100 4 goals or fewer- Confidence:2

100 Red Sox- Confidence:2

150 1or2- Confidence:3

345 Novara- Confidence:2

640 LIU Brooklyn- Confidence:3

703 Iowa- Confidence:2

705 Toronto - Confidence:2

705 Heat - Confidence:3

735 Detroit - Confidence:2

803 Mercer- Confidence:2

805 OKC- Confidence:3

805 Boston- Confidence:3

810 Dallas- Confidence:3

905 Long Beach St- Confidence:2

910 La Salle- Confidence:2

935 Edmonton - Confidence:3

935 Colorado- Confidence:3

1005 Anaheim- Confidence:3

1005 Phoenix- Confidence:3


Monday, March 18, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 3/19

Sorry Im busy today so ill just be posting picks with confidence. Ill try to add some info later tomorrow.


930 Torpedo Moscow -Confidence 2

103 Yankees - Confidence:2

345 Derry City- Confidence:2

640 North Carolina AT- Confidence:2

703 Maryland DD- Confidence:3

704 Saint Joes- Confidence:3

705 Predators- Confidence:3

705 Devils- Confidence:2

705 Ottawa- Confidence:2

733 Robert Morris- Confidence:2

733 67 or fewer- Confidence:3

805 Bruins- Confidence:4

840 Robert Morris

905 Any Other Result- Confidence:3

905 Alabama- Confidence:2

910 Mid Tenn St- Confidence:3

935 Washington- Confidence:3

936 10 or lower- Confidence:2

1005 Vancouver- Confidence:2

1105 SF Austin- Confidence:3

Sunday, March 17, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 3/18

I hope everyone will be filling out their brackets the next couple of days. My picks have been doing pretty well the past couple of days so lets hope it stays that way.


900 Salavat Ufa- Confidence:2

1200 Jihlava - Confidence:2

103 Braves- Confidence:3

705 Portland- Confidence:3

735 Brooklyn- I hope they dont screw everyone again cause there on the road. Confidence:4

735 Atlanta- Confidence:3

735 Lightning- Confidence:2

805 Denver- Confidence:2

805 Golden State- Confidence:3

810 Heat winning margin- I just cant pick against the Heat. Garnett is ruled out and the Celtics arent a great 3 pt shooting team. I could see them having a good game and making around 7-8 3s but I dont think that will be enough. Miami wont overlook Boston and will come ready to play. I dont see the streak ending tonight. Confidence:4

810 Lebron and Wade- I feel that this is just a safer pick. I mean if they the Celtics were to have a good first quarter and score maybe 28 points. I think there is a pretty good chance that they could do it. Confidence:3

835 Dallas- Confidence:3

905 Any Other- Confidence:2

935 25 or fewer- Depends on what happens in first half. Confidence:3

1005 Vancouver- Confidence:2

1005 Lakers- Kobe isnt playing tonight but I still think the team is good enough to win. Confidence:3

1040 Jazz DD- Knicks are playing awful right now. There playing on back to back days. If anthony isnt playing then ill be confident about this pick. Even if he is I think its a pretty solid pick. Confidence:3

Saturday, March 16, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 3/17

A pretty good on Saturday with my writeups. The only pick I was semi-confident in and lost was Ohio and they played awful in the second half.
As far as today goes I'm not sure what to expect in some of these games where the spread is either 1 or 2. I will do some research but I dont see any picks that I feel I'm going to put as confident.


Pick of the day is Any Other Golfer

930 Sunderland- Confidence:3

1238 Boston Bruins- I am a huge pens fan but I dont think they win this game. Both of these teams are coming off of big wins. This should be a great game of hockey. I think the Bruins want revenge after what happened the last time they played when the Pens scored 3 in the 3rd. If this was in Boston i would make this pick more confident. My pick is based off of Vokoun expecting to be the starting goalie. Confidence:3

105 Miami- I cant pick UNC to win this game. I think it will be close but I think Miami is too tough and wants a 1 seed. Confidence:4

105 SLU- I like both these teams so its tough for me to really pick 1 team. Confidence:2

105 Ole Miss- I think they keep it close enough because they need this game desperately.  Confidence:3

110 Any Other- Confidence:2

110 Dynameo W/D- Confidence:2

150 Any Other Golfer- Confidence:5

310 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

330 Clippers DD- Confidence:4

335 Ohio St- Confidence:2

500 Ottawa- Confidence:2

510 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

600 I think Tennessee gets in - Confidence:3

600 I dont think Virginia gets in- Confidence:3

700 Washington- Confidence:3

700 Timberwolves- Confidence:2

800 Edmonton- Confidence:3



Friday, March 15, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 3/16





845 Manchester City- Now I'm not a soccer expert but the odds say Man City should win this game easily. Mean while Everton is a pretty solid team at home and has played very well against Man City over the past couple of years. Confidence:2

