SFTC Rules

SFTC Rules

Chat


Try Relay: the free SMS and picture text app for iPhone.

Sunday, June 30, 2013

SFTC Picks for July 1


I don't think there is a greater feeling then a start of a new month on SFTC. Hopefully everyone is as excited as me. W27 this month will be worth $200,000. I am going to try and update something's on my blog for the new month.  Good luck to everyone and streak on.


Monthly Path/Most Wins                                          Traps of the Day
Serena                                                                         -
Yes break
3 or 4
No neither
No HR
0 or 1


635 Peter Sagan- I am 0/2 on TDF props so far but I hope to change that in the near future. I just feel that 1 of the best sprinters in the race has to win 1 of these upcoming races  sooner or later. This is just what would I would pick if I wanted this prop. I just feel everyone should look into tennis. But I would have no problem if people picked Any Other just strictly based off of odds. Confidence:1

810 Serena Williams- I really don't think a whole lot of information needs to be provided here. Serena is the best women's player in the world for a reason. Lisicki is a solid young player who does perform well on grass. I just cant see how Williams would lose this match. It wouldn't surprise me if Lisicki came close to taking a set but I think even that happening is a stretch. Williams to win in straight sets is at -400. For Serena to actually win the match is at -1730. This basically a gift from the StreakMaster. Confidence:6

1230 Novak wins 3-0 - Its just a matter that I think this is the better play on this pick. Haas is a very good player as his ranking would indicate. But Novak has proven in every 1 of his matches so far that he is the 1 seed for a reason. Confidence:3

1231 Yes- No way Novak does so it comes down to Haas. I will say he gets broken once but it wouldn't surprise me if he didn't. Confidence:2

107 Detroit Tigers- This pick is based  on the fact of Dickey inconsistency. I can never trust whether not he is going to pitch well or give up 6 runs in 4 innings. The Tigers lineup is stacked and I think they do well against the knuckleballer. Alvarez is not a great pitcher but I think he should do well enough here to get a W. Confidence:3

200 3 or 4 games- I just think this is the safer play. I could see Haas only winning 2 or 5 maybe. But I mean depending on the score at this point it is just the safer play. 3 or 4 would hit atleast 50% in my opinion. Confidence:2

245 Limerick- Confidence:1

707 Cincinnati Reds- They are clearly the better pick here. All the numbers point to them winning this game. Reds are 1 of the best home teams in MLB. Arroyo almost always pitches well at Great American ball park. Kickham on the other hand is a rookie who has not looked great in his starts so far. I am not going to be very confident in this game however. I don't know if it is me over thinking this game or not. Neither team is very hot right now Giants(2-8) and Reds (3-7) in their last 10. But since I have been a follower of the NL central I have found that sometimes the Reds will really struggle with lefties. The last time these 2 teams played a series @Cincinnati the Giants swept them. I still have to pick the Reds here but it wouldn't surprise me if they lost. Confidence:2

708 No neither- Confidence:1

710 San Diego Padres- Funny to think that Marquis and Fernandez are 2 of the better pitchers in the NL. Marquis has been solid all year except for his last game against Philadelphia. Fernandez is a young stud. I think Marquis bounces back with a solid game tonight. Really a tough game to pick but SD just finds ways to win when Marquis pitches. Confidence:2

745 No home run- I have been flip flopping on this pick but I'm leaning towards no. Confidence:1

810 Tampa Bay Rays- I just cant find a whole lot of reasons not to pick them here. Rays are clearly a better team. Moore is one of the best pitchers in MLB but has struggled of late. His last couple of road starts are slightly higher. But nothing that would make me not pick them here. Keuchel has not been that bad this year despite playing for the Astros. I just have to think the Rays find a way to win this game. Confidence:2

810 New York Yankees- Its hard for me to think they could lose 6 games in a row here. I dont have a ton of faith in either lineup. But I will give a slight advantage here to the Yankees because Pettitte is pitching. Confidence:3

910 0 or 1- Confidence:1

Saturday, June 29, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 6/30

Last day of the June is here. Expect detailed writeups tomorrow. I should be able to have picks up rather early tomorrow night.  Most likely tomorrow will be rather boring just as a warning. But the stash will be available in July so 200k to the lucky person who wins it.



740 Sagan or Cavendish- Confidence:2

1200 Italy- Confidence:2

110 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

140 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:2

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:3

405 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:2

410 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:1

410 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:3

600 Spain- Confidence:2

Friday, June 28, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 6/29

Only 2 more days until a new month starts. I think the majority of people are already eliminated unless you are going for the monthly.



615 Mark Cavendish- For those curious this will end around 11:30. Cavendish is the favorite and I think he would win this stage. Confidence:3

1230 10 or more- I think Chardy is good enough to compete with Novak to green the overs. Confidence:2

110 New York Mets - Confidence:2

405 Atlanta Braves- Hudson tough at home. Confidence:4

405 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:3

405 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

410 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:2

410 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

410 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:1

410 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:2

710 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

715 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:3

715 Texas Rangers- Confidence:2

715 Chicago Cubs- Confidence:3

1000 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:2

Thursday, June 27, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 6/28


In my opinion picks suck for today. No point in doing writeups because there are only 3 days left in the month.


950 Jerzy Janowicz- Confidence:2

1100 Mexico- Confidence:3

1200 1st set- Confidence:2

1227 Angel Cabrera- I'm really surprised that I am not picking Fowler here. But he did  not play as well as his score indicates. Cabrera is almost the opposite and just missed a lot of putts. Confidence:3

710 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:3

710 Miami Marlins-Confidence:1

805 Texas Rangers- Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:3

810 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

1005 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:2

1010 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:3

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 6/27


810 9 games or fewer- I think this is the better play. I think Del Potro wins 6-3 but it wouldn't shock me if it went 6-4. Vegas has the over under at 8.5 so they think 9 is the better play. Confidence:3

1200 No Break- Really a 50/50. I think this is now Djokovic's tournament to lose. I think Reynolds will come out and play real tough in the first set. I'll say no break but it wouldn't surprise me if Djokovic broke Reynolds. Confidence:2

1227 Jason Day- Confidence:2

108 Detroit Tigers- Hard to believe Angels lead season series 5-0. I think Tigers win this game at home and avoid sweep. Confidence:4

210 Chicago Cubs- I like Garza more than Peralta.  Confidence:2

300 Spain by 2- Spain is more than capable. I just don't see it happening. I think Spain wins 2-0 Confidence:2

610 Colorado Rockies- I think the Rockies are a better team. I like Chatwood more than Hefner even though Hefner is a little underrated in my opinion. David Wright not playing for the Mets have to really like Rockies here.  Confidence:4

730 Noel and Oladipo- Not really sure what to expect out all 3 of these teams. Even if Noel goes 1 there is still a good chance Orlando does not take Oladipo. On top of that I am hearing the Wizards are interested in Bennett. Confidence:3

731 Kelly Olynyk- I didn't think its even close. I wouldn't want to pick this though  because I would miss some picks. This could actually be a decent pick for a streak. I just think Olynyk is a better all around player than Plumlee. Confidence:4

800  Any other Conference- I am sticking with they take Len here. Unless I hear something leading up to the draft I think they go with Len or Burke. If Len is gone I might think about switching. Confidence:4

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

825 NO SEC Player- Let me explain this so people who don't follow the NBA draft. There are 3 SEC players in the top 50 prospects. Noel will go in the top 3. 1 of the others will most likely be drafted in the 2nd round. So the only person here is Pope. I have him in mock going at 9. I am hearing Minnesota at 9 loves him but also might trade up. So this pick might come down to will there be a trade or not. If there is not a trade I think they take Pope. If there is a trade I think this switches and to yes at the same confidence. Confidence:7

900  Yes- This pick could change if there are trades. The 3 ACC players projected to go around these picks are Larkin, Bullock and Plumlee. Hearing teams want to trade to get Bullock earlier. If no trade and Larkin not taking right away this pick could be a lot more confident. Confidence:4

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 6/26




810 18 games or more- Think this is the safer play. I haven't seen any odds yet but I think Pennetta is good enough to take 6 games tomorrow. Confidence:2

1210 Toronto Blue Jays- Not a huge fan of either pitcher. Lean towards the Blue Jays to not get swept. Confidence:3

1215 Federer 1st set games won- I don't see anyway Federer loses this game or the 1st set. So that means he will have six. I think Federer wins 6-3 then 6-2. A lot of time in these kinds of matches players start to tail off when they know there going to lose. But the tie option is nice in this match. Confidence:2

