SFTC Picks for Sunday 9/1

Monthly Path
Manchester United
Arsenal
28 or more
Tulsa Shock
7 games or fewer
No

Trap Picks(9-11)


Hope everyone is excited to start a new month on SFTC. There will now be $300,000 up for grabs if anyone can win 27 in a row in September.
I started a group on SFTC and if anyone is interested in joining let me know. I wont turn anyone down but I am just trying to prevent any trolls from joining. If you want your friends to join feel free to let them know. Good luck to everyone in the new month.



830 Manchester United- Liverpool has been playing really well of late. But United is the much better team in my opinion. I think the draw is probably the most likely option in this game because both teams are pretty good. But you would have to think United should have a chance to at least win the game. With that being said I am not sure how you could pick against them here even on the road. Confidence:3

1100 Arsenal -  Arsenal historically has been really tough at home.  Outside of their lose to Aston Villa they usually at least draw in almost all of their home games. Tottenham will be coming off 3 days rest. Since I am not a soccer expert I don't really know the lineup they played in that game but I would have to think they will be slightly tired. Arsenal played against Tottenham twice last year and won both those games. I think they get it done again here in what could be a high scoring game. Confidence:2

105 New York Yankees- 2 lefties on the hill. The Yankees have been playing really well when Pettitte is pitching. Chen has struggled in his last 2 starts. Baltimore needs this game a lot more due to their recent struggles and Chen usually is tough in day games. Confidence:2

107 Kansas City Royals- I really like this pick for a couple of reasons. First off even at home I don't like teams to get sweeps very often. Another reason is Kansas City is still fighting for a wild card so they need this game a lot more than the Blue Jays. On top of that Shields is one of the best pitchers in the game. I think the Royals will give Shields enough run support against Happ who is unpredictable. I would be pretty surprised if the Royals lost this game. Confidence:4

108 Detroit Tigers- Verlander has really been struggling recently. He has already pitched against the Indians 4 times this year. The tigers are 3-1 in those games despite Verlander not having his best stuff. Salazar has pitched against Detroit once this year and they hit him well. I don't trust Salazar that much and that is really my reasoning for picking the Tigers here. I would fade the percentage of being 99% and I think the money line around -155 is a little too high. But I still think the Tigers win this game. Confidence:3

110 28 or more- Confidence:2

135 Boston Red Sox- I am really surprised this game even made it on the board. This is crazy odds even for the first day of the month which I am always hesitant with these picks and makes me think StreakMaster knows something. Boston is around -230 favorites. Rienzo is a rookie that has been a little hit or miss in his starts.  The White Sox don't hit lefties well. Dubront is the better pitcher in my opinion. So given how much of a better team the Red Sox are I see no reasoning to pass on them here on the first of the month. Confidence:5

135 Pittsburgh Pirates- Cardinals don't hit lefties well. They have played great against the Cardinals this year. Confidence:3

145 Sergio Garcia - Confidence:1

210 Houston Astros- Confidence:1

210 Milwaukee Brewers- Confidence:2

300 Valencia- They always play Barcelona tough. I am not sure if Messi is playing. Barcelona will be coming only a couple days rest. I think Barcelona will win the game just not by 2. Confidence:2

305 Texas Rangers- Confidence:2

335 Louisville by 20- I think Ohio is a solid squad but its hard to not pick Louisville here with a most likely Heisman finalist in Bridgewater. Louisville is picked by a lot to go undefeated this year. I think they win this game easily just hope its by 20. Confidence:2

336 Louisville 1st half lead- Confidence:1

405 Oakland Athletics- Oakland is playing better ball as of now. I don't like Hernandez especially on the road. But the Rays are tough to sweep. Confidence:2

410 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

410 Arizona Diamondbacks- Corbin is a stud and the Giants don't hit lefties well. Arizona is just too good of  a team for me to pick against them here with Corbin. Confidence:3

410 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't think I am going to go into a whole lot of detail on this pick. Greinke has been great this year especially at home. I don't think it matters at who the Dodgers would be playing here the Dodgers would have to be a big favorite. I think the money line should be around -200 which makes this a great pick. Vegas has this around -230. Ross is a good pitcher but given how hot the Dodgers have been I cant pick against them. Confidence:5

430 Tulsa Shock- Neither 1 of these teams are very good. But the Shock have just been playing a lot better recently. It seems Skylar Diggins has found her role in the team and is start to play well. Shock are 4 point favorites here and I agree with that. Confidence:2

600 Colorado St- I got this as a toss up but would lean this way with Colorado ST at home. Confidence:1

710 7 games or fewer- Confidence:1

805 Washington Nationals- Confidence:1

806 No- Nationals ball park is  26/30 in most Home Runs this year. The Mets only have a few power hitters in their lineup that scare me a little bit. The Nationals have some power hitters in their lineup. But Laroche is not in the starting lineup tonight which is big. I think this pick comes down to Jason Werth who is really hot right now. He has a HR in 11/39 games after the all star break. Niese gets the majority of his outs with the fly ball. A lot of the Mets have some good averages against Ohlendorf but none have home runs. I think the much safer play is no. But 4 innings is enough of a time for Werth to maybe get 1 in his second at bat. But given Niese has been good this year I am hoping he can keep the ball down tonight. Confidence:2

945 No-Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Saturday 8/31

Monthly Path (89-77)
Manchester City
Purdue
Mississippi St
Tajh Boyd
13 or fewer

Trap Picks (9-11)
  

745 Manchester City - Confidence:2

1203 Ohio State- Confidence:1

1204 Purdue- Confidence:3

1205 West Virginia- Confidence:1

1230 Sunderland- Confidence:1

105 Any Other Result(Rice)- Confidence:2

107 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

110 Jason Dufner- Confidence:2

330 Virginia- Confidence:1

330 Michigan- Confidence:2

330 Iowa- Confidence:1

335 Mississippi State 2nd half points- Confidence:3

335 Syracuse- Confidence:4

335 Any other result(Temple)- Confidence:2

405 Any Other Result(Nicholls State)- Confidence:2

535 Any Other Result(Virginia Tech)- Confidence:3

703 Auburn by 15- Confidence:2

805 Tajh Boyd- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Friday 8/30

Monthly Path (87-74)
Tiger Woods
No
Bayern Munich
Eric Ward
Touchdown


Trap Picks


840 Tiger Woods- Confidence:2

110 No- Confidence:2

220 Chicago Cubs- Confidence:1

245 Bayern Munich - Confidence:3

705 Pittsburgh Pirates- Confidence:2

705 New York Yankees- Confidence:1

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

805 Miami by 30- Confidence:3

805 Texas Tech winning margin- Confidence:1

810 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:3

835 Kansas St by 15- Confidence:1

840 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:2

945 Touchdown- Confidence:1

1005 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

1035 Real Salt Lake- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Thursday 8/29

Monthly Path (83-72)
Rubin Kazan
4 or more
27 or fewer
Yes
No
USC by 25


Trap Picks


Sorry no NFL picks given how unpredictable how long the starters will play in each game.


