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Tuesday, December 31, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 1/1/14

Monthly Path
Chelsea
Manchester United
UNLV
Stanford
10 or more
14 or fewer
2 or fewer


New Year and a New Month on SFTC. Best of luck to everyone.


1000 Chelsea- Chelsea is the better team so they should win here. Odds have it as basically a toss up. I think since Southhampton isn't in great form Chelsea will be able to win here. But I wouldn't be that shocked if this ended in a draw. Confidence:2

1200 North Texas- Haven't seen either team play but all the expert and odds show North Texas should win this game. Confidence:4

1202 Nebraska- Confidence:2

1230 Manchester United- Odds and numbers point to ManU getting a W at home here. But given RVP and other players are not expected to play I just don't feel good enough to say they are a great pick. Tottenham has been a pretty good road team this year and Rooney is expected to play which makes ManU the pick here but I just don't feel great about it. Confidence:2

100 Wisconsin- Confidence:1

100 Toronto Maple Leafs- Not a fan of the Red Wings with the way they have been playing recently. They have a lot players coming back from injuries which is a good thing but I think that the chemistry can take some time before everything is back together. Confidence:1

102 Iowa- I think they have a pretty good shot to win this game.  Confidence:3

300 UNLV Rebels- Confidence:3

500 Stanford- This should be a great game but I just don't see many reasons to take Mich St here. Pac 12 in bowl games this year has made the conference look like 1 of the bests. I think both these teams have a lot of similarities with physical styles of play. But I think top to bottom Stanford is a better team. Then you add the loss of Mich St mlb I think there a pretty solid play here. Confidence:5

600 Washington Wizards- Wall and the Wizards are playing better of late. Bit of a toss up but give me the home team here. Confidence:1

600 Cinncinati- Spread 7.5 which makes it a solid pick but I think SMU is better than some people think. Confidence:4

700 Indiana Pacers- Some Raptors players have been playing better of late. But more times than not Pacers are winning this game. Confidence:4

800 Minnesota Timberwolves- The spread in this game is -5.5 for the Timberwolves which in my opinion is a little inflated based on the Pelicans only being 14-15 and 5-10 on the road which Anthony Davis wasn't playing in some of those games. Pelicans will most likely be without Eric Gordon which could be a problem but they do have Tyreke Evans to fill in who is a solid player. Timberwolves should win this game. Confidence:3

800 Temple- Confidence:1

833 Central Florida(any other fb)- I think Baylor wins but I wouldn't be too shocked if UCF kept this game close and lost by a FG. Confidence:3

834 14 or fewer- Confidence:2

900 Denver Nuggets- Wow is what I have to say. Nuggets getting -9.5. Nuggets 2-8 in their last 10 games. Lawson has come back and played pretty well. I'm trying to play scenarios out in my head as to why the spread is so high. the 76ers have struggled but MCW is back and has been playing pretty well. Evan Turner wont be playing which takes away a 76ers scorer. 76ers aren't a great road team but Vegas doesn't just hand out money they put this number there for a reason. I think it should be lower but I think this is a basically a gift on the 1st of the month. Confidence:6

900 San Diego ST- Confidence:3

930 Los Angeles Clippers- The spread for this game is 11. I have been a long time player of SFTC but these are some of the highest spread I have seen up on the board. Clippers sometimes take nights off and don't play well against bad teams. But come on the Bobcats really. Confidence:6

1000 Vancouver Canucks- 2 of the hotter teams in the NHL right here. Canucks playing really well right now and I just don't trust the Lightning without Stamkos. Confidence:4

1020 2 or fewer- O/U in the game is 70...so around 35 a half but just an odds play here even though both have good offenses. Confidence:3

Monday, December 30, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 12/31

Monthly Path(113-76)
No
Purdue
TD
UNC Wilmington
Villanova
No


1233 Boston College(fb)- Not really sure what to expect from this game. Confidence:1

1234 No- Confidence:1

103 Elon- Confidence:1

103 Purdue single digits- Confidence:3

105 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:3

105 Boston Celtics- Confidence:3

203 UCLA DD(fb)- Confidence:2

405 Rice single digits(fb)- I think they have a pretty could chance to win this game. Confidence:4

406 Touchdown- Confidence:1

505 UNC Wilmington- Confidence:2

505 New York Rangers- Confidence:1

605 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:2

705 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:1

705 South Florida- Confidence:2

732 Villanova- Confidence:4

803 Duke single digits(fb)- I think this team is a lot better than some people think. Plus with the inconsistency of A&Ms defense it will allow them to make it close. Confidence:3

804 Duke offense- Confidence:2

805 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2

805 Los Angeles Kings- Confidence:1

805 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:1

805 Oklahoma City- Confidence:3

950 No- Confidence:1





Sunday, December 29, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 12/30

Monthly Path(109-75)
0 or1
Benefica
No
Any Other score
Vancouver Canucks




1145 Mid Tenn ST (football)- Confidence:1

1146 0 or 1- Confidence:2

315 Ole Miss- Confidence:2

345 Benefica- Confidence:4

645 Any Other Result(texas-football)- I wouldn't be that shocked if Texas won. Confidence:3

646 No- Confidence:2

735 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:2

805 Nashville Predators- Confidence:1

805 Los Angeles Kings- Confidence:1

805 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:2

905 Utah Jazz- Confidence:1

1005 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:3

1015 Arizona St by 15(football)-Confidence:1

Saturday, December 28, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 12/29

Monthly Path(106-73)
Liverpool
Minn Vikings
UConn by 40
Maryland DD/ Yes DD
3 or fewer