1240 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

300 Uruguay - Confidence:1

301 Brazil lead- Confidence:1

335 Oakland Athletics- Brandon Phillips will not playing today. Confidence:3

340 Seattle Mariners- How could anyone in their right mind not pick the Mariners in this game. Felix is a stud and should handle the Pirates lineup. Mariners offense is not that good but I feel they should get enough runs off of Gomez. Confidence:5

402 1 or fewer- Depends on score. I think it basically comes down to will both teams score. It wouldn't surprise me if Brazil won this game 1-0. I think a low scoring game but vegas thinks there will be at least 3 goals. Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

705 Washington Nationals- Zimmerman is a stud. Confidence:3

810 Milwaukee Brewers- Tough to pick against Gallardo at home. Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

1010 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:2

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- The only concern I have is Lincecum has been really good against the Dodgers. He is 3-0 in his last 4 starts with 1.13 ERA.I still think the Dodgers should win this game but Giants could play well. Confidence:4

Monday, June 24, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 6/25




810 Mandy Minella games won- Serena will win this match 2-0. This means she will have 2 sets. This prop is asking do you think Minella will win 3 games. I'm saying this is the much safer play. Serena is hard to predict and could come out lazy. I think Minella wins 3 games. Confidence:3

1130 Yes both win 3-0 - Both Ferrer and Berdych are good players as their ranking suggests. Niether player are great grass players. I just think they are so much better than their opponets so they should win 3-0. Confidence:2

705 Texas Rangers- Rangers have just played better of late ever since Kinsler has come back. Should be a good game but I think Texas wins here because their bats are hotter right now. Confidence:2

706 Darvish and Kuroda- The tie option is nice here but these 2 pitchers just strikeout more people. Confidence:2

710 Toronto Blue Jays- I think the Blue Jays bounce back with a win here. Moore has struggled of late. Confidence:3

710 Miami Marlins- Fernandez is a stud. Marlins have played better since Stanton has come back. Confidence:2

805 Miss St- I'm just sticking to my pick that I thought they would win. I thought about switching my pick yesterday because UCLA had its ace on the mound. I think Miss St bounces back here. Confidence:4

808 4 or 5 - I think these are the 2 most likely numbers. Confidence:1

810 Milwaukee Brewers- Neither team is that good. I just like Lohse more than Jackson. Confidence:3

810 Atlanta Braves- This is really a toss up for me. Braves really struggled on the road of late. Just think they are a better team even though Santana is really good. Confidence:2

850 Yes score- Confidence:1

1010 Pittsburgh Pirates- They are just hot and playing well right now. Locke has been solid in basically every start this year. It will be interesting to see how Locke pitches with his first start on the west coast. I cant pick against him here even if there is a chance that this is a let down game. Confidence:4

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't have faith in picking or thinking a guy making his second career start should win here. Giants  a bad road team. Fife has been decent this year. Dodgers should win this game. Confidence:4

1010 Philadelphia Phillies- As good as Marquis has been all year I just don't see the Padres winning this game. Kendrick has struggled on the road but it  was in mainly smaller ball parks. I think he throws a solid outing tonight. I think the Phillies will be angry from losing last night and come out strong. Think they should win this game as long as they score 4 runs. Confidence:4

Sunday, June 23, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 6/24


I hate seeing the percentages so high when I feel good about a pick. Makes me wonder if some of the Tennis picks tomorrow might be traps. I will ride the percentages since its hard to see what will happen on the first day of a tournament.



810 9 or fewer- This is definitely the better pick in my opinion. But it wouldn't surprise me if Federer lost 10 games. As he knows he does not have to play at 100 to win this match. But I think he will want to start the tournament out on the right foot. These 2 never played on grass before but he has beaten this guy twice. Federer is one of the best grass players of all time I think 9 should hit. Confidence:3

1155 No 5+- I just don't see it. I don't think there is a whole lot to say. Murray is 1 of the best in the world. From what I see this Becker guy is not very good. Confidence:4

1205 Yes- I like Hewitt and think he is very good. I just think Wawrinka is better and should win this match. I think he wins 3-0 or 3-1. Its just a matter of what set. Confidence:2

705 Baltimore Orioles- Not a huge fan of either pitcher. Give an edge to the Orioles because they have a better lineup, are at home, and Indians not good road team. Confidence:3

710 Toronto Blue Jays- Its hard to pick against them here. They have a lot of momentum right now since they have won 11 in a row. Not a huge fan of Rogers and this will be his first start against the Rays. Hellickson on the other hand is too inconsistent for me to trust him here. He has not given up a large amount of runs to the Blue Jays but has found ways to lose. The Blue Jays most important hitters have decent AVGs against him. Think the Rays bullpen could be a little tired from their last series. Confidence:3

805 Miss St- I think they are the better team. But UCLA's pitching in the CWS has been unbelievable in their run in the tournament. Confidence:2

806 Bruins first period goals- Really hard to predict. I say the Bruins need a start out the gate and should score 1. Just have to hope 1 will be enough. If people wanted to take the safer route I wouldn't blame them. Confidence:1

815 Boston Bruins- Blackhawks have a lot of momentum but I just think this series has 7 written all over it. Bruins need to win this game and have to play a lot better than their last game. I think they will but one of the things to watch will be to see if some key players play or not. Some very important players on each team have a chance to miss this game. Confidence:5

910 1 or fewer- Really depends on the first period. I think we might see a decent amount of goals in this game. Confidence:2

1000 Los Angeles Dodgers- Main reason for this pick is Giants not a good road team. Confidence:1

1010 Philadelphia Phillies- Hard to not pick the Phillies when Lee is on the mound. I don't feel great about because of how well the Padres are playing and Stults has been good all year. Confidence:3

Saturday, June 22, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 6/23





105 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

107 Toronto Blue Jays- Johnson and the Blue jays too hot. Confidence:3

135 New York Mets- Confidence:2

135 Washington Nationals- Really like Detwiller and think he'll handle the Rockies lineup. Rosa too inconsistent for me to trust him here. Just hope the Nats offense will score enough runs here. Confidence:3

200 Bubba Watson or Hoffman- I think this is Bubbas tournament tomorrow to lose. I expect to play a lot better than he did today. I don't really see a lot of guys behind him that I think could make a push. Justin Rose would be the only 1 who is 3 strokes back. I don't see Rose catching Watson. Think he wins this tournament as long as he shoots a 2 under tomorrow. Confidence:3

205 New York Yankees- They should win this game. Nova has done well in his career against Tampa. Just think they are playing well right now. Confidence:3

210 Atlanta Braves- As bad as the Braves are playing I just cant see them getting swept by the Brewers. Maholm struggles against the Brewers but there is no way I could pick against him here. Confidence:4

300 Uruguay by 6 or 7- Confidence:2

300 Any Other( Nigeria)- Confidence:1

301 Yes- Confidence:2

335 Los Angeles Angels- Really confused as to why the Angels are such a high favorites. I'm not a big fan of Morton but he hasn't pitched bad in his last 2 starts. And Blanton...well just isn't that good. Pirates will win this game unless they don't play a lot of their starters. Confidence:2

405 No- Confidence:2

410 Cincinnati Reds- As bad as the Reds play on the road. You have to like picking them here. Latos has been good all year except for his last outing. I think he'll bounce back and the Reds avoid the sweep. Confidence:4

805 St. Louis Cardinals- I'm really surprised they put this game straight up. Texas is hot of late winning 4 in a row. Cardinals are just too good of a team to get swept. I think the stars in their lineup will shine in tonights game. Wainwright is an absolute ace. Tepesch is an inconsistent young pitcher. I think even if he pitches well in this game the Rangers should still lose. As long as the Cards start their regular lineup I will have this pick as my highest of the day and up there as 1 of my confident picks of the month. Confidence:5

806 No strikeout- Confidence:2

835 no HR- Confidence:1

1000 3 or fewer- Confidence:2

Friday, June 21, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 6/22


Might not have time to do a full writeup for every pick. If I don't I will try and make to atleast have what I would pick up there. But if any of my streakers want some more info on a prop/game then send me a tweet and I'd be happy to help you out.