1100 Rubin Kazan- Confidence:2

110 New York Mets- Confidence:2

110 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

605 South Carolina winning margin- Confidence:1

705 Bowling Green- Confidence:2

710 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:1

805 Utah Utes- Confidence:3

915 Vanderbilt Commodores- Confidence:3

1035 Rutgers- Confidence:3

1105 USC by 25- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 8/28

Monthly Path (81-68)
Zenit St. Petersburg
AC Milan by 1 or 2
Barcelona by 2
Red Sox
Yes
-UFC

Trap Picks(9-11)


1200 Zenit St. Petersburg- Confidence:1

110 9 or 10 - Confidence:3

245 AC Milan by 1 or 2- Confidence:3

245 Shakhter Karagandy- Confidence:2

340 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:1

500 Barcelona by 2- Confidence:2

705 Boston Red Sox- I don't love this pick just because of how dangerous the Orioles offense is. But the money line I calculated is close to what Vegas has and that's around -170.  Confidence:4

706 Red Sox- Confidence:2

710 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:3

710 No- Confidence:3

825 Yes- Confidence:2

840 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:1


My UFC Pick is under my UFC Predictions tab
1030

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 8/27

Monthly Path (79-64)
Bayern Munich
Yes
1
27 or more
3 or 4
Seattle Mariners

Trap Picks (9-11)


1230 Bayern Munich by 2- Confidence:2

110 Wozniacki 6-2 or 6-3 - Confidence:3

245 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

246 Yes- Confidence:2

247 PAOK - Confidence:1

346 1 - Confidence:2

707 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

710 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:2

710 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

710 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

710 27 or more- Confidence:2

800 San Antonio Silver Stars- Confidence:1

815 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:1

840 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:1

845 3 or 4- Confidence:3

1010 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday 8/26

Monthly Path (75-61)
Spartak Moscow
Venus Williams
No
Yes
No
Yes
Texas Rangers

Trap Picks (8-11)
Tampa Bay Rays


945 Spartak Moscow- Confidence:2

110 Venus Williams - Confidence:1

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

300 Manchester United- Confidence:1

301 No- Confidence:1

402 Yes- Confidence:1

705 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:2

706  No - Confidence:2

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

710 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:3

806 Yes- Confidence:1

1010 Texas Rangers- Rangers are such a better team and they eat up lefties this year. I think more times than not they would win this game easily. Confidence:4

SFTC Picks for Sunday 8/25

Don't think I'll have time to post every pick. I will try though. Good luck to everyone.

Monthly Path (70-60)
Tottenham
Detroit Tigers
New York Red Bulls
3 or fewer
1 or 2
Seattle Sounders


1100 Tottenham Hotspur- Confidence:2

110 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:2

135 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

150 Matt Kuchar or Tiger Woods- Confidence:4

300 Malaga- Confidence:1

500 New York Red Bulls- Confidence:2

805 San Francisco 49ers- Confidence:2

807 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

808 3 or fewer- Confidence:1

905 1 or 2- Confidence:1

1008 Seattle Sounders- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Saturday 8/24

Monthly Path (68-57)
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Matt Harvey
Chicago Sky
Pittsburgh Pirates


I apologize this is going to be a busy weekend for me. I will try to post all the picks but I might not be able to.

Way too many picks to even think about it.

745 Arsenal- Confidence:2

1230 Aston Villa- Confidence:3

105 Denver by 4- Confidence:2

405 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:2

406 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:3

407 Matt Harvey- Confidence:2

700 Chicago Sky- Confidence:2

705 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:3

800 Cincinnati Bengals- Confidence:1

905 Pittsburgh Pirates- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Friday 8/23

Monthly Path (65-55)
Marc Leishman
Getafe
Athletic Bilbao
Atlanta Dream/(maybe forfeit for ) Packers Passing TD
Yes



Trap Picks (8-11)


705 Marc Leishman - We only have 8 holes to go off of. But Leishman outplayed Poulter on Thursday and had a solid 8 holes. Even though Poluter is more well known Leishman has been playing the better golf lately. Confidence:3

200 Getafe - Confidence:2

400 Athletic Bilbao - Confidence:3

700 Atlanta Dream- Confidence:3

705 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:1

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

710 New York Yankees- Archer has dominated against the Yankees this year. But has struggled recently. Archer pitched against a weak Yankees lineup. I look for them to continue their hot streak.  Confidence:2

710 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:2

710 Caroline Wozniacki- Don't pick this just because of the ranking. Halep is a solid player. Confidence:3

805 Green Bay Packers- Confidence:1

806 Packers Passing TD- Confidence:2

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

810 Texas Rangers- Confidence:3

845 Yes- Confidence:1

945 22 or more- Confidence:1

1000 Chicago Bears- Confidence:2

1010 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:1

1010 San Diego Padres- Confidence:3

1015 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 8/22

Monthly Path (62-53)
Matt Kuchar
Monfils
No
Wozniaki
Pittsburgh Pirates

Trap Picks (8-11)


I am hoping/thinking StreakMaster will add some picks tomorrow so you might have to check back when I add them and update the Monthly Path.



816 Matt Kuchar- Both of these golfers are very good and should contend this weekend. I think Tiger is more likely to but I love Kuch. Kuchar is always solid and has been the near the top of almost every tournament he was in. I heard some reports today that Tiger's back has been stiff and he really hasn't been able to practice a lot on the course because of it. I know its something that might sound crazy considering Tiger might not need any practice. But considering that could be an issue makes me give a slight edge to Kuchar here. So him having the tie is just a bonus. Confidence:2

1200 Dinamo Tbilisi - I think this pick really depends on what kind of lineup Tottenham uses. I am expecting them to not play all of their good players and focus more on their EPL matches. But I think even if Tottenham does play everyone this will be a relatively close game. Confidence:2

210 No birdie- The first hole is an interesting one. Its a short par 4 with water along the right edge. Probably every player will hit an iron to make it safely on the fairway. Which would set up some birdie chances. But it doesn't look like the green is that big so its going to take a really good 2nd shot for a birdie. You also factor in that the greens are really fast and some players could struggle judging them on the first day. All 3 golfers are more than capable of winning this pick. But its tough for me to think that 1 of them will do on the first day especially with the possibility of someone landing in the water. It could depend on how the hole plays to this point as well.  Confidence:2

300 Florentina- Confidence:1

306 Bill Haas- I got this as a toss up so I would slightly favor the tie option here. I really like Haas and think he could surprise some people this weekend. Phil is always a solid golfer but the way he played in the PGA Championship really worries me to trust him here. Confidence:2

310 Monfils- He is the better hard court player. He beat Verdasco twice before on hard court. He is pretty big favorite here. Confidence:4

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Neither team is playing that great. But since Carlos Gonzalez is on the DL. I have a hard time trusting the Rockies on the road.  Kendrick has been inconsistent but I trust him a lot more than Bettis. This game is pretty much a coin flip. Confidence:1