1100 Liverpool- Confidence:2

100 Dolphins or Steelers- Nice prop here but I think all 3 teams win except the Ravens which Miami would make the playoffs. Confidence:3

100 Titans DD- I think Texans don't care anymore plus don't know if Keenum is playing. Confidence:2

100 Washington Redskins- I think they win here because Cousins has been playing better and because London Fletchers last game. Fletchers is one the best LBs of this era and most people forget about him. Confidence:2

100 Minn Vikings- Lions 1-14 in their last 15 games in Minnesota. Confidence:3

100 Jaguars - Confidence:2

100 Falcons points from FGs- This was the 1 game I thought had a lot of upset potential so I think the Falcons will be in this game. Confidence:3

425 Pats DD- Confidence:1

425 Seahawks DD- I think they bounce back and show why their the 1 seed. Confidence:2

425 Chargers DD- I think Chiefs rest a lot of their players here. Confidence:3

425 Buccaneers points scored- I think the Bucs compete in this game. Confidence:3

425 Broncos DD- Confidence:2


830 Philadelphia Eagles- not sure why this pick is straight up. Confidence:5

831 Yes- Confidence:1

1010 3 or fewer- Confidence:1

Friday, December 27, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 12/28

Monthly Path (102-70)
Crystal Palace
Nebraska
Syracuse
Louisville
Teddy Bridgewater
No
-UFC
-UFC




1000 Crystal Palace- Confidence:2

1202 Rutgers(football)- Confidence:2

1202 Nebraska single digits- Confidence:3

1202 Jackson St Any other result- Confidence:2

1230 Sunderland- Confidence:3

100 Boston Celtics- Confidence:3

202 Wisconsin by 30- Confidence:1

202 Eastern Michigan any other- Confidence:2

205 Syracuse- Confidence:4

320 Cincinnati(football)- Confidence:2

400 Akron Zip- Confidence:2

405 Louisville-Confidence:3

605 Mass DD- Confidence:1

645 Louisville- Confidence:3

700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:3

700 Tampa Bay Lightning-Confidence:2

700 New York Islanders- Confidence:4

700 Washington Wizards- Confidence:1

800 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:2

800 Los Angeles Kings- Confidence:3

800 Anaheim Ducks-Confidence:4

800 Denver Nuggets- Confidence:2

800 Missouri- Confidence:3

1000 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:2

1000 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:1

1002 UCLA- Confidence:2

1015 Kansas St(football)-Confidence:3




http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/ufc-predictions.html

1125

1200

Thursday, December 26, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 12/27

Monthly Path(98-68)
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Cato Passing TD
45 or more
Minn yards offense
No Starkey
0 or 1


1000 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl- Confidence:1

232 Marshall- Confidence:2

233 Cato Passing TD- Confidence:1

425 45 or more- Confidence:1

602 Minnesota - I would be pretty shocked if they lost this game. I haven't been impressed with Syracuse this year. Confidence:4

603 Minnesota more 1st half yards- Confidence:1

700 Detroit Pistons-Confidence:1

700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:2

700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:2

700 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3

730 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:3

800 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:2

830 Dallas Stars- Confidence:4

900 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:1

900 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:2

900 Utah Jazz- Confidence:1

933 Washington- Confidence:2

934 No Sankey- Confidence:2

1125 0 or 1- Confidence:3

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 12/26

Monthly Path(95-66)
Arsenal
Manchester City
24 or fewer
Jordan Lynch TDs or tie
No


1000 Arsenal- Confidence:2

1230 Manchester City- Confidence:4

600 Bowling Green- A ton of money is being thrown on BG and their money line continues to rise. So I will agree that it is at least a decent pick to consider. I am just not that high on the MAC and could see Pitts speedy receivers having success here.  Confidence:3

601 24 or fewer- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:1

810 Grizzlies single digits- Confidence:3

835 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:2

930 Utah St- Confidence:1

931 Jordan Lynch TD or tie- Confidence:2

1045 Portland Trailblazers- I feel like Portland should win this game but I feel like the Clippers could be angry after how they lost last night. I think Blake Griffin could play really well here. Clippers really had Portland's number last year. I think Portland is a different team this year and should win this game. Confidence:3

1120 No- Confidence:1

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 12/25

Monthly Path(84-58)
Nets first to 10
No
No
Yes
Durant or Westbrook
No
Russell Westbrook points
Kevin Durant
No
2 pointer
8 or fewer
Lebron James
50 or fewer
Yes
Spurs
Yes
4 or fewer
Chris Paul
Yes





Merry Christmas and Happy Stunt Day to everyone!

The last 2 years on stunt day the winner had 17.

Most of these picks are coin flips and could be changed based on the way the game is playing.


1210 Chicago Bulls- This a pretty bad game to open up Stunt day with as both of these teams have so many injuries. So its really hard to predict this game given the injuries since a lot of the players are game time decisions. This pick is based on Williams starting for Brooklyn and at least Deng or Butler will play. Confidence:2

1211 Nets first to 10- Even though I expect the Nets to lose home teams generally score 10 first. The past 2 stunt days this was the first pick and the home team won both times. Confidence:2

1240 No- Confidence:2

107 No- Confidence:1

130 Yes- Confidence:2

240 Knicks single digits- Confidence:3

241 Durant or Westbrook- Just a smart pick. I don't watch the Thunder a lot but these 2 take close to 60% of the shots. Confidence:3

306 No- Confidence:2

348 Russell Westbrook points- Confidence:1

407 Durant- Basically is will Durant outscore Carmelo in my opinion. Confidence:3

510 Lakers - Confidence:2

511 No- Confidence:1

545 2 pointer- Confidence:3

612 8 points or fewer- Confidence:2

630 Lebron James- Confidence:1

700 50 points or fewer- Confidence:2

810 Rockets 3 pointers- Confidence:2

811 Yes- Confidence:1

827 Spurs- Confidence:1

906 Yes- Confidence:1

930 4 or fewer- Confidence:2

1040 Golden State Warriors- Confidence:3

1041 Chris Paul- Confidence:1

1124 Yes- Confidence:1

Monday, December 23, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 12/24

Monthly Path(81-57)
Tala El Gejsh
Anadolu Efes DD
Jay Alavi
No

Boise St will also be using ther backup QB. I honestly don't think its that big of a deal because Hedrick has been playing most of the year.