754 Tim Clark- Just a safer play here. I don't feel great about it though. Clark has hit the greens better than Fowler in this tournament. Both shot really well today. I just think Clark gets it done. Confidence:2

1205 Colorado Rockies- I think they win here but its hard to have a lot of confidence in Haren with the way he is been pitching. Ever since Tulo went down the Rockies have sucked. Haren is not that good but I think the Nationals are a better team. Rockies just don't have a lot of power in their lineup outside of CarGO. Who has 4 HRs against Haren so he might get 1. But I don't think that well be enough. Confidence:2

105 Tampa Bay Rays- Hard to know how Colome will do in his second start. Rays have been beating up CC his last couple starts. Confidence:3

107 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

155 67 or more- I  think this is just a much safer play. I think this would hit more times then not. Bubba has looked good in both days. I just think it is really hard to shoot this well 3 days in a row on a golf course. I think he makes it close and shoots a 67 or 68. Confidence:4

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

300 Brazil - Confidence:3

300 Mexico- Confidence:2

301  Brazil or Italy- Confidence:1

403 No- Confidence:3

405 Philadelphia Phillies- Just don't see them losing this game. Pettibone is much better and more consistent than Gee. I have to give credit to Gee since he has pitched better of late. Ryan Howard has played against Gee in 5 games. 4 of which Howard had a homer.  Confidence:5

410 Atlanta Braves- As I felt yesterday the Braves should of beat the Brewers. I think they should beat them here but Hudson is not a good pitcher on the road. You have been warned. Confidence:3

715 Arizona Diamondbacks- Corbin been solid all year. I like Leake and Reds just not in this game. Confidence:3

715 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't think Greinke is pitching to his potential. But I don't like Volquez. Greinke should win this game. Confidence:3

810 Boston Bruins- Feel they should win this game. Rask should bounce back with a solid game. Confidence:4

811 Blackhawks- I think there definitely will be a penalty in the first period. Think you have to favor the home team to most likely get a call. Feel Boston more likely to take a penalty. Confidence:2

900 Bruins- Whoever is losing at this point. Or if the game is tied I'm still taking Bruins. Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Liriano has been great this year. I just think he will really struggle with the Angels lineup. Williams is a very good pitcher who I think could do really well tonight. Confidence:3

1010 Seattle Mariners- I feel this game is a toss up even though the percentages say other wise. Straily hasn't pitched well against Seattle. Seattle struggling to hit the ball. Confidence:1


Thursday, June 20, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 6/21




750 Marc Leishman- I think both of these golfers are pretty even. Most people probably think Watson is a much better golfer but I think Leishman is very good even though most people don't know who he is. Watson shot a -7 yesterday but I don't think people understand how hard that is to repeat. Leishman shot a -4 yesterday. Leishman won this tournament last year. I don't see Watson shooting that well again and Leishman is more consistent on this course. Confidence:3


100 Lee Westwood- I think these golfers really evenly matched. I really like both of them. I think they both fir this course well and will play well tomorrow. So I give an edge to the tie here. Confidence:2

305 Mississippi State- I am been really impressed with them recently. Oregon State is good but I just think Miss St is better right now. Might change my pick if I feel there is a huge pitching edge from Oregon State since I have not seen the predicted starting pitches yet. Confidence:2

705 New York Yankees- I think they bounce back with a win at home. I like Phelps more than Hernandez. Confidence:3

705 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Hard to pick against the Blue Jays with the way the are playing. Not sure what Dickey will show up. Baltimore a good road team. Confidence:2

708 Boston Red Sox- Despite Lester high road ERA I expect him to pitch well here. Think Boston bounces back after a tough loss. Tigers are 7-8 against lefties this year. Confidence:3

805 UCLA Bruins- For the people who don't know I love UNC. I have followed their baseball team all season. I think there run comes to end tonight. They have been unbelievable hot over the last couple of days to make it this far. However they had to use all of there quality pitchers to get here. I think UCLA on a day of rest will win this game. UNC had a great season. Confidence:3

806 No no hitter- This is just a solid odds play. It depends on who UCLA starts but still should give up 1 hit. Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royal- They are the pick her. I just don't feel great about because of Guthrie's inconsistency. Not a big fan of Santiago. Just think the Royals are a much better team than the White Sox. Confidence:3

810 Atlanta Braves- This has to be the best pick of today. I don't care about the fact that the Braves are 4-6 in their last 10. They don't play well on the road. They should win this game more times than not. Teheran has been a little hit or miss in this year. But for the most part pretty good. Peralta on the other hand has just been average. Peralta pitched against the Braves last year and pitched well only giving up 1 run. I just look at the Brewers lineup and I see 2 good hitters in Segura and Gomez. I don't like anyone else. The Braves have so much talent and a bullpen advantage. Confidence:4

815 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:2

925 no- Confidence:1

940 Arizona Diamondbacks-Not a big fan Miley fan. He has really struggled of late. Think he bounces back with a win tonight at home. I think the Reds have a letdown game here having to travel to Arizona and because of the way they play against the Pirates yesterday. Confidence:2

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- You have to think they will win this game especially with Kershaw on the mound. I would just be a little hesitant. You see time and time again that Kershaw pitches well but the Dodgers bullpen blows it for him. Padres are just playing really well. This could be a sheep slaughter for all the people that love to watch money lines. Kershaw 0-2 on the year against San Diego. Dodgers are 9-21 this year in divisional games. Confidence:2

1010 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:2

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 6/20


740  Rickie Fowler- On the first day of a tournament I would usually take the tie option. The main reason I am not picking Mahan here is I'm wondering of the mindset of Mahan after what happened at the Open. Confidence:1

1250 Keegan Bradley- Once again hard to predict what will happen on the first round of a tournament. Would lean towards the tie here. Rose is coming off winning the Open. Keegan hasn't been great of late but I think this is the better pick. Confidence:2

205 Oakland Athletics- I just have a feeling they win this game. Griffin has pitched well against the Rangers in his career. Rangers in a bit of a slump. Confidence:3

210 Houston Astros- 2 really bad teams. Gallardo is an ace but has struggled at points this year. Gallardo has done well in his career against the Astros. Confidence:1

300 Spain by 7- Its funny to actually think  this is a good pick. Nigeria beat this team 6-1 playing at 50%. I'm not a soccer expert but Spain might win this game 10-0. Confidence:4

301 3 or more- I full expect Spain to dominate this game. I think Spain should be able to get 4 in the first half. So its just a matter of will anybody score more than once. Confidence:3

404 4 o more- With what I have said above. I think it all comes down to the first half. If its only 2-0 at half I would like this pick a lot more. But if there are maybe 5 or 6 in the first half then the under. Confidence:2

600 Uruguay- I think these teams are evenly matched. I just think Uruguay needs this game so much more and they know that. A draw wouldn't surprise me but I think they win here. Confidence:2

705 Tampa Bay Rays- If you want to pick this game I think it comes down to how you view Matt Moore. Moore has struggled in his last 3 outings but in his defense 2 were the top offenses in the AL. If you think Moore is due to bounce back then you should pick him here. If you think his last couple outings were not a fluke than the Yankees should win. Moore has done well against the Yankees in his career. Moore is 1-1 at Yankees stadium. 1 of those outings was not good. I think Moore is a stud and has to bounce back. Pettitte has been solid all year. I just think the Rays find a way to win this game. Confidence:3

708 Detroit Tigers- Tough game to predict. Alvarez is a young rookie who pitched well in his last outing. Lackey has been pretty good all year. 2 of the best offenses in the AL. I just give an edge to Detroit here because of how well some of the hitters do against Lackey. Confidence:2

805 North Carolina- I just think they are the better team. They have a big edge with their starting pitcher today. Currently at -180. Confidence:3

910 Miami Heat- This should be a great game. I think this is the better pick even though it would not surprise me if the Heat lost. I think its hard to not think the Heat wont win this game. They are at home and have the best player in the world. I think the Heat didn't play well in Game 6 but still found a way to win. I think they win this game. Confidence:4

911 Lebron and Wade- I just don't see Duncan playing the way he did in game 6 and think the Heat will focus on Parker on the defensive end. You add in there the possibility of Parker getting hurt. Even though I don't think that will happen because its Game 7. But you never know. Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- I bet this pick will surprise some people. It really is hard to pick against King Felix. I just don't have faith in Seattle to generate runs or more than LA. I don't like picking LA because of how bad they are. But I just like their lineup and think Hanson should be able to pitch well against Seattle. Confidence:3

1010 San Diego Padres- I always wonder how much of a factor fatigue can be for players after a doubleheader. On top of that LA will be traveling from NY to SD so you want to talk about some jet lag. Onto the actually game. Padres are 1 of the hotter teams in baseball and Marquis has been unbelievable this year. I wouldnt risk a lot on this game because I give an edge to LA's lineup with Puig. But I think SD wins. Confidence:3

1030 Spurs 3pt- Confidence:1

1100 Yes- I feel this is kind of low. Wondering if SM knows something. The only way I would change this pick would be if the game was a blowout. Confidence:3

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 6/19





1130 MyPa- Confidence:1

108 Baltimore Orioles- 2 evenly matched teams in my opinion with decent pitchers on the mound. Porcello has not played well in day games this year. Baltimore usually hits Porcello well. Baltimore usually plays well in day games. Confidence:3