1133 Vermont winning margin- Confidence:3

105 Any Other Result- Florida played extremely well against LSU but I think Alabama is a good enough team that they should keep this close enough to win this prop. Confidence:3

105 Miami - Both of these teams looked good today but NC ST was more impressive by blowing out Virginia. Since Duke lost I think Miami will realize they have a shot at a number one seed and will realize they need to win this game. Confidence:4

133 Saint Louis- I really have a hard time picking games when teams play 3 times in one season. I really like Saint Louis and think they are very good but its tough to beat a good team like Butler 3 times. Ill stick with my gut and take the team that I think is better. Confidence:4

145 Wisconsin 3 pts- Confidence:3

155 No- There are other golfers right around Scott that could win. All it would take would be for Scott to have acouple bad shots. Confidence:5

 300 Buffalo- Confidence:2

300 Colorado- Confidence:2

310 Nadal wins 2-0 - Confidence:3

315 Kansas city win- Confidence:2

330 Ole Miss- Confidence:4

330 North Carolina- Confidence:4

405 Michigan St- Confidence:2

 503 Morgan St- Confidence:2

605 UNLV- Confidence:2

605 Kansas- I really like Kansas and like them in this game. As I have said in other picks I dont like picking a team to win 3 times against a team in one year. Kansas St is good but I think Kansas is just better.  Confidence:4

633 Ohio- It breaks my heart to have to do this writeup. I have followed Akron all year. I felt they would be a sleeper team for me this year to win a game or 2 in the tourney. But I just cant pick them to win this game and I really hope I am wrong. Akron will be without its starting PG Abreu. That is a huge reason for my pick in this game. Yesterday Akron really struggled yesterday against a not so great Kent St team. Akron struggled offensively and had 17 turnovers. The presence of not having Abreu was evident. Defensively Akron really struggled to stay in front of Kent's guards and allowed a lot of open 3s. The fact that Ohio has one of the best guards in the nation in DJ Cooper is why I think they will win. Kent got to the rim easily against Akron and forced a lot of fouls on the Akron bigs. If Akrons bigs are on the bench then Akron will really struggle to score offensively.  I see the same sort of thing happening and see Ohio winning this game. Also noted Akron beat OU twice this year which Abreu was in the lineup for both. I think Ohio against the spread is a solid pick as well. I must reiterate I really hope I'm wrong. Confidence:4

700 Phoenix- Confidence:2

700 Montreal- Confidence:3

700 Lightning- Confidence:3


730 Islanders- Confidence:2

730 Pacers- Confidence:3

800 Ducks- Confidence:2

800 Blackhawks- Confidence:3

815 Seattle- Confidence:2

833 Stephen F Austin- Confidence:3


835 Louisville- Confidence:4

836 Southerland- Confidence:3

903 Montana- Confidence:2

945 Syracuse- Confidence:2


1000 Utah Jazz- Confidence:2

1033 UC Irvine- Confidence:2


1105 Oregon - Confidence:3

1130 Hendricks- Confidence:2

1210 GSP- Confidence:4





Thursday, March 14, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 3/15

I apologize that my picks havent been doing well so hopefully I can turn it around soon.



840 Jason Day- They both shot a -1 yesterday. Jason Day shot a -1 on the back nine and Scott shot a -2. I think they both shot around the same scores but I think its safer to go with the tie option. Confidence:2

1203 Miami DD- Confidence:3

1203 Illinois - Confidence:3

103 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

130 Webb Simpson- Confidence:3

230 Michigan - Confidence:4

230 Butler- Confidence:2

230 NC ST- Confidence:2

330 Tennessee- Confidence:2

440 8 or fewer- Confidence:3

700 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:4

705 Duke Winning Margin- Confidence:4

705 USA wins by 2+ - Confidence:2

705 Georgetown- Georgetown really impressed me yesterday. They play well in all phases. I think this is a game of match ups and I think Syracuse could struggle in this game because of Georgetown's 3 pt shooting. Syracuse has played well the past couple of games because they have started to play  more unselfish basketball. Georgetown defense could take them out of that. I really like Georgetown to win this game and the only reason I wont put this as a more confident pick is because it is really hard to beat a team 3 times in a year.   Confidence:5