700 Tala El Gejsh- Confidence:2

1230 Anadolu Efes DD- Confidence:1

805 Oregon St- I really am not sure what to expect from this game. I think it could be a bit of a shutout but it could be the teams just go on runs in different halves. I really think Oregon ST is the better team top to bottom. One of my things I like to try and avoid in picking a bowl game is a team that loses a head coach. But I also don't like picking teams that have really struggled down the stretch even if those games are to good teams. Neither one of these teams has a big win that stands out to me so it shows they are really evenly matched. One of the big things I found in my research is Boise is a better 1st half team and Oregon St is a better 2nd half team. Not that it really means anything for the pick straight up but it helps for both of the props. Ultimately I give a slight edge here to Oregon St with a veteran QB in Mannion to get the ball to their playmaker Cooks and find a way to win here in a close game late. Confidence:3

806 Jay Alayi- Not confident here just because 1 big play in this prop is over. But I think Boise will really look to run the ball early and will focus a lot of attention defensively on Cooks. Confidence:1

955 No both teams 2 TDs- Really depends on the score at half time. I think Boise wins the first half and then Oregon St comes out and plays really well in the second half. But I think this is a smart play odds wise even with both teams having really good offenses. Confidence:2

Sunday, December 22, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 12/23

Monthly Path (77-55)
Giannina
No
Chelsea or No goal
Akron
22 or fewer
Sacramento Kings



1230 Giannina- Confidence:2

203 Any other- Ohio- I think Ohio will really give East Carolina all they can handle here. Tettleton is a pretty good QB and OU knows how to win in bowl games winning the past 2 years. Confidence:3

233 Oregon ST- Confidence:2

300 Chelsea- Confidence:2

301 No- Confidence:4

402 Chelsea or no goal- Confidence:1

500 Akron- I think a lot of people don't know about Akrons basketball team. I think they'll really compete with Iowa St in this game. Confidence:3

703 Tennessee by 15- Confidence:2

705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:1

705 New York Knicks- Confidence:1

705 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:2

705 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2

705 New York Rangers- Confidence:2

735 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:2

735 Philadelphia Flyers-Confidence:3

735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1

805 Boston Bruins- Confidence:3

840 Any other result Falcons- Confidence:3

841 22 competitions or fewer- Confidence:4

903 Boise St winning margin- Confidence:1

905 Denver Nuggets- Confidence:2

935 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:1

1005 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:3

1015 No- Confidence:1



Saturday, December 21, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 12/22

Monthly Path(75-52)
Southhampton
Tenn Titans
Illinois St
Forte and Marshall
Touchdown





830 Southhampton- Confidence:1

100 Vikings single digits- I really like the way the Vikings have played in recent weeks. I think they'll give Cincinnati a good game here. Confidence:3

100 Tennessee Titans- Confidence:4

100 St. Louis Rams- Confidence:3

100 New York Jets- Confidence:1

100 Chiefs DD- Confidence:2

100 Miami Dolphins- Confidence:2

100 Carolina Panthers- Confidence:2

100 Texans- Confidence:1

100 Dallas Cowboys- Confidence:2

405 Seahawks DD- Confidence:2

405 Lions DD- Confidence:2

425 Raiders- Confidence:1

425 Baltimore Ravens- Confidence:2

425 Green Bay Packers- Confidence:2

535 Iowa St DD -Confidence:3

730 New York Rangers- Confidence:2

755 Akron- Confidence:2

800 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:3

830 Philadelphia Eagles- Confidence:2

Friday, December 20, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 12/21

Monthly Path (71-49)
Fulham
Belmont
Kansas St 3 pointers
Missouri
OSU halftime lead
Penn St wrestling


Monthly Pickers- This might not be the best path because its tough to evaluate when some of these basketball games will be over. Best of luck to everyone today.


1000 Fulham- Confidence:3

1202 Belmont- Confidence:2

1202 Kansas- Confidence:1

1205 Northwest Missouri State by 20- Confidence:1

100 Boston Celtics-Confidence:2

200 Massachusetts Minutemen - Confidence:2

200 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:2

205 Eastern Michigan- Confidence:4

205 Colorado St- Confidence:2

330 Kansas St 3 pointers- Confidence:2

335 Fresno State- Confidence:4

400 Michigan St- Confidence:3

400 Vanderbilt- Confidence:2

400 LA Kings- Confidence:4

500 Davidson- Confidence:2

530 Missouri- Confidence:3

530 Buffalo(football)-Confidence:1

700 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:2

700 Tampa Bay Lightning- Confidence:3

700 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2

700 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3

700 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:3

700 Nashville- Confidence:1

700 Alabama Crimson Tide- Confidence:3

700 Oklahoma- Confidence:3

700 Orlando Magic- Confidence:2

730 Houston Rockets- Confidence:2

735 Ohio St DD- Confidence:2

830 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:1

830 Oklahoma City- Confidence:3

830 Michigan Wolverines- Confidence:3

900 Tulane(football)- Confidence:2

900 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:1

903 Marquette - Confidence:2

904 Penn State (wrestling)- Confidence:1

935 Penn St in 3 or 5- Penn St will win this match I say they get it in straight sets here. Wisconsin could win 1 but I doubt it. Confidence:3

1000 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:4

Thursday, December 19, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 12/20

Monthly Path(67-47)
Kasimpasa
Malaga
Rushing TD
14 or more
North Dakota St
Lakers 3 pointers


I like Malaga just a little bit more than Augsburg I just think they just have trap potential.