300 Brazil by 2 - I think Brazil wins this game its just a matter of how much. It wouldn't surprise me if they won by only 1.  Confidence:2

301 Brazil lead at half - Confidence:1

345 San Francisco Giants- Hard to not like the Giants here. Stults has done well this year but struggles against the Giants. Bumgarner has been inconsistent but has been solid at home all year. Bumgarner has done well in the last couple of years against the Padres. I still have a hard time picking the Giants when they don't have Sandoval in the lineup. I think they should win but I don't know if I would risk a really high streak on it. Confidence:3

402 Yes scores in 2nd half- I will like this pick a little if they don't score in the first half. Think Mexico will get 1 this game but that's it. Confidence:2

600 Italy - Confidence:2

703 New York Yankees- Don't have that much confidence in picking either side unless a huge lineup change happens. Think Hughes bounces back will a solid game here. Confidence:2

705 Washington Nationals- 2 good pitchers go head to head in this game. Hard to pick a side but I'll take the Nats for 2 reason. 1 Kendrick struggled earlier this year against the Nationals. 2 I think the Nationals are too good a team to get swept even on the road. Confidence:3

705 Kansa City Royals -Hard to predict when 2 even teams go head to head especially in the same division. Mendoza went 3-1 against the Indians last year. Where Masterson was 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Royals. Confidence:2

707 Colorado Rockies- Hard to not pick the Blue Jays here considering they won 7 in a row. But I just like the Rockies here. Buehrle seems to have come off of late but still don't know what to expect from him. I would take the Rockies in this game but don't feel great. Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- Hard to not pick them here. I don't feel great about it but think they are the better pick. Dempster has been more consistent this year than Hellickson. Boston has owned this series all year. Confidence:2

710 Pittsburgh Pirates- Think this is the better pick. These 2 teams are really evenly matched. Locke has been solid all year. Arroyo on the other hand has been a little inconsistent. Arroyo has pitcher better at home. Arroyo hasn't pitched great hits last outings against the Pirates. Think the Piates take this game. Confidence:3

805 Milwaukee Brewers- I think this is the better pick here. Neither pitcher is that good but I have more confidence in Lohse. Bedard does not have a good history against the Brewers. Confidence:3

805 Oregon State- Just a more complete team in my opinion. Confidence:1

809 Texas Rangers- As close to a toss up as it gets I cant find something to pick the either team. Just like Texas more at home. Confidence:1

810 Chicago Blackhawks- I don't think they looked really good in game 3. Think they will respond because they really need to. But Boston did look really good in the last game. I don't feel about this game because I could see it going either way. Feel this is the better play. Confidence:2

811 No PP- Could go either way. I think it comes down to how the refs call the game because both teams play so physical. Think most refs would be reluctant to call penalties in the finals. Confidence:1

905 Blackhawks or No goal- If the Bruins are losing or  if the game is tied I might change my pick. But I think this is the better pick. Think this would be the better play because if there is no goal in the 2nd it wouldn't surprise me. But I think there will be a goal so hard to predict without knowing who is losing. Confidence:1

Monday, June 17, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 6/18


Sorry everyone but had a long day so I wont have full writeups. Hard to not pick the Heat tomorrow on any streak. I will have the rest of my baseball picks up around tomorrow afternoon.


800 South Korea- Confidence:1

1200 Jordan- Confidence:2

1200 Spain- I would just pick them because of the name recognition. Spains the favorite around -130. Confidence:1

105 Boston Red Sox- These 2 teams will play a doubleheader today. Assuming Boston doesn't rest anybody they should win this game. They lead the season series 7-2. Not a huge fan of either pitcher but I like Doubront a little bit more. Not sure who is pitching this game I am hearing Aceves is pitching game 1. I like Aceves more than Doubront.  Confidence:4

305 North Carolina- I would probably try to stay away from this game if I could. But if I was picking I would take UNC. My opinion is biased but I just think UNC has a little more talent. I think they have an edge with Thornton pitching. He is only a freshman but he has been solid all year. Confidence:2

705 Kansas City Royals- I would pick the Royals in this game. The Royals are 8-2 in their last 10. I usually like teams to respond following a loss but the Indians are in a slump right now. Santana is a very good pitcher and Jimenez has been a little too inconsistent for me to pick. Confidence:3

707 Colorado Rockies-This might surprise some people with this pick here. The Blue Jays are very good and on fire of late. But they struggle against left handed pitchers. I think they could struggle with Francis even though he hasn't been great this year. Francis is 3-0 in his career against the Blue Jays. Rogers has been good this year but I think some people don't know that he is a relieve pitcher that will be making his 4th start of the year. Rockies eat up right handed pitchers. Even without Tulo I think the Rockies should win this game. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- Doubleheaders are really hard to predict. A lot can depend on what happens in the first game and with the lineups used. I just like Aceves more than Odorizzi. Odorizzi has pitched well against Boston this year though. Confidence:2

805 UCLA Bruins- Confidence:1

810 Houston Astros- 2 bad teams I don't think anyone should pick this but I think the Astros win. Confidence:1

810 Chicago White Sox- Tough game to predict. 2 evenly matched teams. White Sox aren't great on the road but I give them a pitching edge. I just like Axelrod more than Pelfrey. Confidence:2

905 Honduras - Think this is the much safer play. The US has been playing really well recently but i'm just unsure if they can really continue it. I think they could still easily win this game but just not by 2. Confidence:2

906 Altidore or Dempsey or No goal- Thinking theres a very good chance a goal will be scored in the first half but the no goal is nice to have just in case. Ultimately it comes to who you thinks scores first. If you think the US scores first these 2 players will score almost all of the goals. Only person for US who could would be Johnson. Confidence:3

910 Miami Heat- I thought about doing a real deep writeup on this game but I don't think I need to. For the people that follow the sport know the Heat need this game. If they lose this game their season if over and the debate will begin if this year is a failure. Basically I expect the Heat to play a lot better and the Spurs not to shoot the way they did in Game 5. I don't know how you could pick against the Heat in this game. So many trends in this series and season for the Heat but the biggest is how they don't lose 2 games in a row.  Confidence:6

911 Heat halftime lead- I think the Heat come on and get at the Spurs early. Think 5 should be all it would take. Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Think they are the better pick here. But I would pick with caution. Bonderman looked good his last outing but it was against Houston. I give an edge to the LA offense especially the way they have been hitting. But I have no faith in Blanton. Confidence:2

1015 San Francisco Giants- I have been saying this for awhile that Cashner is solid pitcher but some  people don't see his talent. His road numbers are slightly higher. No reason not to pick the Giants here. They are too good a team and especially at home. Cain 3-1 at home this year and think he continues to pitch well at home again. Confidence:3

1030 No don't outscore- Another tough prop but this is what I would most likely pick. I would think the Heat don't let up all game. Heat are a great 2nd half team. Confidence:3

Sunday, June 16, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 6/17




800 25 or more- I researched what little I could for this cricket match. This prop is split 50/50. There  is no way anyone should think about picking this unless your going for the monthly. Not knowing anything about cricket but I feel 25 runs is a lot. Even though cricket matches seem to be high scoring. I would go with the sheep here. Confidence:1

300 Nigeria wins by 3 or 4- I know this may not be a popular pick as I was thinking about picking the Any other on my W4. I think this is just  a better pick. Vegas is liking the idea that there will be 3 goals tomorrow. Nigeria is ranked 31 in the nation and Tahiti is ranked 138. That is a huge difference for me in a soccer match. I read it would be good for Tahiti to score once this entire Cup which is sad but shows how bad of a team that really have. I'm picking the better team in Nigeria to hopefully score 3 or 4 goals tomorrow. I say Nigeria 3-0. It would be really interesting if Nigeria won this by 5.  Confidence:2

305 Oregon St by 2- I have been trying to get more into the CWS so I can start dishing out greens for this sport. I'm having a hard time picking a side with this game. I was impressed with how Louisville handled the #2 seed Vanderbilt and beat them 2-0. But I just have a feeling that Oregon State wins tomorrow and wins by 2. Just think they are a better team. Confidence:1

705 Cardinals win by 2 - This is a tough pick as I probably wouldn't risk a huge streak on. But I think the Cardinals are from top to bottom just a better team. It does scare me a little bit that Wood is pitching because hes very good. I just think the Cardinals lineup gets enough runs to win this prop. I say Cardinals 4-2. Confidence:2

706 Yes 1 will have a no hitter- These are 2 very good pitchers. I think this is a better pick because 1 or both are more than capable of doing this. Confidence:2