710 Wozniacki- She is the better hard court player. But Stephens has been playing really well of late. Confidence:3

730 New England Patriots- Confidence:1

805 Baltimore Ravens - Confidence:2

806 No- Just an odds play here. Confidence:3

815 St. Louis Cardinals- The Cardinals are hot and are coming home to play an important 4 game series against the Braves. Kelly has arguably been the Cardinals best pitcher recently. Kelly pitched against the Braves earlier this year and pitched really well. The Braves are a really good team but are battling a lot of injuries right now. Heyward will miss sometime and I am not sure when Justin Upton will be back. Maholm has been good this year but will be making his first start from coming off of the DL. I think its hard to know what a pitcher will do after coming off the DL. I think generally they struggle in their first game or 2. Maholm used to pitch for the Pirates so he has seen the Cardinals multiple times before. A lot of players for the Cardinals have a good history against Maholm. Maholm on the road this year is 4-7 with a 6.03 ERA. I can really find a lot of reasons to not take the Cardinals here. Confidence:5

945 Rushing TD- Confidence:1

1015 Pittsburgh Pirates- Pirates are obviously a good team but Locke has really struggled recently. Cain is too tough at home. Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 8/21

Monthly Path (60-49)
Jaro
Chelsea 1-0 or 2-0
1 or fewer
Barcelona
Baltimore Orioles
Portland Timbers

Trap Picks (7-11)
Pittsburgh Pirates



1130 Jaro- I got this as a complete toss up. Confidence:1

110 Atlanta Braves- A lot could depend on the lineups. But both pitchers have been pitching really well. I just think the Braves are sure a better team that they should bounce back here with a win. But if Upton and McCann are both not in the lineup I might switch to the Mets. Confidence:2

210 St. Louis Cardinals- Westbrook has been struggling recently but I cant see the Cardinals losing 2 days in a row. Gorzelanny used to pitch for the Pirates so he has seen the Cardinals before. But hasn't pitched against them since 2010. I think some of Westbrooks games have come against really good teams that were hot. I got the Cards bouncing back here with a win. Confidence:3

245 Aston Villa- Interesting to see how Aston Villa does with there 2nd early road test to start the year. They played really well and beat Arsenal 3-1. Chelsea on the other hand looked great but it was just against Hull. I think Aston Villa is a good enough team to keep this close and just hope Chelsea doesn't get a late goal. I got Chelsea 2-1. Confidence:2

245 Fenerbache - Confidence:4

245 Chelsea 1-0 or 2-0- I think these are the 2 most likely scores. But I'm not very confident in it because I think Aston Villa scores at some point in this match. Confidence:2

335 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:3

345 Boston Red Sox- I think they are the better team and should bounce back after a tough loss last night. But Zito at home is always tough. Confidence:2

347 0 or 1- Confidence:1

500 Barcelona- Confidence:3

640 San Diego Padres- Am really not a big fan of Kennedy and wish that the Padres would of had any other starter on the hill here and I would love this pick. Cole has really struggled in his recent games. Even though some of his numbers might look okay he really struggles with his command. Which lets up a lot of walks. I still think with Kennedy on the hill the Padres win this 1. Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Indians- Never picking the Angels again until Trout is playing. If he isn't playing then I will move this to a 4. Confidence:4

707 Baltimore Orioles- I cant see them getting swept here at home. Chen is solid and I think he is better than Hellickson. Hellickson is tough to predict but his road numbers are slightly higher. Hoping the Orioles bats finally come around. Confidence:3

1105 Portland Timbers- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 8/20

Monthly Path (57-47)
Shakhter Karagandy
Yes
Zenit St. Petersburg
Atlanta Dream
Los Angeles Angels

Trap Picks (6-10)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds


1100 Shakhter Karagandy - Confidence:2

245 Zenit St. Petersburg- Confidence:3

245 Marlbor @ Plzen- Odds suggest at least 3 in this match and the under of 2.5 of the Zenit match is favored. Confidence:2

245 Yes- Confidence:1

346 Zenit St Petersburg- Depends on the score at the point in the game. If 0-0 Zenit will be at a 2. if there up 1-0 then its 50/50. Confidence:1

700 Chicago Sky- Confidence:1

700 Atlanta Dream- Confidence:2

705 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:1

705 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- Confidence:1

710 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:2

710 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

805 Chicago Cubs - Confidence:1

810 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:3

1002 Storm 3 pters- Confidence:1

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:3

1010 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Monday 8/19

Monthly Path (55-44)
Rostov
Elche
Espanyol
No
29 or fewer

Trap Picks (6-10)


Still in recovery mode after the Mets losing......


1200 Rostov- They are a solid team but the Russian league is hard to predict. Confidence:2

200 Elche- Really a 50/50 but everything points to a draw here. Elche is 3-0-2 in their last 5 games against Rayo. Confidence:2

210 New York Mets- Gee is the better pitcher but struggles on the road. Neither team is that good and both are coming off of bad losses. Confidence:1

300 Newcastle United- I'll say like we saw on Sunday we'll see City dominate for most of the game. But I think Newcastle will get a goal late. All the numbers point to Newcastle being able to keep this close. Confidence:3

400 Espanyol- Neither team has been playing that well recently. Odds certainly favor the draw here. But I am expecting a really low scoring game where there might be just 1 goal scored and not sure who scores it. Celta Vigo did beat Espanyol 2 months ago 1-0. Confidence:1

705 Tampa Bay Rays- Other than Price's last start against Seattle he has been absolutely on fire since he has come off the DL. I am just going to over look the Seattle game and give him a pass. I would look for him to respond with a solid outing. Price has actually pitched very well on the road this year and is 5-1. Tampa Bay always finds a way to win when he pitches it seems. Tillman has been solid all year for the Orioles. But he has really struggled this year against the Rays. 2 out of Tillmans 3 losses on the year are against the Rays. Confidence:3

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:1

805 Washington Nationals- The Nationals are an awful road team. They have been playing better recently going 6-4 in their last 10. Zimmerman looks like he has gotten back to normal after having some bad games a couple of weeks ago. Samardzija has been tough to predict this year. He has really struggled but Samardzija in Wrigley is always tough. The money line may be the highest out of any MLB play for tonight. But the reason I would stay away from it is these 2 pitchers went head to head last year and the Cubs won 4-3. Nationals are the better team so I cant pick against them. Confidence:3

805 Washington Redskins- They are 2 point favorite at home here. Not sure how many minutes the starters will play in this game but I think it will be limited. Hard to trust the Redskins since Griffin wont be playing. But the Steelers looked really bad in their first preseason game. Confidence:1

806 No- Confidence:1

945 29 or fewer- Confidence:2

1000 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Sunday 8/18

Monthly Path (53-40)
Crystal Palace
Chelsea by 2
Chevrolet
No
Yes
Yes


Trap Picks (6-9)



830 Crystal Palace- I am just a big fan of the draw option at home. From what I have read and know about the EPL Crystal Palace isn't that good or wont be that good this year. Hotspur will be pretty good this year. But from what I read is that Bale who is Hotspur best player will not be playing. If that is the case then I am really thinking Palace holds for a draw. Confidence:1