1200 Kasimpasa- They are the better team here but have really struggled on the road in their last couple games. Rizespor is in horrible form though.  Kasimpasa is +115 to get a win here. Confidence:1

230 Augsburg- Confidence:3

230 Malaga- Confidence:3

700 UW Whitewater- These 2 teams play each other almost every year in the championship. From what I can tell Whitewater is the better team this year and are 6 points favorites here. Confidence:4

700 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2

700 New York Rangers- Confidence:3

700 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2

800 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:3

800 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:2

805 North Dakota ST- Confidence:2

900 Denver Nuggets- Confidence:3

1045 Lakers 3 pointers- Confidence:4

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 12/19

Monthly Path(63-45)
Panionios
Any other result
Celta Vigo
Jabari Parker
Duke first to 10
Warriors



College Volleyball Note: I have actually followed this sport pretty extensively in the 2nd half of the season. One of the reasons is Vegas just puts lines on these games and wont change them even if they mess up. So I've been able to capitalize on a couple of those opportunities this year. I main conference I have followed has been the Pac 12 because its basically considered the best conference. When I found out the Final Four would be in the West Coast I made a prediction that the Pac 12 would win it this year but I was just unsure of what team it would be. Especially in large part due to not knowing who would win between USC and  Washington. I also considered  Stanford had a shot if they beat PSU.


1015 Panionios- Confidence:1

130 Any other result- Confidence:2

330 Celta Vigo- Confidence:3

700 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:2

700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:3

700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:3

730 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:3

733 Duke- Confidence:3

800 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:3


735 Any Other Result-Really tough pick because Wisconsin could have a really hard time with Texas's blockers. But time in time this tournament you saw a team that had virtually nothing to lose play more aggressive and be able to take a set here and there. There really isn't anyway Texas should lose this game but I think the most likely result is they win 3-1. Confidence:2

815 Thunder DD- Confidence:2

935 Washington Huskies- I love Washington here for a couple of different reasons. One is plain and simple I consider them to be the better team despite the ranking. Both teams have almost identical records with just 2 loses. But I consider the Pac 12 to be a better conference top to bottom then the Big 10. Washington wont be playing in their actually arena where they play their home games but will be playing 5 minutes from it. So basically the better team in virtual a home team against a team that has to travel on about 3 hour plane ride. Do I really need to say anything else lol. But I think the main difference between these 2 teams is Penn St service game has really hurt them this year considering so many errors. Washington has 1 of the best services games in the nation and should be able to capitalize on Penn St mistakes here. I got Washington winning around 64% of the times these 2 teams playing meaning there a solid pick here. Confidence:5


1050 Golden State Warriors- Confidence:5

1051 0 or 1- Confidence:3

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 12/18

Monthly Path (60-43)
Lyon
Manchester United
Real Madrid by 4
17 or fewer
Yes
LSU


1100 Lyon- Confidence:3

245 Manchester United- Confidence:2

300 Juventus by 2- Confidence:2

330 Real Madrid by 4- Surprisingly its the better pick here and actually could qualify for a 3. But I think 4 is a little too much for a team that doesn't necessarily need to win by 4 since the 1st leg was 0-0. Confidence:2

703 Texas single digits- Tough pick because I'm not really sure what UNC team will show up. I love UNC but their losses to Belmont and UAB are real head scratchers. I think Texas's ability to score should keep this close and the fact UNC is not a great free throw shooting team could keep it to single digits. Confidence:2

703 NC State single digits- I get its tough to play at Tennesse and Tennesse might be the better team. But I really don't think NC State is that bad. Confidence:3

710 Miami Heat- I think they want to win this game more because the Pacers took the first game this year. Confidence:2

711 17 or fewer- Confidence:2

735 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:2

735 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:1

805 New York Knicks- Confidence:1

810 Pittsburgh Penguins- Rangers are always tough at MSG and Penguins have some many injuries. I got this game going to a shootout and the Penguins winning. Confidence:1

830 Yes both teams get 22 points- I expect a slow start here for the Pacers. But both of these teams averages some of the highest 3rd quarter totals in the NBA. Both average around 25.6 for the 3rd quarter. Confidence:3

905 UConn wining margin- Stanford averages about 6/7 3s a game. But I think UConn is a better team. Confidence:2

905 LSU- Theyre a pretty solid pick here. LSU is 1 of the better teams in the SEC and plays a pretty deep team that has some solid guards. I really don't consider Texas Tech to be a good team. They beat 6 scrub teams and lost to the 3 best teams they faced. Them being at hope might make this close but give me LSU here. Confidence:4

Monday, December 16, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 12/17

Monthly Path (57-39)
Ceahlaul
Evergrande
 Barcelona by 3
Any other player
made free throw
Colorado Avalanche
Florida



1000 Ceahlaul- Confidence:2

230 Evergrande- any other- Confidence:2

245 Chelsea- Confidence:4

400 Barcelona by 3- Confidence:4

702 Cincinnati 3 pointers- Confidence:2

703 Any Other Player- Just from an odds perspective but from what I have saw of Pitt is they don't have 1 scorer and spread the ball around. Confidence:2