706 Syracuse duo or tie- Confidence:2

733 Kansas winning margin- Confidence:3

810 Georgetown scores first

900 Calgary- Confidence:3

905  New Mexico - Confidence3

930 Louisville- I think a huge part of Notre Dame's success over the past couple of games has been there 3 pt shooting. That should stop tonight with Louisville defense. Louisville is playing like their on a mission right now. I think they win this prop unless something happens late in the game.  Confidence:4

930 North Carolina- I did a writeup for this game acouple of weeks ago and took a lot of heat with it. I am a huge UNC fan so it sounds a little biased but I dont think that they are that good this year. Roy switched their rotation to start 4 guards. They were on a roll before playing Duke. I dont think Florida St is that good and think UNC should blow them out again tonight.  Confidence:4

1000 Kansas St- Confidence:2

1130 Oregon winning margin- Confidence:3


Wednesday, March 13, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 3/14

I apologize that I havent been doing full writeups since I have been busy lately but I will make sure to atleast have every pick up with a confidence level.

Out of all the picks left I think Marquette is the best pick.


830 Furyk- Confidence:2

1203 Minnesota- Confidence:3

1203 Georgia Tech- Confidence:2

1203 Cincinnati 3 pts- Confidence:4

1233 Iowa St- Confidence:3

200 3 or more- Confidence:2

230 Syracuse- Confidence:4

405 chelsea- Confidence:2

633 Purdue- Confidence:3

700 Pittsburgh- Confidence:3

703 Louisville- Confidence:3

 705 Dominican Republic - Confidence:3

730 Tampa Bay- Cofidence:3

800 New York Rangers- Confidence:2

810 Spurs- Confidence:3

810 35 or fewer- Depends on first half tho so i might end up changing this. Confidence:3

830 Ducks- Confidence:2

905 Iowa DD- Confidence:3

930 Oklahoma St- I hesitant to be very confident about this pick because Baylor has so much talent is on the bubble so they need this game badly. Baylor did also beat them this year pretty bad. Confidence:3

930 Marquette- Confidence:4

1005 Roger Federer- Confidence:4

1030  San Jose- Confidence:2

1130 Oregon- Confidence:3


Tuesday, March 12, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 3/13

I will make sure to post the rest later today.



900 Panthraklkos win - Confidence:2

1203 Cincinnati - Confidence:3

345 Arsenal- Confidence:2

345 2 or fewer- Confidence:2

446 68 or later-depends on what happens in first half tho. Confidence:2

703 st johns - confidence:3

705 bucks- confidence:2

 706 Lafayette- confidence:3

735 devils- confidence:2

735 lakers- confidence:3

810 gordon hayward- confidence:3

811 27 or fewer- confidence:3

905 notre dame winning margin- confidence:2

930 4 or more- confidence:3

935 detroit- confidence:2

1040 nuggets- confidnece:3

1130  washington- confidence:4
 

Monday, March 11, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 3/12

I dont feel great about it but I have the Penguins as my pick of the day.  I would not risk anything over a 10 game streak on it.

900 Ak Bars Kazan - Confidence:2

105 Dominican Republic by 3- Confidence:3

345 AC Milan - Confidence:3

345 Any Other- Messi scores more goals in the 2nd half. I think this is a pretty solid play. Confidence:3

345 Schalke 04- Confidence:2

448 2 or more- Depends on the first half but the think the over is a solid play. Confidence:3

 703 Connecticut - I dont think they can lose to Notre Dame 3 times this year. Confidence:3

703 Skylar Diggins- Confidence:3

704 Seton Hall- Confidence:2

704 LIU Brooklyn - Confidence:3

705 Rangers- Confidence:4

705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3

705 Wizards- Kyrie is out. Confidence:3

735 Pittsburgh Penguins- If Malkin was playing I would be really confident about this pick. But he isnt. The Bruins are playing on back to back days. The Bruins are a big and physical team. The Penguins have struggled at times this year with teams that are more physical than them. But I think the Penguins will come out ready and prepared. The Bruins have struggled this year playing on back to back days. I think this will be a very good game. I think this could be a bit of a high scoring game which would favor Pittsburgh. I think Pittsburgh wins 4-3. Confidence:4

735 Tampa Bay- I think there just a better team but dont feel great about it. Confidence:3

805 Toronto- Confidence:3

805 Minnesota Wild- Confidence:3

805 Sane Jose- Confidence:3

805 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:2

807 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

810 Notre Dame

835 Nashville Predators- Confidence:2

905 Valpo DD- Confidence:3

906 South Dakota State- Confidence:2

920 Rutgers- Confidence:3

1005 Los Angeles Kings- Confidence:3

1005 Memphis- Confidence:2

Sunday, March 10, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 3/11

Nets are the pick of the day.