706 Washington Nationals- This game should be close but I just like the Nationals. Haren is not having a good year and the one thing that he struggles with is giving up HRs. Of course Citizens Bank Park has the highest total of that this year. The only team Haren has not gotten a win against is the Phillies. The one downfall to the Nationals is their offense which is one the worst in MLB. But since Werth has come back he has added a little spark. Werth is batting 310 in his last 12 games and has 4 career HRs against Lanaan. I don't like Lanaan and am not sure of what to expect out of him tonight. Nationals are 11-6 against lefties this year. Nationals should win this game as long as Haren doesn't blow it for them.  Confidence:3

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Colorado is just 1-5 in first game of a road trip. For those who don't know they lost one of their best players in Tulo. Rockies 3-7 this year against the AL. Johnson is looking like he starts to get into a groove. Don't think his numbers really reflect his performance. Blue Jays are red hot and should win tomorrow. Confidence:4

708 Detroit Tigers- Its really hard to pick a team when you have 2 really good teams playing. Especially when you have 2 of the best offenses going head to head. Baltimore 1 in road scoring and Detroit 1 in home scoring. Arrieta is a little too inconsistent for me. Scherzer is a stud don't get me wrong but I just have a feeling he struggles today. Some Baltimore hitters hit him well. Also think he is due for a bad game soon.  Tigers starting catcher Avila wont be in the starting lineup. Scherzer has not played well when Pena the backup has played. Think the Tigers could end a lot of streaks tonight. Confidence:2

710 Cincinnati Reds- I think you could find stats to have this game go either way. Liriano has pitched well this year but struggled in his last outing. I think he should bounce back with a solid game. McCutchen has not hit Leake well over their history against his other. But McCutchen is red hot right now. As a Pirate fan I am just not confident in anyone outside of him to do a whole lot offensively. Leake has usually done very well against the Pirates. Pirates 0-5 in the opening game of a road trip. This should be a good game and series. But I got the Reds at home. Confidence:3

805 Indiana Hoosiers- Should be a close game but liked the way Indiana played against Louisville. Think they might be a team of destiny. Confidence:1

810 Chicago Blackhawks- I think this game could go either way. I think its hard to not pick the Bruins here because of the edge of home ice. I just liked the way the Blackhawks played in game 2. Even though they didn't win I thought they got a lot of quality chances and that Rask stopped a lot of them. I think everything sets up for this series to go 7 games and to have a 2-2 split going back to Chicago. Confidence:2

810 No lead- Confidence:1

810 Chicago White Sox- As bad as they have played in this series I cant pick them to lose again. Both pitchers have been consistent all year. Norris has been tough at home. I like Quintana and think he has a lot of potential. Astros have struggled this year against LHP. Its really hard to sweep a team in a 4 game series. Confidence:3

910 No Goal- Think this pick could go either way and I might change it. At the moment I am expecting a physical and defense game from both these games like game 2. Think this could go either way but I think 8 minutes is too short a time period to hope for a goal. Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Looks like their offense is starting to come life. Vargas is having a really good year and is 4-1 at home with a 3.21 ERA. Harang has just been inconsistent and awful against the Angels this year. Think the Angels bats should plate enough runs to win this game. Angels 1-7 this year on Mondays were as the Mariners are 7-1 on Mondays. I know this may be a weird stat but I think a lot of people might see the money line for this game and think how could you pass it up. I think the Angels should win this game but they have lost a ton of games when they were the huge favorites. If you had a decent streak and wanted to pick this I would have no problem but I would rather lose picking a good team having a bad day versus a bad team that unpredictable.  Confidence:3

1015 San Francisco Giants- Toss up of a pick since the Padres are red hot. But I would take Zito and the Giants who usually perform well at home. Home team in this series is 6-0. Confidence:2

Saturday, June 15, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 6/16




First I want to wish a Happy Fathers Day to every father today. Hope my picks can start to pick it up to help people get some more greens.



900 Ethiopia- Confidence:1

1202 Yes bogey- Tough pick because you aren't really sure how Tiger will come out and play because there is no way he will win. Confidence:2

110 New York Mets- Confidence:1

135 Boston Red Sox- Cant pick against Boston here. Lester pitched really bad his last outing against Tampa Bay. This pick could come down to starts a better lineup today. I think Lester responds and pitches a lot better. Lester 7-0 in 10 games at Baltimore in his career. Confidence:3

140 Tampa Bay Rays- Royals are red hot but I think Hernandez will outpitch Davis tomorrow. Heard a lot of Rays want to dedicate their game tomorrow for Cobb. Confidence:2

141 2 birdies or fewer- the safer play for sure but this could be a sheep slaughter. 3 or more would of won on the first 2 days. But yesterday 2 or fewer would of. I love Westwood and im not a big fan of Hoffman. Confidence:3

210 Chicago White Sox- Both teams aren't very good. Think Chicago tough to sweep even for the Astros at home. Confidence:3

305 North Carolina State- This is definitely the safer play. As a big UNC fan I wasn't impressed with how UNC played against South Carolina. Think this should be a close game. Confidence:3

320 Any Other Country- Now I have flip flopped on this pick for a while and I think I'm staying to it. I have watched almost every minute of TV coverage of this tournament. There are some golfers I like on both sides. There is part of me as an American that feels there is an obligation to pick it. But I'm going to take any other and then if I lose I wont be that mad. Here is my view I think Hunter Mahan wont win. I think he looked too shaky under pressure late in his round. I don't see any other Americans winning other than Stricker or Phil. I have been saying the last couple of rounds that I am expecting Phil to struggle or choke but he hasn't. I think there could be a chance of that tomorrow. So the only American I could see is Stricker. I think there are 3 solid plays from Any Other Country. I really like Justin Rose and think he'll make a push tomorrow. Schwartzel will be in the mix for sure. And my pick is Luke Donald. To add someone who has an outside chance is Jason Day which would also be any other. I think there are 7 guys with a good shot to win tomorrow 4 for any other 3 Americans. Confidence:4

335 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

405 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:3

410 Arizona Diamondbacks- Don't like either pitcher but would lean to Arizona. Confidence:2

600 Spain- Best team in the world. Confidence:3

805 San Antonio Spurs- Its really hard to know what to expect from the Heat. The trend says that a veteran Spurs team will bounce back at home. If the Spurs lose this game the Heat will definitely win this series and it will just be a matter of when. Spurs 15-1 under Popovich following a blowout loss.  Confidence:3

806 30 or more- Think theres a pretty good chance that this will happen. Wade played amazing in game 4 and should be interesting to see if he continue that. Confidence:3

806 LSU by 2- Confidence:1

807 Atlanta Braves- Really hard to pick against the Braves at home who are 22-8 there. Not a fan of Lincecum even though he pitched well against Atlanta earlier this year. Teheran has had some bad starts but the majority of those happen on the road. I think Atlanta should win this game. Confidence:4

930 Heat- Spurs have been shooting 3s very well to this point in the series. This should be close but I think they will shoot more 3s in this game. But this pick could come down to who is losing in the 1st half. I expect the Spurs to win this game so that will be taken into account. Confidence:2

Friday, June 14, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 6/15


Just a warning I'll be out late tonight so picks might not be up until tomorrow afternoon. I will have UFC writeups tomorrow for the picks. I don't really have a lot of insight to the soccer matches tomorrow so I wont bother wasting my time with them tomorrow.




900 Uganda- Confidence:1


110 New York Mets- Tough pick but I just have a feeling the Mets get a win tomorrow at home. Confidence:2

156 Yes- I think 1 of them should get a birdie. I could change this later if the hole starts to play tougher but as of right now I think Tiger will birdie 2. Confidence:3

240 Phil Mickelson- Tough pick but I think Phil is more suited to perform well again today. I don't see Horschel shooting the way he did yesterday. Confidence:3


305 Miss St W/Lose by 1-  I think this is a better play just because its safe. I think you see a lot of times that a team like Miss St gets hot and plays well in the CWS. I don't think Oregon St is a team that usually puts there opponents away. I was impressed with how Miss ST played against Virginia. Confidence:2

405 Los Angeles Dodgers- This is definitely a solid pick today. Kershaw is a stud that has dominated the Pirates in his history. Cumpton will be making his MLB debut which I think you see a lot of time guys struggle. This pick could depend on the lineup for the Dodgers because there are rumors suspensions will be handed out soon. I would be a lot more confident in this pick but the Pirates bullpen has got some solid rest from key guys the last couple games. And sorry to all the Dodgers fans you guys just aren't that good. But as of right now. Confidence:4