915 Johnson Reed or Spieth- This is pretty much a toss up. There are basically 8 golfers that have a chance to win tomorrow including these 3. Reed really struggled today. But I really like Johnson and Spieth. I really like Garrigus and think he could be dangerous if he gets hot. But my prediction will be that Spieth gets it done tomorrow. Confidence:2

1100 Chelsea by 2 - I usually don't like picking a team to win by 2. But considering Chelsea is expect to be 1 of the best teams in the EPL. They are solid from top to bottom. From everything I have seen is that Hull City will most likely not score. If that is the case then I like Chelsea to get at least 2. I got Chelsea winning 2-0. Confidence:3

1240 23 games or fewer- I am sticking to what I said a few days ago and that is I refuse to pick against Nadal. He has been absolutely on fire this year on the hard court. I am basically looking at this pick as will there be a 3rd set or not because I don't see Nadal losing this match. I love watching Isner play as I would expect most that actually watch tennis do. He really hustles and doesn't give up on a lot of points. Isner's serve has been great so far in this tournament. That is really the only thing holding me back from making this a quality pick. But I think Isner having to play long matches the last couple days will have an affect on him. There is no way that I could pick against Nadal the way he has been dominating recently. Confidence:2

105 Chevrolet- I am really shocked I am actually going to put this pick up. But there are 2 favorites for this race that have really high odds above everyone else. That is Johnson and Kahne. They are both with Chevrolet. There are only 3 types of manufacturers so you get 1/3. Confidence:3

135 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't understand how you cannot think the Dodgers will win this game. I am personally not a big fan of Nolasco but he has pitched really well recently. His stats show that he generally pitches better on the road. The Phillies just have too many issues right now since Manuel was fired. You almost get the feel that they don't wan to be there anymore. With the Dodgers bats finally getting healthy I look for them to give enough runs here even if Nolasco doesn't have a great game. I think Hamels would have to throw a no hitter to win this. Confidence:3

135 Pittsburgh Pirates- I got this game as a toss up. The Pirates sometimes struggle with lefties and I think Miley could give them trouble. Miley has pitched well against the Pirates in the past. But Miley road numbers are slightly high this year. Morton is really unpredictable and I'm not  a big fan of his. But 1 thing I have seen from the Pirates is they do a good job of rebounding after a losses. I got them finding a way to do it here. Confidence:1

210 Minnesota Twins- Deduno at home is too tough here. Confidence:2

410 No - Azarenka is 2-12 in matches against Serena. Yes would of won 6/14 times. On hard courts 5/9. Its funny that given those numbers most people would say why aren't you taking yes. Basically Serena is capable of being the best whenever she wants to be. Serena sounded like she really wanted this tournament in her interview. While Azaernka didn't look that great and dropped a set in her game. I see this exactly as Vegas does 6-4 6-4 Serena. Confidence:2

410 New York Mets- Harvey on the mound always makes them an interesting play. Mets struggle against lefties. Harvey has lost his last 3 road starts. Stults isn't that good so I expect the Mets to get enough runs for Harvey here. Confidence:3

805 New York Yankees- I really don't know what to expect from this game. CC is hit or miss when he plays the Red Sox. Dempster seems to get lit up every time he plays the Yankees. Dempster has been getting tagged with a lot of runs in his last couple starts. But the Red Sox always seem to find a way to win when he pitches. I got CC outpitching Dempster so I got the Yankees here. Confidence:2

812 Yes- Given how hot Soriano has been recently and given how bad Dempster has been I would think Soriano would. Soriano 1-4 with 2Ks all time vs Dempster. Confidence:1

935 Yes- I am thinking both starting pitchers will be out by this point so it will come down to the bullpens. I am thinking someone will get 1 with so many option on both teams. Confidence:1

1005 2 goals or fewer- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Saturday 8/17

Monthly Path (49-38)
Stoke City
Swansea City
Valencia
19 or more
8 or more
-UFC


Trap Picks (6-9)



745 Stoke City- Confidence:2

915 John Huh- Confidence:2

1230 Swansea City- Confidence:1

110 Del Potro 2-0 - Confidence:1

300 Nadal 2-0 - Confidence:2

405 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:2

405 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:3

500 Valencia- Confidence:4

710 19 or more- Confidence:3

805 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:2

815 New York Red Bulls- Confidence:2

840 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

845 8 or more- Confidence:1

905 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

1000 Indiana Fever- Confidence:1



Make sure to check out my UFC predictions http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/ufc-predictions.html

1005

1030

SFTC Picks for Friday 8/16

Monthly Path (46-34)
Zach Johnson
9 games or fewer
No
Lyon
Nadal 2-0
9 or fewer
Oakland Athletics

Trap Picks (6-8)
Los Angeles Dodgers


740 Zach Johnson - Confidence:3

1110 9 games or fewer- Confidence:3

1245 No- Confidence:2

1250 Nick Watney- Confidence:2

230 Lyon - Confidence:1

705 No- Confidence:2

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Think the Dodgers are due for a loss and sometimes struggle against lefties.  Confidence:1

710 Nadal wins 2-0 - Now you would think given the surfaces that Roger should be able to take a set. But Nadal has been on fire recently on the hard court. I was really impressed with his win over Novak last week. Federer didn't look that good in his Haas match yesterday. I think Roger is getting a little too old to play with Nadal. Confidence:4

710 Miami Marlins- Confidence:2

730 New York Liberty- Confidence:3

810 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:3

850 9 games or fewer- This is a tough pick but I think the most likely number is 9. Confidence:1

1005 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 8/15

Monthly Path (43-31)
Boo Weekley
1st set
Miles Raonic
Any Other Result
Washington Nationals
2 or fewer
San Diego Padres


Trap Picks (6-8)


No Preaseson Football for me sorry.


750 Boo Weekley - Most people have probably never hear of Sang Moon Bae. He is a very good golfer. I usually tend to give an edge to the tie option on the first round. But I think this course fits Boo pretty well. I would take the better golfer in this prop. Confidence:2

1250 Sergio Garcia - More of a gut call then anything. Sergio is hit or miss sometimes. But 2 pretty evenly matched golfers so I would give an edge to the tie here. Confidence:1

105 Los Angeles Angels- Yankees bats are hot recently. But there is no way I can pick a team with Phil Hughes pitching to win. He has not been good this year given his 4-11 record. Not very confident in the Angels given they aren't a great team. But I got them winning here. Confidence:2

110 1st set- Confidence:2

145 St. Louis Cardinals- Lynn has just been too solid at home for me to not like the Cardinals here. I don't have a lot to say except I expect the Cardinals to play a lot better on Thursday. I got them winning 5-3. Confidence:3

150 Miles Raonic - Confidence:1

250 Any Other Result(Haas) - I just think Haas has played really well in this tournament and even though he played 1 more game than Federer I still think this is the better play. Haas might not win a set but he'll definitely compete in both. Confidence:2