900 FC Ufa- Confidence:2

1130 Dynamo Moscow- Confidence:3

103 St Louis cardinals- Confidence:3

330 Granada- Confidence:2

345 19 or more- Confidence:3

605 Any Other result-  I would usually take Notre Dame to cover but its the conference tournament and Louisville will probably play tough. Confidence:3

703 Western Kentucky - Confidence:2

704 Davidson winning margin- I think Davidson wins by around 7 or 8 which should cover the 3 pts. Confidence:3

7:05 Brooklyn Nets- This game has a trap written all over it. But I couldnt find one stat to say not to pick the Nets. Confidence:5

735 Boston Bruins- It is confirmed Rask will be in net tonight for the Bruins. The Bruins play tomorrow against the Penguins which is a really big game. I think they shouldnt overlook Ottawa and win this game. Confidence:4

805 Any Other Result- Confidence:3

835 Thunder- If OKC wasnt play on back to back days I would be really confident about this pick. They are too young and athletic for this team without Tony Parker in the lineup. Confidence:4

905 St Marys 3 Pointers- My reason behind this pick is I think they will have to shoot a lot of 3s to stay in this game and make it close. So I could see them making 8 or 9 even though I dont feel confident because Gonzaga will probably come out to make a statement for the number 1 seed.

906 Delladova- Simply I think Gonzaga will spread the ball around in the first half and there is a chance he could get in foul trouble. Confidence:3

907 Manhattan 3 pointer- Iona has not impressed me this year but they score a lot. Manhattan I think has a pretty shot to win this game. Confidence:4

1013 Gonzaga 5 or more- Depends on what happens in the first half. If first half is tight then I could see the Zags pulling away. If Gonzaga is up big then I would take any other.  Confidence:3

1035 New York Knicks - This is a really tough game to pick. If melo ends up not playing I would switch my pick. But with him back in the lineup and without Stoudemire then he should do well tonight. Confidence:3


Saturday, March 9, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 3/10








900 Montepiller Win or Draw- Montepiller is a pretty solid team and this teams are right next to each other in the standings. Montepiller has won the last 5 times these 2 teams have played. I think the draw is the most likely outcome. Confidence:3


1200 VCU- Its hard to write my prediction for this game because I don’t know what VCU team will show up. They have some bad games on the road this year. I think Temple will come out at home and play really tough since they are on the bubble. But I think if VCU comes out prepared they should win this game. Confidence:4


1230 Manchester United- I really wont know what to expect from this game until I see the lineups tomorrow. But I think Manchester United is pretty good pick to win tomorrow just because they are so tough at home. Confidence:3


1230 Washington Capitals- Capitals have played better of late and play better at home. Rangers struggle on the road. Confidence:3

100 Thunder DD- These are 2 of the hotter teams in the NBA at the moment. I think the Thunder are just better than the Celtics. They are younger and more athletic but Boston did beat them earlier this year. Confidence:3



240 Tiger wins by 2 strokes – Tiger is on fire this tournament. There are really only 3 golfers within striking distance of him. I don’t think Tiger will have a bad round tomorrow so I think this is  a pretty solid pick. Confidence:5


305 Any other Team- Confidence:1


330 Lakers- Lakers need every win they can get. Confidence:4


400 Indiana Hoosiers- I think they are a better team and will come ready to play. Think they want to erase the loss against Ohio St. Confidence:3


600 Florida Panthers- Montreal will play on back to back days. They are hot right now. But gut call says a struggling Florida team gets a win at home. Confience:3


600 76ers- 2 of the colder teams in the NBA. 76ers have only 6 wins on the road all season and Magic have 9 wins at home. So I have no idea. I think the 76ers have more talent. Confidence:1


700 New Orleans Hornets- I have no idea what to say about this game. New Orleans blew a 20 point lead against the Lakers and got dominated by Memphis on Saturday. Maybe they can finally win? Confidence:1


700 Winnipeg- Winnipeg already beat the Devils twice this year. Devils are playing on back to back nights and haven’t played well of late. Confidence:3


800 Colorado- San Jose is playing on back to back days. Colorado is much better at home. Even though San Jose has beat Colorado twice this year I think they should be able to sneak out a win. Confidence:4


800 Anaheim- It is really hard to pick against the Ducks especially at home. I think they are the better team and should handle the Blues. This is the Blues third game in 4 days.  Confidence:5


900 Bucks- They have had a few days off which could mean they could come out rusty. But I think they are just a better team than the Kings. Confidence:3