405 Baltimore Orioles- Lackey struggles on the road. Confidence:2

410 Philadelphia Phillies- I think the Rockies will have a hard time adjusting without Tulo. Confidence:2

715 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

715 Washington Nationals- I just think the Nationals are a better team. I think the offense has been starting to actually hit the ball since Werth has come back. Zimmerman is a stud that I think should handle the Indians lineup. Nationals this year are 10-6 against a left handed pitcher this year. Confidence:3

715 Chicago White Sox- Just have more talent than the Astros. Confidence:3

715 Oakland Athletics- Tough to pick against Felix but I will. Seattles road number are to hard for me to trust and Athletics are really good. Confidence:2

800 Chicago Blackhawks- Usually I think its easier to predict a game 2 because majority of the time you see a team bounce back. I cant pick the Bruins here. One of the best players in Horton is hurt which even if he is only at 50% or plays half the time he usually doe s that would really hurt the Bruins. Horton plays on the Bruins best line throughout these playoffs. I just think the Blackhawks are clicking on all cylinders and will win again at home. Confidence:3

801 No full strength goal- I'm thinking this game will be lower scoring than the last. Confidence:2

805 Louisville Cardinals- Think they are just a better team. Confidence:2

905 Yes 1 score in both- Confidence:1

1010 San Diego Padres- Funny to think that they are just a better team right now. Miley little inconsistent and not a good history vs SD. I think Marquis gets another win at home. Confidence:3

 My UFC 161 picks are here
http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/ufc-predictions.html

1130 Nelson- Confidence:5

1205 Evans - Confidence:3

Thursday, June 13, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 6/14



715 Tiger Woods- I think Tiger really struggled in his round so far but it was just on certain holes. I think on only 7 holes you have to favor the tie option so much more. I did pick Rory to win this tournament but I think Tiger will play well tomorrow because he has to. Confidence:2

1130 12 or more- Tough pick considering how well Donald played yesterday but I think this is the better pick. Confidence:2

1200 Libya- Confidence:2

115 No birdie- I literally laughed when I saw the percentages for this pick. I am on the fence but leaning this way. Simpson is more of an excellent putter but I think striker will tend to do better on these holes. I also think Simpson could struggle because he still has to play 9 holes earlier in the morning. Sometimes that's good but most of the time bad. I also think the hole locations today will be tougher. Confidence:3

245 St. Patricks- Confidence:1

341 8 or 9- I think the number for this will be 9 or 10. I like to put a number in my head that I think the averages would be close to. I would say for this prop it would be around 9.2 . So I would favor the 9 but 10 wouldn't surprise me. Confidence:2

555 Par- A lot depends on how the hole is playing today. I think par is the safe play though. Confidence:2

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

706 No either team- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Indians- Gio is 5-0 at progressive field and Masterson is 5-1 at home. Confidence:2

710 Cincinnati Reds- All the numbers point for the Reds to win this game. Solid at home and Arroyo pitches well at home. Brewers are too unpredictable. Only question is...are the Reds fatigued from playing extra innings on Thursday.  Confidence:4

710 New York Mets- 2 bad pitchers this year. I like Marcum more and he has a good history against the Cubs. Confidence:3

710 St. Louis Cardinals- I am leaning slightly to this maybe being a trap. The only reason I am hesitant on this pick is not knowing what to expect from Westbrook first start off the DL. Fernandez is a stud. But I think more times than not Cardinals would win this game. Confidence:4

730  Connecticut Sun- Confidence:3

840 Phialdelphia Phillies- I like Kendrick a lot more than Nicasio. Tulo for the Rockies seems to be headed for the DL which should really hurt the Rockies. Confidence:3

1000 Los Angeles Sparks-Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- 2 star lefties going head to head. People need to realize that the Angels are not a good team or atleast no where near as good as they were projected. My main reason for the Angels pick here is I think the Yankees are just really tired. Wilson has been a little bit hit or miss but I think he should handle this lineup. Yankees are 14-6 this year against a starting LHP. Yankees starting a weak lineup tonight Angels should win this game.  Confidence:4

1010 San Diego Padres- Stults has been solid all year especially at home. Padres are starting to play really well. Don't have any faith in Cahill. Confidence:3

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 6/13



711 Keegan Bradley- Its hard to really know what will happen. I could see Keegan struggling on this course because I don't think he has been challenge on this kind of course before. But I could still see Phil struggling. Have to give an edge here with the draw option. Confidence:2

1130 Turku PS- Confidence:1

1140 9 or more- Think this  is a better pick. We wont know how the hole is really playing out since this will be the 2nd group to get to the hole. I think this will be a tough hole especially with the rain expected tomorrow. Confidence:4

114 Yes 1 birdie- I'll lean towards the yes right now just because there are 2 par 5s in the first four holes. But I might change it if the holes are playing tougher. Tiger doesn't usually start off hot at tournament. Confidence:2

220 Par- This hole is a short par 4. Think it has par written all over it for Van Pelt. Confidence:3

225 0 or 1- Confidence:1

220 Chicago Cubs-I really have a hard time picking the Cubs with how bad their offense has been but I think they are the better pick. This has trap written all over it. Latos has historically struggled in some day games. Think its really hard to sweep at team 4 times on the road. I think Samardzija pitches a lot better and wins tomorrow. Confidence:3

310 Colorado Rockies- Really hard game to predict could see it going either way. Rockies tough at home. Confidence:2

705 San Francisco Giants- I think they should win this game and not get swept. Even as a pirate fan I am not a fan of Charlie Morton. I don't know what to expect from him but I don't think it will be good. Cain has really high road numbers but usually does  well against the pirates. Giants should win this. Confidence:3

710 Tampa Bay Rays- I think they are better pick here and should win this game. Rays offense has been playing well of late. Despite Hellickson struggling at times this year is 1-0 with 2.79 ERA in 3 starts vs the Royals. Santana is 2-5 in 9 starts at Tropicana Field. Some Rays hit Santana well. I feel pretty good about this pick because I think Hellickson would have to pitch very poorly for them to lose this game. Confidence:4

905 Miami Heat- This is going to be a very important game for the Heat. It is almost a must win for the Heat. I would still give the Heat a chance to win the series at 3-1. But I just would expect the Heat to play a lot better. Especially Lebron who hasn't played well this series. I don't think San Antonio shoots the way they did in Game 3. Confidence:4

906 Lebron James FGs- I don't see the the Spurs shooting the way they did. Think Lebron will try to get going early even though he has struggled in this series. Confidence:3

1030 yes- Confidence:1

1100 4 or more- Confidence:3

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 6/12


830 Malawi- Confidence:1

1200 Ivory Coast- Just a better but a friendly so its hard to know what to expect. Confidence:1

1235 Los Angeles Angels- Think the avoid the sweep with Williams on the mound. Hammel has been a little in consistent at times. Confidence:3

210 Kansas City Royals- I think this pick is closer than what people would think. Verlander looks like he hasn't had his stuff this year. Shields has been pretty good all year. Confidence:2

340 Atlanta Braves- Clearly the better pick here despite their struggles on the road and in this series. Maholm has had some bad road starts this year but I think he should handle the Padres well enough. Volquez has been so hit or miss so your not sure what to expect. I just cant see how the Braves lose this game if they start a decent lineup. Confidence:5

710 Miami Marlins- Just like the marlins more right now. Confidence:2

710 St. Louis Cardinals- Millers a stud cant see the Cards losing this game. I wondering if the StreakMaster knows something. Like if this will be a let down game for the Cards. Confidence:5

710  Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:1

805 Texas Rangers- Confidence:3

805 Indiana Fever- Confidence:2

809 Minnesota Twins- Confidence:2

810 Chicago Blackhawks- Hard to know what to expect in a game 1. Think Chicago has an edge at home. Confidence:2

811 Total Power Plays-I think this is the safer play. I think there is almost a guarantee for some penalties to be called. I don't see a high scoring first period so this a much safer play.  Confidence:4

905 Any other- Depends on the score up to that point and the way the game is being played. I think 1 is just the better play even though I know a lot of people like picking any other. Confidence:2

1005 New York Yankees- Think Phil Hughes has a better season than his numbers would suggest and I'm not a fan of Straily. Think NY bounces back with a win. Confidence:3

1010 Arizona Diamondbacks- Both of these starters have been amazing this year. I would give a slight edge to Corbin because of the way he has been playing. Ryu has been really good but is having trouble with his foot. I think he is a little banged up despite the reports saying otherwise. I think this pick could ultimately come down to will Puig play. If he isn't in the lineup I like this pick a lot more. Confidence:4

Monday, June 10, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 6/11




1030 Iraq- got a feeling that this will draw. Confidence:2


1205 North Carolina-I said yesterday that I thought UNC got lucky on Saturday. South Carolina bats have really been swinging the ball well the last 2 games. But Mike Fox is really tough in elimination games. Fox didn't really use any good pitcher in the bullpen to basically have everyone for this game because he wants to get to Omaha. I think they make it. Confidence:4