405 Washington Nationals- Confidence:2

707 Boston Red Sox- As of right now this looks like the best pick on the board. I don't like taking road teams and I usually try to stay away from really high percentages ones like this. But the Blue Jays just seem to play well at home. A lot of Red Sox hitters have a good history against Buehrle but the majority of those have come in Boston. The Red Sox offense on the road does not have very high numbers. Though Buehrle this year has not put up great numbers he seems to at least have a lot better games at home. You also have to wonder if the Red Sox will be looking ahead considering they will have a big series this weekend against New York. Now the difference between Peavy and Buehrle is great enough for this to be a decent pick. But there are too many things to point for this to be another sheep slaughter and for me to not feel great about this pick. Confidence:3

806 2 or fewer- Just a simple odds play. This seems like it should be a low scoring game but its preseason so who knows. Confidence:3

810 Cincinnati Reds- Cingrani is one the best young pitchers in the game. The Reds are red hot right now. This is another pick that should connect. But Lohse and the Brewers are always tough in Milwaukee. Cingrani pitched great against them earlier this year and had 10 strikeouts and the Reds lost the game 2-0. I expect another low scoring game that could go either considering 2 solid pitchers on the hill Confidence:3

810 Minnesota Twins- Both of these teams have been playing better recently. Hard to trust Rienzo making his 4th career start. But at the same time Pelfrey hasn't been good this year. Give an edge to the Twins here at home and because they are 9-3 against CWS this year. Confidence:3

910 17 or fewer- Confidence:2

945 No- Confidence:1

1000 Seattle Storm- Confidence:1

1010 San Diego Padres- I really like both of these pitchers. I got this game as a toss up. Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 8/14

Monthly Path (38-30)
No
Either team leads
Yes
No
No
16 or fewer


Trap Picks (6-8)




1110 No -Confidence:3

110 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:1

210 Detroit Tigers- White Sox are playing the Tigers tough this series. But I cant see them winning 3 in a row. Porcello has always done well against Chicago. Tigers usually hit Danks well. Some white sox have a very good average against Porcello which is making me thinking to stay away from this game. Confidence:3

230 USA - I got this game as 1-1 draw. Confidence:1

231 Either team leads- Confidence:2

330 Portugal- Odds favor the draw since its just a friendly. But Portugal is tough and I think they will play well in their home country and come away with a win. Not very confident since friendlies are tough but I think Portugal is better pick in this game. Confidence:2

332 Yes- Depends on the flow of the game. I would favor this a lot more if they do score in the first half since I don't see them scoring more than once. Confidence:1

340 Arizona Diamondbacks- Corbin is a stud and Orioles don't have great numbers against lefties. I don't like picking a team to win 3 consecutive times against 1 team. Confidence:4

705 Los Angeles Angels- I don't care about how bad the Angels have been playing. With the way Weaver has been pitching he might only need 1 or 2 runs. If this was in any other ball park I would feel a lot better about this pick. Confidence:2

707 Boston Red Sox- I don't think Johnson will be pitching this game as I heard he will be on the DL. But whether its Johnson or Rogers I don't really think it matters. I had to put down a team like the Blue Jays but they just aren't very good. Lester has been so inconsistent in his last starts that I don't know which one will show up. Red Sox are definitely the pick here it should just be a matter of how confident you are. Confidence:3

807 Pittsburgh Pirates- I try to not be biased when doing picks against a team I follow like the Pirates and I don't think this is. Both of these pitchers pitched against each team once. Liriano pitched pretty good  and Miller struggled a little bit but wasn't awful. But when I  see the game before this  go extra innings I always give an edge to the team with the deeper bullpen which is the Pirates definitely. Then you add on top of that a more experienced starter in Lirano. Even though Lirano struggled against the Rockies in his last outing I think the Pirates get a win today. A lot of people though they would struggled with the pressure of being in first place or playing against the Cardinals but they have handled the challenge very well. Confidence:3

808 No- Alvarez is in a bit of slump. McCutchen is hot but I think too many things could happen to bank on a hit. Confidence:2

902 3 or more- Confidence:1

905 No- Confidence:1

1020 16 or fewer- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 8/13

Monthly Path (36-28)
4 or fewer
Isner 2-0
Sligo Rovers
Boston Red Sox


Trap Picks (6-8)



1110 4 or fewer- Confidence:1

110 Isner 2-0 - Not super confident in this pick just think it is the better play if you pick it. Confidence:2

300 Sligo Rovers- Confidence:1

705 Washington Nationals- Confidence:2

707 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

710 19 games or fewer- Confidence:3

805 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

810 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:1

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:5

1011 6 or more- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday 8/12

Monthly Path (32-27)
Phillip Kohlschrelber
Jablonec
Any Other Result
2 or fewer
No

Trap Picks


1105 Phillip Kohlschrelber- Both players are slumping. This guy is favored but its a toss up. Confidence:1

1237 Oakland Athletics- Better team with the better pitcher on the mound. Confidence:2

200 Jablonec- I think most of the times the win/draw option at home is usually golden. Odds favor that but I would fade the percentages here. Jablonec has won 3 games in a row and is in solid form. Jablonec has won the last 2 times these teams played. Confidence:2

707 New York Yankees- Considering how good Kuroda has been especially at home its hard to not like the Yankees here. I just am not that confident in this pick. The Angels have too many power hitters in this lineup for me to trust the Yankees at home. I think they should win considering Vegas has them around -150 I say -130. Confidence:3

720 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

805 2 or fewer- Confidence:1

805 Cincinnati Reds- This is definitely a solid pick here considering how much better the Reds are. Wood never gets any run support when he pitches and Latos seems to always win. Even though the Reds aren't a great road team and do struggle sometimes against lefties. I cant really see a reason to not pick them here. Confidence:4

810 Detroit Tigers- Sale is a stud but I cant pick against the Tigers here. Confidence:3

810 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:1

930 No- Confidence:1

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Not a huge fan of Miley considering his inconsistency. But the Orioles struggle against lefties. Have to give an edge to Arizona here at home. Wonder about where the Orioles head is having to play on these west coast games. Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Sunday 8/11

Monthly Path (28-25)
Manchester United
6 or fewer
Jim Furyk or Jason Dufner
No
No
No

Trap Picks (6-8)

I apologize that the only detailed write up will be about the PGA Championship. Most people on low streak that want to get multiple afternoon picks in should stay away from it.