704 Duke single digits- Confidence:1

704 South Florida DD- Confidence:1

705 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:1

705 Winnipeg - Confidence:1

705 Tampa Bay Lightning - Confidence:1

735 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:2

735 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:3

735 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2

805 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:1

805 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:3

805 Minnesota Wild- Confidence:1

805 Memphis Grizzlies- Confidence:3

810 Made free throw- not great outside shooting teams in my opinion. Confidence:1

835 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:2

905 Oklahoma City Thunder- Confidence:2

905 Wichita St- I think they are the better team but don't over look Alabama despite their record. Confidence:2

905 Louisville by 20- Confidence:3

930 Florida Gators- Confidence:3

Sunday, December 15, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 12/16

Monthly Path (56-34)
2 goals or fewer
Trabzonspor
Celta Vigo
15 or fewer
Yes
2 Tds or fewer


Going to be busy this week I promise Ill try to get picks up


1030 2 goals or fewer- Confidence:3

100 Trabzonspor- Confidence:3

245 AS Roma- Confidence:2

400 Celta Vigo- Confidence:3

703 Garner Webb 2nd half points- Duke is around -25. Confidence:1

704 15 or fewer- Confidence:2

705 Columbus Blue Jackets- Winnipeg is a really underrated team in the NHL this year. But Johnasen for Columbus has been on fire and the Blue Jackets play well at home. Confidence:2

735 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:3

735 New York Knicks- Confidence:3

735 Minnesota Timberwolves- Confidence:2

840 Lions winning margin- Confidence:3

841 Yes- confidence:1

905 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:2

1015 2 TDs or fewer- Confidence:4

1035 LA Clippers- Confidence:1

Saturday, December 14, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 12/15

Monthly Path (51-34)
Syracuse
Washington Capitals
Packers rush TD
Brown or neither
30 or fewer



1100 Liverpool- Confidence:1

1203 Syracuse - Confidence:4

100 Seattle DD- Confidence:2

100 Yes- Hard to really trust both Atl and Indy to win. Indy has not played well recently and Falcons haven't been good this year. I think Yes is the better pick but no confidence. Confidence:1

100 114 or fewer- Granted Vikings run defense is great but that's a lot of yards even for McCoy. Confidence:3

100 Cleveland Browns- Confidence:2

100 Buffalo Bills- Hard to take away anything from Jacksonville winning 3 in a row but I think the Bills are a much better team. Confidence:3

100 New England Patriots- I get the Pats will miss Gronk but they still have Brady. They have won 9 of the last 10 games against Miami. Confidence:2

100 Buccaneers 2nd half points- They have been playing well especially offesneively but some of those games were against bad defenses. Will be interesting to see how they handle SF defense. Still a decent pick from an odds perspective. Confidence:3

300 Washington Capitals- Confidence:4

305 Maryland Terrapins- Now a lot of people probably wont pick this game. But if you pick a 1 o'clock game and it gets out of hand you could really think about forfeiting and picking this even though it might take a little longer. Notre Dame is -150 to win today and in my opinion that's really over inflated because of how well they have playing in this tournament. They scored 4 goals against some bad teams. I think they should be favored but not that high. Basically all my friends who play soccer really like Maryland and one them thought they would win this at the beginning of this tournament. I agree with them based off of what I saw on Friday even though Notre Dame looked really good. Basically Mullins for Maryland is the best player on the field tomorrow and I think he could have a huge game. Maryland has a lot mere leadership and experienced players I think they get in done tomorrow. Confidence:2

405 Panthers DD- Confidence:2

405 Kansas City winning margin- Confidence:2

425 Packers points- Confidence:3

425 Arizona- Confidence:2

425 Yes Saints- Confidence:1

500 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:1

600 Minnesota Timberwolves- Confidence:2

600 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:3

600 Packers rush TD- Confidence:2

700 New York Rangers- Confidence:4

700 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:2

703 Missouri- Confidence:2

800 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:1

830 Cincinnati Bengals- Bengals a better team top to bottom. Steelers still have injuries on the OL. As long as Dalton isn't awful I think they win this game. Wonder if the Steelers have given up on the season. Confidence:3

831 Brown or neither- Green is a beast but I think Steelers will put a lot of attention on him. Confidence:3

1010 30 or fewer- Confidence:3

Friday, December 13, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 12/14

Monthly Path (47-31)
Manchester City
Arizona
Indiana
Kentucky
Winston Mason McCaron
-UFC
-UFC





745 Manchester City-Confidence:3

1200 Arizona Wildcats- Confidence:3

1200 West Chester- Confidence:2

1230 Stoke City- Confidence:2

200 Los Angeles Kings- Confidence:2

200 Buffalo Sabres- Confidence:1

300 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:3

310 Army points scored- Navy probably wins by 14 but Army has a really good offense that should score at least 20. Confidence:5

315 Indiana Hoosiers- Confidence:3

515 Kentucky Wildcats- Confidence:2

700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:2

700 St. Louis Blues- Blues should win this game but Columbus is really hot right now. Confidence:3

700 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:4

700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:2

700 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:2

700 LA Clippers- Confidence:4

730 New York Knicks- Confidence:2

800 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:3

800 Cincinnati Bearcats- Confidence:4

800 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:2

845 Winston Mason McCcaron- This is a pretty tough pick. This is my prediction right now. I think the pick will become a little more clearer later on Saturday. I think a lot of voters place a large importance on the SEC and I think some people wont pick Lynch to finish that high based off of the Conference Championship. But Winston and Mason are basically locks at 1 and 2. Confidence:1

900 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:4

1000 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:2



UFC Picks 
I apologize I don't have time to do a full writeup for these fights but both are really tough to call.