500 Ecuador- They are favored and have tie option. Confidence:3

705 Pittsburgh Pirates- This is going to be a fun game for me as a Pirate fan to watch. Cole is 1 of the big prospect finally getting his chance in the majors. Lincecum is too inconsistent for me to pick him here. But hard to know what to really expect from Cole. I think the Pirates win here. Confidence:3

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

710 Miami Marlins- The better pick here because of Peralta's inconsistency and Turner has been good. Confidence:2

710 St. Louis Cardinals- Cards the better pick here but I don't feel great about it. I think Wacha is a good young pitcher that bounces back. Hefner has been pretty consistent all year especially at home. Any time you have a chance to pick a lineup as deep as the Cardinals there not a bad pick. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- In will be interesting to see considering both teams have used a lot of their bullpens for Mondays game. I think that definitely favors Lester. I just love Bostons lineup from top to bottom. As long as no stars are taking out of the lineup. Confidence:4

800 Costa Rica- Confidence:1

805 Cincinnati Reds- Really like both of these pitchers. Just think the Reds are a better team. Confidence:3

810 Detroit Tigers- The better pick with Scherzer on the mound. Davis is a little too inconsistent for me to trust but I think his 5.5 ERA is a little misleading. He usually pitches decent against Detroit. Confidence:3

810 Chicago White Sox- The better pick here due to the fact of not knowing what to expect from Wang. Seems the White Sox offense finally starting to hit the ball. Quintana is a pretty good pitcher this year. Confidence:4

810 Philadelphia Phillies- Think they win tomorrow to finally give Hamels  a win. Walters has been good this year. Just think Phillies offense playing well right now and Hamels too tough. Confidence:3

840 Colorado Rockies- Both pitchers have been too inconsistent for me to even like 1. Confidence:2

905 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:2

906 Heat more players with a 3pter- I just think the Heat have too many guys who will shoot a 3. Just a matter if they go in. Confidence:3

1005  New York Yankees- Toss up but I just like CC more than Colon. Confidence:2

1005 Panama- This is probably going to be  a huge surprise for some but I don't really like the US teams and think they would be lucky to win this game. Confidence:4

1010 San Diego Padres- Hudson too hit or miss on the road for me to like him even against the Padres. Confidence:2

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers-Think they should win here. Greinke been a tough pitcher to predict. As long as he pitches okay they'll probably win this game. Confidence:3

1030 93 or fewer- Confidence:2

Sunday, June 9, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 6/10

As of right now I don't like a lot of picks for tomorrow. Might change some of the picks if the lineups change at all.


130 Portugal- Clearly the better team and better pick. I just don't feel that confident about it because its a friendly. Confidence:2

131 No Croatia doesn't score- Confidence:2

705 North Carolina-I said yesterday that I thought UNC got lucky on Saturday. South Carolina bats have really been swinging the ball well the last 2 games. But Mike Fox is really tough in elimination games. Fox didn't really use any good pitcher in the bullpen to basically have everyone for this game because he wants to get to Omaha. I think they make it. Confidence:4

707 Tampa Bay Rays- Think should win this game. Boston has an edge hitting and have been on fire recently. That is due to the weak starting pitching from LA Angels. Lackey is too inconsistent for me to know what to expect. Cobb was absolutely dominant in his last outing. Hope he continues you and will get a W as long as I think the Rays score at least 5 runs. Confidence:3

708 Yes throw 14 pitches- Confidence:3

710 Milwaukee Brewers- Think they are the better pick. Braun probably wont play and Gallardo has struggled of late and is hard to know what to expect. Confidence:2

735 No- Confidence:1

805 Chicago Cubs- Cincinnati clearly the better team but dont have faith in Bailey on road. Struggles sometimes on the road and Feldman has been pretty consistent all year. Confidence:1

805 Texas Rangers- Kazmir is not a great road pitcher. Cleveland is really struggling of late. Rangers have struggled the last couple of game. Think they should win this game. Confidence:3

810 Toronto Blue Jays- Think they are the better pick here because of the way they have been playing. They seem like they are starting to heat up. Dickey has been inconsistent but has shown some signs that he still has it. I think he should be able to handle the White Sox lineup. As of right now this most likely will be my most confident pick even though I don't feel great about it.  Confidence:3

810 Detroit Tigers- I just cant pick against the Tigers. Both teams are hot of late and both coming off decent win streaks. It seems the Tigers don't give Fister any run support since they haven't scored in his last 16 innings. Tigers just have a huge lineup advantage especially when almost all the key hitters hit Guthrie well. It is really hard to pick against them. Confidence:4

820- 9 or fewer- Confidence:2

915 No run- But this could change depending who will be expected to be up in the order. I think the Rays bullpen might be a little tired. Could be interesting so pick wisely. Confidence:2

1010 Atlanta Braves- Hard to pick against the Braves the way they have been playing and swinging the bats. Marquis is having a really good year so will be interesting to see. Confidence:2

Saturday, June 8, 2013

SFTC Pick for Sunday 6/9




900 Nadal wins 3-0 - This really is a tough pick. I think it comes down to whether or not you think Nadal is fatigued or not. These 2 have played a couple different times on clay and Ferrer has actually stolen a set from Nadal even though he never beat him. I was hoping that this pick would be Nadal win in 3-4 sets because then I would feel really good about this pick. This has been Nadals tournament and I don't see anyway he loses the game. If Ferrer does win a set I think it will only be 1.  Just hoping he does it in straight sets. Confidence:2

105 South Carolina- I thought they played really good on Saturday and UNC got pretty lucky. Confidence:3

107 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:3

108 Detroit Tigers- This is a tough game to predict. I like Masterson but don't know who Alvarez is. Detroit has a huge lineup advantage and hits Masterson well. Expecting a high scoring game. Confidence:2

140 Tampa Bay Rays- Moore is an absolute stud. He beat Baltimore twice this year. I think he will only need 3 or 4 runs and they should win this game.  It does worry be a little bit that Adam Jones and Weiters hit Moore pretty good but I think the Rays win. Confidence:4

210 Philadelphia Phillies.- Not sure about either. Lohse hasn't been good and Pettibone road numbers a little high. Confidence:1

410 Arizona Diamondbacks- Not a big fan of Gaudin. Think Arizona bounces back. Confidence:3

410 Seattle Mariners- Hard to pick against Felix but I have a feeling the Yankees might get him today.  Confidence:3

805 Miami Heat- Now I'm not even a big Heat fan but I don't think there is anyway you could pick against them in this game. I know San Antonio is an excellent road team but I think they would personally be happy going home after the series being 1-1. I really don't think I need to go into detail about the game and series. Simply put if the defending NBA Champs lose this game this series is basically over. Confidence:6

806 Lebron James or Tony Parker- These are the 2 leading scorers on each team. I mean if it is not 1 of them who would it be? I mean Duncan maybe or does Wade go off? I think this pick would win 9/10 times. The only way I could see this losing would be if a 3 pt shooter hit 5 3s in the first half. I don't usually like to be really confident on a half prop but I feel I need to be. Confidence:4

807 St. Louis Cardinals- Lynn has been solid this year and already has 2 wins against the Reds this year. Arroyo is too inconsistent for me to know what to expect. Cardinals lineup has a huge advantage plus they hit Arroyo well. Confidence:4

930 Yes 1 team scores 50- Confidence:2

Friday, June 7, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 6/8




900 Williams wins 2-0 - This is definitely the better pick just a matter of how confident you feel about it. These 2 played on clay twice and Serena won them both 2-0. I think she definitely wins this match so its just matter if Serena doesn't get lazy in lose a set. I think she wins 2-0 because Sharapova hasn't looked great in this tournament. Confidence:3

1205 North Carolina- Confidence:3

107 Toronto Blue Jays- Buehrle has pitched well recently especially at home. Confidence:2

140 Shawn Stefani- Confidence:1

405 Chicago Cubs- Confidence:2

408 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:5

410 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

410 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:2

620 Orb of Revolutionary- Confidence:3

715 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:4

715 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:3

810 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:4

811 Any other player- Confidence:3

900 yes goal- Confidence:1

1010 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:3

Thursday, June 6, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 6/7





710 Nadal- I don't see him losing him this match. He is one the best clay tennis players. Djokovic is good at has beat Nadal on clay before but Nadal looks like this is his tournament. Confidence:3

1140 David Ferrer - Confidence: 2

136 Ian Poulter- Confidence:3

220 Chicago Cubs- Pick is a toss up. Both pitchers pitch well against each lineup. Think Cubs win this cause playing well and at home. Confidence:2