900 Manchester United- Confidence:2

107 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:2

110 6 or fewer- Confidence:1

210 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:3

210 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:1

255 Jim Furyk or Jason Dufner- The first thing you have to do for this is predict what you think the winning score will be. I say the winner will be at -8 or -9. My gut is telling me 8 because of how tough the course played on Saturday and how it will play on Sunday. So with doing that you can narrow it down to 6 guys that have a shot. I don't see anyone at -3 being able to have a monster round. So that narrows it down to 6 golfers tomorrow. My pick has been Adam Scott all along. I think he has a shot tomorrow but will come up just short. I don't think Blixt or Stricker will really contend. I really like Dufner but thought he really struggled with his putting which is what this tournament will come down to. Dufner is ranked 166 this year in putting and looked like the nerves really got to him on Saturday. But ultimately I got Furyk winning on Sunday. A lot of the people will call Furyk a choke artist because of what happened in last year in the US Open. But this guy played great on Saturday and has won a major before. Stenson is the golfer that concerns me from the any other. He has been red hot recently and finished  near the top of almost all his recent tournaments. I see Furyk and Stenson being the 2 most likely to win tomorrow. But I ultimately seeing Furyk winning and Stenson coming up just short. Confidence:4

310 22 or more- Confidence:2

405 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

805 Rays lose by 1- Confidence:3

806 No- Confidence:1

810 FC Dallas- Confidence:1

900 No- Confidence:2

1015 No- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Saturday 8/10

Monthly Path (25-23)
Manchester City
Inter Milan
Any Other Result
Indianda Fever
Real Salt Lake

Trap Picks (6-8)


They better add golf props later or I'm going to be furious. It might be a good thing that they already blocked me on twitter.


1000 Manchester City- Confidence:1

105 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:3

107 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:2

200 Inter Milan- Confidence:3

255 Adam Scott- I intitally thought Dufner because he has the tie option. I flipped because Scott played really well on both days. He had some bad luck because he teed off so early when the rain was started to come down. Dufner came out at the perfect time for when the greens were nice. Which is what set up his great round yesterday. Now maybe this pick is biased because I have been  talking Scott up at the beginning of this tournament as my pick to win. But I got Scott tomorrow shooting a -3 and Dufner at -1. Confidence:3

310 Any Other Result(Pospisil)- Confidence:4

405 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:4

700 Indiana Fever- Confidence:3

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:1

750 Chelsea- Confidence:2

810 New York Mets- Confidence:1

810 Novak Djokovic- Havent watched this tournament at all. But just makes more sense. Nadal is a clay player that is just average on a hard surface. Djokovic has basically dominated him on the hard surface. Confidence:5

811 No- Confidence:1

815 Philadelphia Union- Confidence:2

835 Sporting Kansas City - Confidence:3

935 Real Salt Lake- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Friday 8/9

Monthly Path (22-21)
Even Number
Vasek Pospisil
9 strokes
Yes 2-0
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles

Trap Picks (6-8)


I am not going to waste my time and post my picks for all the preseason games. In almost all of those games I would pick the home team.


835 Even Number- This is a pick that could go either way. Scott played unbelievable on Thursday. I have a hard time thinking he will do close to the same on Friday. Scott played very well on Thursday and finished his day with -5 and 6 birdies. 5 of those came on front 9. For those that don't know Scott was my pick to win this tournament so I am really hoping he comes through. I could him shooting 2 birdies tomorrow. I could see 1 or 3 but I think 2 is the most likely number. Confidence:1

1210 Vasek Pospisil- Confidence:1

145 Tiger Woods- Keegan is a really good golfer. But I expect Tiger to make more putts tomorrow and be more aggressive. Confidence:3

150 9 strokes- This is definitely the most likely number given these 3 golfers. All 3 of these guys are some of the top golfers in the world. I might flip if the hole is playing tougher. Confidence:2

225 Yes 2-0 - Confidence:1

230 Paris Saint German- Confidence:2

305 Any Other Number- I think the most likely numbers here are 0 or 1. Neither of these guys got a birdie here on Thursday. I am saying 1 of them will get 1. Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:1

707 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:3

810 No- Confidence:2

840 Pittsburgh Pirates- Confidence:3

1010 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:2

1010 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

1015 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 8/8

Monthly Path (20-17)
34 or more
Dila Gori
10 or more
Indiana Fever
No
Field Goal


Trap Picks (6-8)




835 34 or more- My initial guess was he shoots a 69 on his first round. Tiger is the odds favorite to win this tournament because he is the best golfer in the world. I have him having a really good chance to do so. This is the safer play in my opinion. The main reason is I think Tiger could struggle reading the greens on the first day. On top of that there is a good chance of some rain and high winds predicted when Tiger tees off. Now the rain could actually help him as long as its not pouring. I think its too early in this tournament to expect Tiger to be aggressive and push for birdies. He is more than capable of hitting the under here but I got him shooting a par on the back nine. Confidence:3

1200 Dila Gori- I usually don't like to pick teams that have already won the first leg of the macth. But I will here because I think Dila Gori is the better team. I think everything in this match points to a draw. Confidence:2

1210 No- This isn't Nadal's best surface but I still think he is a solid enough player to win this match tomorrow in straight sets. The only thing that scares me is Vegas has the over/under at 21 which would mean they think Janowicz could have a shot in a set. Confidence:2

145 Adam Scott- I love seeing picks on streak where the guy with the tie option is actually favored. Always makes me wonder if they know something. First days are hard to predict. I have both of these golfers contending this weekend. But given I have Adam Scott as my pre tournament pick how could I not pick him here. First round odds Scott -125 Mickelson +105. Confidence:4

225 10 or more- I think Gulbis has a shot to atleast take a set tomorrow against Murray. I think his best chance to do so would be in the first. Confidence:2

700 Indiana Fever- Both teams are playing really well lately. I think the Sparks are a better team because they have Candace Parker but I cant pick against the Fever at home here. Fever are -2.5 favorites here. Candace Parker is not expected to play. Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers- Don't let the percentages and name recognition fool you on this pick. Don't get me wrong the Tigers are a solid play any time especially with Scherzer on the mound. I am not a huge McAllister fan but he has won against Detroit in his last 3 starts. I think the Tigers are the team more likely to win tomorrow. But if the Tribe came through it wouldn't surprise me. As much as I think this game has trap potential I have put this game with a high confidence because the money line has gone up to around -160.  Confidence:3

730 Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Confidence:1

800 Washington Redskins- Confidence:1

800 St. Louis Rams- Confidence:1

805 Atlanta Falcons- Confidence:2

806 No- Confidence:2

810 Boston Red Sox- I think they are the better team. But I have no clue what to expect from Lester. Some of the Red Sox hit Chen pretty well. Confidence:2

815 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't think I have gotten 1 game right in this series. Guess that means the Cardinals are going to win tonight. Confidence:3

900 San Francisco 49ers- Confidence:1

930 Length of longest Field Goal- Confidence:1

1000 San Diego Chargers- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 8/7

Monthly Path (18-15)
Nordsjaelland
PSV Elndhoven
No Puig
No


Trap Picks (6-8)


1200 Nordsjaelland- I don't feel great about this pick because I feel Zenit is a much better team. But when you have a team like Nordsjaelland that is going to need to push to get goals. I think all the numbers point to Zenit winning tomorrow 2-1. Confidence:3

245 PSV Elndhoven- They won the first leg of this match 2-0. I think they could play a little conservative here. But they are a much better team so I cant pick against them. Confidence:2