930 Urijah Faber- I have this as basically a toss up. Most people who know anything about MMA and UFC have heard of Faber so majority of people will pick him here. But McDonald is a gritty 22 year old who is an absolute beast. I wouldn't be surprised if he gets a shot at the title in a couple of years. Faber is the pick here but to my followers who love picking underdogs take McDonald. Dude has really good strength but all signs put for this fight to go to a decision so that's why I have it as a coin flip. Confidence:1

100 Demetrious Johnson- Another tough pick because I think this most likely goes to a decision. Johnson is usually pretty good at scoring points with takedowns so I think he gets this one because of that. Confidence:3

Thursday, December 12, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 12/13

Monthly Path (43-28)
Avtomoblilist Yekaterinburg
Fenerbahce
Levante
New Mexico
Kobe Bryant points
3 or fewer
Golden State Warriors


Friday the 13th so watch for some upsets.

College Soccer update: I have actually followed the sport a little bit this year. I also have some friends who played against some of these teams and follow it a lot more than I do. I really trust their opinions so this pick will be based on them and odds.


800 Avtomoblilist Yekaterinburg- Confidence:2

100 Fenerbahce- toss up for me. Fenerbahce is pretty good offensively especially at home. Confidence:1

300 Levante- I think this will be a really low scoring game might come down to if anyone scores. I say Levante gets 1 tomorrow and wins 1-0. Confidence:2

500 New Mexico- Notre Dame is a really good team but they have a pretty young squad. New Mexico is really good and is actually the better team despite these rankings. Confidence:2

700 Cleveland Cavaliers- Cavs 1-10 on the road this year. Confidence:1

730 New York Knicks- Another game whether I'm not really  sure what to expect. Boston killed the Knicks a couple of days ago. I just think Knicks get some momentum after a big win against Chicago. Confidence:2

730 Washington Capitals- Confidence:2

733 Maryland Terrapins- These teams tied 3-3 in their meeting this year. Maryland should win this game pretty easily. Have yet to see any odds on this game but I assuming Maryland should be around -150. Confidence:4

800 New Orleans Pelicans- I just trust the Pelicans a lot more here than a banged up Grizzlies team. Confidence:3

803 Eastern Illinois- Confidence:2

810 Thunder DD- Confidence:2

811 Kobe Bryant points- I mean even if the Thunder are up DD I think Kobe gets around 10 points just based off of how many shots he'll probably take. Confidence:3

830 Chicago Bulls- Too many injuries to really trust the Bulls here. Confidence:1

930 3 or fewer- Durant Westbrook and 1 laker most likely Kobe. Confidence:1

933 Iowa State- This should be a really good game by 2 of the best offensive teams in the league. Iowa coming into this year was a really underrated team. For me it will be interesting to see how Iowa handles the pressure of being on the road and finally being ranked. This could be a potential let down game in my opinion. Another thing about this game is I think Iowa relies too much on Marble to run their offense. Not that its a bad thing but I'm not a huge fan of team that has really 1 main scorer. I think Iowa state is the better team and they'll get a win here at home. Confidence:3

1045 Golden State Warriors- Confidence:4

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 12/12

Monthly Path(38-27)
36 or fewer
Maribor
Sevilla
Maryland
No
Portland



1145 36 or fewer- Confidence:2

100 Maribor- Wigan is not in great form and aren't a great road team. Confidence:3

305 Sevilla-They are actually the favorite to win this game so them win the draw is huge here. Confidence:5

700 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:1

700 New York Rangers- Confidence:3

703 Maryland Terrapins- As far as talent is concerned Maryland should win just based off of that. But some people really tough BC would be pretty good this year. BC is a pretty tough to play but give the better team. Confidence:3

735 Tampa Bay Lightning- Confidence:3

800 Dallas Stars- Confidence:1

800 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:2

815 LA Clippers- Clippers are just 7-6 on the road this year which shows they are vulnerable for losses on the road. Brooklyn is finally starting to play a little bit better now that Deron Williams is back. I think this will be a pretty competitive game. I think Williams has a pretty big game here at home which is why I am not confident in the Clippers. Confidence:2

829 Chargers- Confidence:2

830 Chargers points- This is just the safer play. I wonder how the Broncos offense will look without Welker. I think the Chargers offense could have success in this game. Confidence:3

900 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2

930 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:1

1010 No- Confidence:2

1050 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:3

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 12/11

Monthly Path (33-26)
Spartak Moscow
No
No
Carmelo
2 or fewer
Ducks


1030 Spartak Moscow- Confidence:1

245 Arsenal- This pick could really come down to how Arsenals lineup. If they field a pretty good or good team I think they get a result here. Arsenal needs at least a draw to win the group and as long as they don't lose 0-3 they will advance. Napoli is currently in third so they will press for goals but I got a draw here because I think Arsenal is a better team. If Arsenal fields a pretty bad lineup I would think about switching to Napoli then. Confidence:3

245 No- Confidence:1

245 Barcelona- I would really try not to pick this since the safer pick is probably Celtic. But Celtic really has nothing to play for but Barcelona will be without some key players including Messi. Confidence:1

347 No- I'm really not sure. o/u is at 3. It will depend on the first half. I don't see a shootout I see a 1-1 game. Confidence:1

702 North Dakota State- They have a lot of seniors on this team. They have had some bad games this year. But I feel they enough big guys to match up down low with Notre Dame here. Confidence:2