707 Texas Rangers- Tepesch has some bad road starts so hard to predict what he'll do. I'm not a fan of relieve pitchers making starts like Rogers. Confidence:3

710 St. Louis Cardinals- Tough to pick against Cards and Wainwright. Confidence:3

710 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:2

810 Philadelphia Phillies- I think most people will think this is an easy pick because of Lee. I would pick the Phillies in this game because the way they have swinging the bat. But Lee has struggled with the Brewers historically. Confidence:3

810 Chicago White Sox- I know this probably wont be a popular pick for most. But Sale is a stud. He always pitches well at home. Parkers road numbers are a little bit higher. I will say it again Sale will win this game if they score around 3-4 runs. Confidence:4

810 Pittsburgh Penguins - Hard to know what to expect from this game as a Penguins fan. They should play desperate and win this game because of their leadership. But Rask has been unbelievable this playoffs. Boston might want to finish the series at home. Pittsburgh too tough to get swept. Confidence:5

930 Jamaica- Confidence:2

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Definietly the pick here. I said before Corbins last start that he is due for a bad outing like almost every pitcher is. He didn't pitch great on Sunday but his team still won with him on the mound. I see the same thing happening here.  Cain road numbers are high plus Giants struggle on the road. Confidence:4

1000 Mexico - Confidence:2

1010 Atlanta Braves- I just like the Braves and have more faith in them. Think Ryu is good but the Braves lineup is too tough. Confidence:3

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 6/6



I will be busy the next couple days so I might not put every pick up and writeups might be brief. But if anyone has any questions don't hesitate to contact me on twitter @danossftcpicks. Ill respond as quickly as I can.



827 D.A Points- Confidence:2

910 Maria Sharapova- Despite losing the first set today I though Sharapova played well. I think she is a better player right now. Confidence:2

1100 Sara Errani total games- Confidence:3

127 Dustin Johnson- Confidence:1

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

810 White Sox- Confidence:2

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:3

810 Brewer- Confidence:1

840 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:3

905  Miami Heat - Check my series prediction in NBA picks. I think San Antonio will make this a fun and entertaining series. But at the end of the day Heat are just too good. Main reason for this pick is you don't know what to expect from a team having a long layoff. I think more times then not you see a team playing rusty. Confidence:4

906 Miami Trio- Confidence:3

910 Los Angeles Kings- Blackhawks will be without Duncan Keith which is huge. Kings just too tough at home. I think there a good chance they win this game and tie the series. Confidence:4

1010 Dodgers- Confidence:3

1010 Yankees- Confidence:3

1030 Spurs- Confidence:1

1105 46 or fewer- Confidence:3

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 6/5


Pick of the day: Tigers/ Nationals but slight edge to Tigers.


810 Sharapova 2-0 - I think this is a better pick. I don't feel good about it. Sharpova is one of the best players and should win this match. But neither player is great on clay. Confidence:2

930 Yes 5 in a set- More of a gut call than anything. No way Nadal loses to this guy on clay. I just have a feeling that he is due for a game that he comes out slow. I think he would rather be this game because after this he will play Djokivic. Confidence:2

1210 Pittsburgh Pirates- This pick is a toss up and hard to do a write up for this game. Both teams used almost all of their players so a lot will have to do with lineups. Confidence:2

210 Oakland Athletics- I think this is a toss up since Athletics are a better team but Gallardo tough at home. Confidence:3

345 San Francisco Giants- Think they are the better pick here. Zito and the Giants also play well at home. Hard to tell what Dickey will pitch. Confidence:3

703 Texas Rangers- I just like Ogando more than Lackey. Confidence:3

704 No run-Confidence:1

705 Los Angeles Angels- They are the pick here because of how much talent they have. I wrote when they played the Astros that the Angels play to their completion level. This is the kind of game they would lose. Every sign points to them winning this game. Vargas  has been on fire of later and pitches well at home. Angels have a huge lineup advantage. Garza has had 3 starts in his return and has looked pretty good. Angels should win this one. Confidence:4

705 Washington Nationals- Not a big Haren fan but he usually pitches well at home. The mets lineup doesn't scare me. Gee road numbers aren't impressive. Nationals just a better team but they are 27 in MLB in runs scored. That is what scares me when picking them. Hoping Werth will add some life into their lineup. Confidence:4

708 Detroit Tigers- Cobb has been solid all year but missed his last couple starts because of a minor injury to a fingernail. I don't like the Rays lineup outside of Longoria despite being 2nd in MLB in overall scoring. As good as Cobb has been his road numbers are slightly higher. Fister has been consistent all year. Detroit just has a huge edge with their lineup and way they have been hitting. If their bullpen was better I would be a lot more confident about this pick. Detroit just has done historically well against Tampa Bay in past couple years. Confidence:4

805 Yes HR- Confidence:1

810 Boston Bruins- I may change this pick but I am really superstitious. The Penguins are the better pick here because this is essentially a must win for them. But Boston has dominated in the first 2 games. I don't think the Bruins could have played any better to this point and the Penguins could not have played any worse.  Bruins have a lot of momentum and are really confident from the way they have played to this point. My pick should be Penguins at a confidence of a 4. Instead for right now I am willing to have my pick lose and maybe my streak as well to see the Penguins win. Confidence:3

811 Yes both teams score- Penguins goalie situation is a mess even though I don't think they are to blame. Penguins need to put some goals up tomorrow to win. Could depend who starts for Penguins. If fleury then this is yes but if Vokuun starts I might switch.  Confidence:2

935 No XBH- Confidence:1

Monday, June 3, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 6/4



930 Jo- Wilfried Tsonga- Tsonga is one of my favorite tennis players to watch. This matchup has 2 different players with 2 different styles. I think Federer will be fatigued from playing 5 sets on Sunday. Tsonga has looked amazing up to this point in the tournament. He is the pick here so watch for a sheep slaughter to start the day. Confidence:2

130 Lebanon- Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- This pick is basically a toss up. But I give a slight edge to the Yankees because of how bad the Indians offense has been recently. Confidence:2

708 Detroit Tigers- As good as Moore is I just think Detroit is better as a team. I think their lineup and playing at home should allow them to win tonight. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- They are the pick here with Dempster on the mound. Dempster does have some bad starts which makes me be a little cautious about this pick. Texas was won 11 of the last 14 meetings against Boston and 10 of 13 at Fenway. Confidence:3

710 Atlanta Braves- I think they are a better team from top to bottom. Minor is solid and pitches well at home. Locke has pitched well this year but I see him struggling with the Atlanta lineup that seems to come alive lately. Confidence:5

810 Baltimore Orioles- Some how the Astros have won 5 in a row and are red hot. Harrell is really hit or miss at home. I think he will struggle with the Orioles lineup. Tillman is coming off of his worst start of the year and I would look for him to respond. Orioles will have a day off to rest and get ready to beat the Astros. Confidence:5

810 Milwaukee Brewers- I just have to think the Brewers will win a game sooner or later. Oakland is red hot right now is 9-1 in their last 10. Griffin is not a good road pitcher. But Lohse has struggled all year. I think Lohse is too good of a pitcher to continue to pitch this way. Confidence:3

815 St. Louis Cardinals- 2 young pitchers who pitched really well in their first outings of this year. Not sure what to expect. Give a slight advantage to the Cards at home and because I think they're the better team. Confidence:2

910 Los Angeles Kings- They just need this game but the Blackhawks have been really impressive so far. Confidence:4

911 34 or fewer- I think this pick depends on if you think a goal will be scored or not. Majority of the best goal scorers have lower numbers. If you think there will be no goal then 35 or more is the pick. I think LA will have to score first which would be Brown, Richards or Kopitar. Confidence:3

930 Mexico - Confidence:3

1000 0 or 1- I think this game will be rather low scoring but depends on first period. If a couple of goals are scored in the first period I would expect the goalies to come on. But I think odds have to favor the under. Confidence:2

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- Neither pitcher is that good but Richard struggles on the road. Gonzalez is 9-10 against him. Lilly has always pitched well against the Padres. Think this trends continue. Confidence:3

1010 Chicago White Sox- Think this game goes either way. I would expect both pitchers to do well against not so good offenses. I am picking the white sox because I have to think they will win a game sooner or later. Confidence:2

1015 San Francisco Giants- They are the pick here. Both teams had Monday off. Lincecum has been hit or miss but I think he could pitch well against the Blue Jays. Josh Johnson will be making his first start since April. Toronto's bullpen is really tired and I think it will force a lot of pressure on Johnson to perform. I think the Giants should win this game. Confidence:3