340 San Diego Padres- Baltimore generally will play a weaker lineup in day games. I never know what to expect out of Gonzalez. I am not confident in the Padres but I like Stults at home. Think they are the better pick here. Confidence:1

340 Seattle Mariners- Not a big fan of Harang here but he pitches better at home. Cant see Toronto winning 3 in a row against the Mariners. Confidence:1

640 AC Milan- Confidence:1

807 St. Louis Cardinals- Should be a tight game. I have to give an edge here to the home team and the pitcher with the better starting pitcher on the mound. Confidence:2

808 No- Confidence:1

840 No - Confidence:1

910 Real Madrid - Confidence:3

930 Portland Timbers- Confidence:1

940 Tampa Bay Rays- I really like both of these young pitchers. I would give a slight edge to Delgado here at home. But I think the Rays are the better team and its hard to see them losing 2 days in a row. Confidence:2

1005 Texas Rangers- A better team with a better pitcher on the mound. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 8/6

Monthly Path (18-11)
Jerzy Janowicz
Grasshoppers
Juventus
Everton

Trap Picks (6-8)


1210 Jerzy Janowicz 2-0 - Benneteau is a good player but I like Janowicz more. I got him winning this match just hope he does it in straight sets. But I could see Benneteau playing tough. Confidence:2

100 2 or fewer- Toss up but Vegas has the under at -118 and the over at +103. Confidence:1

300 Grasshoppers- I think every sign here points to a draw. The Grasshoppers are losing 0-1 in the leg and will need to push for goals. I see a 1-1 draw. Confidence:2

640 Juventus- Vegas has Juventus around -157 which are pretty high odds. I am not that confident because I wonder how motivated Juventus is because this is the 7th place game. Milan hasnt looked good but I could see a draw. Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers- This is going to be a really tough game to predict especially with what happened on Monday night. This features 2 really good starting pitchers. Both of these pitchers have seen these teams multiple times in their career and even this year. Both have struggled because both teams have very good lineup. In this kind of game I would just give an edge to the Tigers because they are the better team. Confidence:2

710 Colorado Rockies- Chatwood is one of the best young pitchers in the game. He really struggled on the road against Atlanta. The braves were really hot so I will kind of excuse that game. I think he will have a chance to bounce back here with a solid game against a not so good Mets lineup. Chatwood has pitched well against the Mets in the past. I think the Rockies are a better team. But the Rockies have some of the worst statistical road numbers in MLB. I still think they have a very good shot to win this game.  Confidence:3

810 Chicago White Sox- Both teams are pretty cold right now. I have to give a slight edge here to the White Sox with Sale on the mound. Confidence:2

910 Everton - The odds favor the draw here but I got this as a toss up. I am hoping Valencia can come through. Confidence:1

940 Tampa Bay Rays - Hellickson has been absolutely on fire in the last couple months. But he struggled in his last outing which was against Arizona. Hellickson was 6-0 in his last starts before going against Arizona. Hellickson really struggled that night with his command. Miley has been better of late but his home splits are still high. He was inconsistent in the beginning of the year but has seem to come around. I still don't trust him here. The main reason for my pick is the Rays eat up lefties. They are 23-13 this year against Left Handed Pitchers. Confidence:3

1002 Mercury DD- I know this pick might surprise people considering the Storm beat the Mercury twice this year. But Griner is expected to play a big role in tonight's game. I have to think her and Taurasi could be really dangerous at home. Confidence:1

1005 Texas Rangers- I cant see anyone in their right mind that would think picking against Darvish is a good idea. So it is just a matter of your confidence level. Its a decent pick but I am just not super confident in the Rangers on the road. Especially when the Angels are so tough at home. Cruz wont be playing even though he isn't that big of a loss. Just thinking this might be one of those games were it looks so easy on paper. Confidence:3

1010 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday August 5

Monthly Path (15-9)
Bayern Munich by 4
Adam Wainwright
No
4 or 5
Seattle Mariners

Trap Picks (6-8)



1200 Lokomotiv Moscow- I think they are the better team and are at home. Odds favor them winning this game. I could see a draw but I think Lokomotiv winning tomorrow is the most likely outcome. Confidence:1

230 Bayern Munich by 4 - I think this is the most likely outcome. Bayern is the best team in the world but it will come down to what lineup Bayern plays. I got Bayern 3-1 or 4-1. Confidence:3

245 Real Betis - This is a tough pick because it is just a friendly. I think Fulham is the better team but I think draw is the most likely option here. Odds would favor this pick just because Betis might be able to get a win. Confidence:2

703 St. Louis Cardinals-  This should be a really good game but I think the Cardinals are a better team even though they haven't performed that way recently. Wainwright is a stud. Greinke has been too inconsistent for me. I think he hasn't looked the same ever since he came back from his injury. I think the Cardinals bats have been too hot for me. Confidence:3

704 Adam Wainwright- Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers - Cleveland is tough at home but the Tigers love playing against Kluber especially Cabrera. Both these teams are hot. But Sanchez is too tough for me to pick against him here. Confidence:3

705  Washington Nationals- Braves are red hot recently. But Strasburg usually pitches really well against the Braves. But some Braves hit him well. Mike Minor has been good all year but I give a slight edge to the Nationals here. Confidence:2

820 No- Confidence:2

905 4 or 5- Confidence:1

1005 Texas Rangers- I got this game as a complete toss up. Confidence:1

1010 Seattle Mariners- Hard to trust Dickey especially on the road. Iwaukma has been good all year and I just hope the Mariners can give him enough runs here. I think Dickey could give up enough runs that the Mariners should win this game. Have to hope their bullpen doesn't blow another game late. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Sunday 8/4

Monthly Path (11-7)
FC Porto
Kansas City Royals
Azarenka
Yes
Braves more hits
2 or more


Trap Picks (6-7)
Cleveland Indians






900 FC Porto- Confidence:1

110 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

110 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

110 Kansas City Royals- Santana is a stud and Mets best player David Wright not playing. Confidence:4

205 Any other- I feel Tiger will play conservative and someone will shoot a pretty good round. I got Tiger by 5. Confidence:2

210 Milwaukee Brewers- Confidence:2

220 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:1

335 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

405 Texas Rangers- Confidence:3

405 Valencia- Confidence:1

410 New York Yankees - Confidence:1

510 Azarenka -Confidence:1

640 Chelsea- Confidence:1

805 Miami Dolphins- Confidence:1

805 Philadelphia Phillies- Braves are hot and usually hit Lee pretty well. I just trust Lee a lot more than Wood. I have to think the Phillies have too many veterans on this team to lose 5 straight even if those loses are to the best team in their division. I got Lee pitching a gem and the Phillies winning a low scoring game. Confidence:2

808 Yes- Confidence:1

840 Braves more hits - Confidence:1

1005 2 or more- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Saturday August 3

Just a warning I am going out tonight so my picks might be short and might not have time to do writeups or fully research every pick.