735 LA Kings- Kings are the better team but its tough to play in Toronto especially traveling on back to back nights. Confidence:1

805 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:2

810 New York Knicks-  This pick really could come down to who plays for the Bulls. If Deng and Noah are both out I might like this pick a good bit. Confidence:2

811 Carmelo- Same could apply here. I think Deng and Noah out mean a lot more shots for Boozer which is really the only real threat in my opinion to outscore Carmelo. Confidence:2

930 2 or fewer- Confidence:3

1035 Anaheim Ducks- I feel like I should begin to memorize the stats for how good the Ducks are at home. Ducks are 1 of the best teams in the NHL but they just play so well in Anaheim. Ducks are 11-0-2 in their this year. Majority of those games are blowouts. Wild are a good team but there haven't play great recently and don't travel very well. I would be pretty surprised if the Ducks lost here. Confidence:5

1040 Dallas 3 pointers- Dallas averages close to 8 3s a game. Warriors are tough at home. But I like the way Dirk and the Mavs are playing now. Generally when these 2 teams play they are usually pretty close. Confidence:3

Monday, December 9, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 12/10

Monthly Path (30-24)
No neither player
Yes
Casey Prather
Kansas
Boise St(Any other result)



245 Manchester United- Confidence:1

245 No neither player- Odds are 1 goal will be scored in the first half of this game. But I wouldn't be surprised if its 0. RVP is finally back from his injuries but I read that they might monitor his minutes coming off of playing a full game. So its not even a guarantee he starts here. Rooney is expected to be back in the lineup from his suspension. Even though both these players are more than capable of getting 1 here. I just think odds wise its a pretty safe bet that they don't. Confidence:4

245 Manchester City- Even though Munich is really dangerous I just don't feel confident enough for them to win by more than 1 here. Confidence:2

347 Yes- Depends on 1st half. If Man U is up I might switch. Confidence:1

702 Florida - I'm picking Florida here because there at home. I have them low because I have a hard time thinking Kansas could lose back to back games. They have so much talent but they really haven't impressed me to this point. Confidence:1

703 Casey Prather- Confidence:3

704 Oakland- Confidence:2

705 Indiana Pacers- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:3

705 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:1

705 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:2

705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3

705 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:2

735 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:1

735 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:2

735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1

805 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:2

808 Kansas- Confidence:1

905 Boise St- Confidence:4

905 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:4

905 Gonzaga- Confidence:3

935 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:3

1035 LA Lakers- Confidence:1



Sunday, December 8, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 12/9

Monthly Path (26-22)
CFR Cluj
Either team leads
1 goal
7 or fewer
Any other Player
24 or fewer



1130 CFR Cluj- Confidence:2

300 Swansea City- Hull City has been awful on the road this year. Confidence:3

301 Either team Leads- Confidence:2

402 1 goal- Confidence:1

702 Bryant- Confidence:2

703 7 or fewer- Confidence:1

840 Chicago Bears- Confidence:1

841 Any Other Player- Confidence:2

1015 24 or fewer- Confidence:2

Saturday, December 7, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 12/8

Monthly Path (24-19)
Miami
Florida ST
2 tds or fewer
Drew Brees
Panthers or tie


1100 Arsenal- Everton rarely loses but Arsenal too tough at home. Confidence:3

1233 Miami- I think this spread is a little high at -6 but that still makes them a pretty good play here. Confidence:4

100 Kansas City Chiefs- Confidence:3

100 Cleveland Browns- Confidence:2

100 Green Bay Packers- Confidence:4

100 New York Jets- Confidence:1

100 Miami Dolphins- Confidence:1

100 Philadelphia Eagles- Confidence:2

100 Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Confidence:2

100 Andy Dalton- Confidence:3

100 Ravens- Confidence:2

155 Tiger Woods- This is definitely the pick of the day if anyone just wanted 1 pick. Tiger Woods to win this tournament is -450 in large part due to the fact he was the favorite to win at the beginning. I haven't watched a lot of this tournament but most of the field struggled yesterday. That tells me there were some tough hole placements. There are only 2 golfers who have a shot to catch Tiger and that's Zach Johnson and Bubba Watson. I think as long as 1 of those 2 guys don't go off or Tiger doesn't get too conservative that he'll win this. He is the host of this tournament so I think its an added reason for why he will want to win here. Confidence:6

303 Florida St- From what I saw I think Florida ST is a little better. But RPI has UCLA at 2 FSU at 3. Confidence:1

405 Broncos DD- Confidence:2

425 San Diego Chargers- Giants have really turned their season around. But I really like the Chargers and I think as long as Rivers doesn't play awful they should win here. Confidence:4

425 San Francisco 49ers- Confidence:3

425 Rams points from FGs- Confidence:2

503 Ole Miss- Confidence:2

600 San Jose- Confidence:2

605 2 tds or fewer- depends on how the first half plays out. but given both of these defense this has to be a decent play. Confidence:3

700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:2

700 New York Rangers- Confidence:3

800 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:2

803 Rutgers- Confidence:2

830 New Orleans Saints- Confidence:3

831 Drew Brees- Confidence:2

1005 Panthers- Might be whoever is losing. Confidence:1

Friday, December 6, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 12/7

Monthly Path (22-15)
Manchester City
Sunderland
Kansas
Virginia
Jameis Winston
Florida st 3rd quarter