Monthly Path (7-5)
Galatasaray
Bordeaux
Azarenka
Boston Red Sox
-UFC
-UFC


Trap Picks (6-7)



900 Galatasaray - 2 evenly matched teams. I think the draw is the most likely outcome. Confidence:2

110 68 or more- Tiger was unbelievable on Friday. I just think he is more likely to come out and not dominate like he did today. I mean Tiger could obviously shoot a 65 tomorrow and it wouldn't surprise me. But I just feel that give the cushion Tiger as after the second round so if he shoots a -2 tomorrow he will be pretty happy. Confidence:2

245 Bordeaux - Confidence:1

405 Oakland Athletics- Garza is tough but A's tough at home. Feel the Rangers streak comes to an end here. I got this as a toss up though. Confidence:1

405 Los Angeles Dodgers- Samardzija has been inconsistent this year and the Cubs aren't playing that well. But I don't like Capuano just hope the Dodgers offense can outscore the Cubs here. Confidence:2

510 Azarenka - Confidence:1

710 Washington Nationals- Neither pitcher is very good. But I think the Brewers bullpen will be tired. Just think the Nationals are a better team. Confidence:2

710 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

805 Real Madrid- Better team but I think Everton is better than the Galaxy were yesterday.  Confidence:2

840 New York Yankees- Confidence:3

1040 LA Galaxy- If their key players play in this game I think they will compete and at least keep it close here. Confidence:3


Make sure to check out my UFC picks under my UFC predictions page

http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/ufc-predictions.html

1130 Decision - Confidence:3

1205 KO or TKO- Confidence:5

SFTC Picks for Friday August 2

Also if anyone is interested in playing fantasy football then make sure to let me know. I am thinking about creating a league in the next few days. If you want to read more about the league then you can click on the link below.

http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/fantasy-football-news.html


Monthly Path (5-1)
Rory McIlroy
Rostov WDLby1
Ajax by 3
Isner 2-0
Boston Red Sox
3 or more


Trap Picks (6-7)


940 Rory McIlroy - This is a really tough pick for me. Both guys are some of the best golfers in the world. These 2 will be teeing off on the back 9 nine on Friday. They both shot the same score on there first round. Rory didn't play that well on Thursday even though his scorecard would indicate otherwise. Rory made a lot of good putts to shoot a 70. Snedeker on the other hand hit the ball very well but couldn't get a good feel for the greens. The back nine favors a striker which would mean to pick Rory. I think Snedeker will come out and play better today. Think he will get a better feel for the greens. Rory has not been in that great of form from his last couple tournaments. But Rory played really well here last year finishing in a tie for 5th. Bottom line is I see 2 very good golfers and the tie option here being too good to pass up. Confidence:2

1200 Rostov WDLby1- This pick makes a lot of sense here. But I will say Russian soccer has been proven to have been rigged at points. Anzhi is the better team in my opinion even though they have not played well in their recent games. Rostov on the other hand has played well despite playing some bad teams. I got Anzhi winning a tight game 2-1. Just hoping Anzhi doesn't score a couple goals in the 90th minute. Confidence:3

110 2 birdies or fewer- This is just the safer play. Tiger is obviously more than capable of hitting 3 birdies on the first 3 holes. But all it takes is for 1 bad tee shot to green the under pickers. Tiger loves this course but his 2nd day scores are generally higher. I got him birdieing 3 and 8. But I could see him bogeying 1 of the par 3s(5 or 7). Confidence:3

140 Lee Westwood- I think a lot of people will see Webb Simpson is the leader at -6 and think why would you pick Westwood. I just think Westwood is a better golfer. Simpson is an amazing putter but I think he relies on momentum. I got both of these guys shooting a -1 tomorrow. Confidence:2

200 Ajax by 3 - This is 1 of those picks where I wish I knew more about soccer team and players. Ajax is definitely the better team. But I think a lot of this pick depends on the lineups. Both of these teams are playing really well lately. If Ajax plays their top lineup I think they take this 1. But Ajax just won a game in the Super Cup not too long ago and might rest some players. Confidence:2

330 Barcelona by 2- Surprised this pick isn't will they win by 3. They are just a much more talented team. Don't think I would even change this pick even if they didn't play some of their key players. Confidence:3

410 Isner 2-0 - Isner is a much better player in my opinion. His opponent has played him tough over their history. Even though they haven't play in almost 2 years which I think in that span Isner has gotten a lot better. Isner is a huge favorite to win this match which I agree with. Just hope he doesn't drop a set. Confidence:3

705 Baltimore Orioles- Just a much better team here with a better lineup. Tillman has been solid all year. Harangs road numbers are not very good. He has pitched well against the Orioles in the past. Even though they have been slumping I couldn't pick against them here. I think the money line is a little higher than what I would have it at. Vegas has it around -160. I would say closer to -140.  Confidence:4

710 Cleveland Indians- I got this game as a toss up. Jimenez is a little inconsistent but always seems to win when he is on SFTC. Fernandez is a stud. Give and edge to the Indians because they are the better team and red hot right now. Confidence:1

710 Kansas City Royals- Hard to not pick the Royals here considering how hot they are after winning 9 in a row. I'm a big fan of Gee who has been pitching well but especially at home. Confidence:2

710 Tampa Bay Rays- This is a decent pick considering how the Rays are a better team and at home. Bumgarner has put a pretty good numbers this year even though he has struggled at times. His road splits are slightly higher. Archer has been pitching better of late. I don't like pitchers coming off CGs because I think there is tendency for younger pitchers to struggle even though Archer was efficient and didn't have a high pitch count. But it was against the Yankees who were slumping. I have to pick the Rays here just because of how well they hit lefties and are playing better. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- I think this pick comes down to Lester. Lester has been up and down all year but has seem to found his groove the past couple starts. Any time Lester is going at Fenway it is a solid pick. Especially with the Red Sox lineup. I really like Delgado but he has never seen a talented lineup like the Red Sox this year. I got them riding the momentum of their comeback win on Thursday. Confidence:4

810 Washington Nationals- I don't care how bad the Nationals have played this year but this pick is based more off of their talent and potential. Zimmerman is a stud and has some of the best stuff in the game. I am slightly concerned though when you look at his past couple outings and you see this guy continually not pitching well. You have wonder if something is wrong with his arm. Gorzelanny is a former pirate so I have been able to seen this guys pitch before. I think he is awful but he has pitched better this year. I have to think Nationals take this game if they want to make any push for the playoffs. Also think they win as long as the good Zimmerman pitches well and I say he will. I might pick this with my streak but I don't think I would tell people to pick this. Confidence:3

1005 Oakland Athletics- I am really shocked with where the money line is at for this game. I would think this pick should be pretty close to a toss up. Ogando is pretty consistent and has done well against Oakland. Milone on the other hand has struggled against Texas. Texas could be tired from their past series but they eat up lefties. Confidence:2

1005 Toronto Blue Jays- I think the Blue Jays are a better team than the Angels. Johnson isn't pitching against which means the Angels wont be spotted 5 or 6 runs. I got the Blue jays in a close one. Confidence:1

1010 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

1110 3 or more- Confidence:1