1000 Manchester City- They haven't been great on the road but they should win here. Confidence:2

1202 Oklahoma ST dd- Confidence:3

1202 SMU- I got Central Florida winning by a touchdown so I think SMU keeps this close. Confidence:3

1202 Marshall- Confidence:1

1203 Temple- Confidence:1

1230 Sunderland- Confidence:3

1232 UCLA Bruins- Confidence:2

100 Memphis- Confidence:1

130 UMass- Confidence:2

200 Dallas Stars- Confidence:3

315 Kansas- Confidence:2

335 Baylor by 15- Confidence:2

400 Missouri- Confidence:1

405 New Mexico- Confidence:3

405 Sporting Kansas City- Confidence:1

500 Virginia- Confidence:4

515 Arizona by 15- Confidence:1

700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:2

700 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:3

700 Tampa Bay Lightning- Confidence:1

705 UNC Greensboro- Confidence:2

730 New York Rangers- Confidence:4

732 Rutgers- Confidence:4

745 Stanford- Confidence:1

800 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:5

800 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:2

800 Memphis Grizzlies- Confidence:1

805 Florida ST by 30- Confidence:3

820 Ohio St- I like OSU but I am not a die hard fan. Michigan St is good and I understand why people would think they have a shot. But I really see there is no way they win this game. Confidence:6

830 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:2

830 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:1

900 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:2

900 Alabama- Confidence:2

1000 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:4

1005 Fresno ST- Confidence:2



Thursday, December 5, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 12/6

Monthly Path (18-13)
Krasnodar
Bel Germ SPai Switz
Bologna
Florida ST
2 TDS or fewer
Kentucky




I apologize I'm going to be pretty busy this weekend. I will try to have all my picks up. Best of luck to everyone.



845 Krasnodar- A lot of money being put on Moscow might make me change this pick. Confidence:3

1145 Belgium Germany Spain or Switzerland- Find your lucky coin. Confidence:1

136 Tiger Woods- He will beat him more times than not. Confidence:3

245 Bologna- Confidence:3

700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:2

700 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:3

700 Arizona St- Confidence:2

730 Denver Nuggets- I don't like road teams. But the Nuggets are hot and I think will bounce back after a bad performance against Cleveland. Confidence:5

800 Northern Illinois- Confidence:4

900 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:3

900 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:1

932 Ok St by 20- Confidence:2

1000 Kentucky- 2 of the teams with some of the best athletes in college basketball. I think Baylor as a team is pretty overrated. Kentucky hasn't look great so far this year. But I think as long as they come out and hustle they should win this game. Confidence:4

1000 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:3

1000 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:3

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 12/5

Monthly Path (16-9)
Salavat Ufa
Rory
Lyon
7 or fewer
7 points or fewer
Miami Heat



800 Salavat Ufa- Confidence:2

1230 Rory McIlroy- These are 2 of the best golfers in the world. Rory didn't have a great year for his standards last year. I am not a huge fan of McDowell but he finds way to play at certain tournaments. This course fits Rory perfectly. Long par 5 were if he handles the par 5s should be able to be in contention to win this tournament this weekend. If this was a whole round I would be pretty confident in this pick. 3 par 5s should be 3 birdie opportunities for Rory. Rory is definitely the pick here. Confidence:3

300 Lyon- Both are decent teams but Lyon is a little better and at home. Confidence:2

700 Dallas Stars- Toronto plays better at home but the Stars are a very good defense team. Toronto has some key players injured. I have this game as a toss up but I would lean towards Dallas here. Confidence:1

700 San Jose Sharks- Another hockey game I have has pretty much a toss up. Sharks probably the best team in the NHL right now. Penguins have so much talent and are so tough at home. If I pick this game I would go Penguins. Confidence:1

730 Boston Bruins- Bruins are the better team in my opinion and will win this game more times than not. But Montreal has won the last 3 meetings between these 2 teams. Confidence:2

730 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1

730 Tampa Bay Lightning- Even without Stamkos the Lightning have more talent than the Senators. Plus there really tough at home. Confidence:3

730 Louisville- Confidence:3

800 Nashville Predators- Confidence:2

800 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:2

802 Rhode Island- Confidence:3

830 Houston Texans- both teams are so bad. Confidence:1

900 Ole Miss- Confidence:1

930 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:2

950 Miami Heat-  Heat will win this game more times than not. Confidence:4

Tuesday, December 3, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 12/4

Monthly Path (13-6)
Chievo Verona
No
Manchester United
11 points or fewer
Ohio St 15
Nebraska


1100 Chievo Verona- They certainly are the pick here because they are a solid home team and Reggina is in pretty bad form at the moment. Verona to win is around -140 I think that is a little too high but they should win here. Confidence:2

245 Manchester United- Even without RVP this team continues to play well. I cant pick against them here at home. Everton has been good this year but United should get the W here. Confidence:3

245 No- Confidence:1

245 Manchester City- They haven't been great on the road this year. But they are on fire lately. I think as long as they play their regular starters they should win. Confidence:4

347 Manchester United- Confidence:1

700  ACC- I think they split 3-3 today. I think the ACC is just a better conference this year. I think NC State will definitely win, Virginia should win, and BC and Miami actually have a decent shot. My initial prediction is BC will be the 3rd but I think they get 3 here. Confidence:2

702 Ohio St DD- Confidence:2

703 11 points or fewer- I think both teams have multiple scoring options and both are solid defensively. Confidence:1

704 Virginia- Should be a good game and it might be the first to 60 or 65 wins. Virginia's defense is just too good for me to pass up here. I think since their so solid defensively they'll be able to limit Wisconsin offense and their outside shooting and ultimately win this game. Confidence:3

705 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:1

705 Denver Nuggets- I didn't think I would of said this a couple of weeks ago but the Nuggets are one of the hottest teams in the NBA. I think they could struggle with traveling here so I think this is an opportunity for a let down game given Cleveland tough at home. But given how the West has played against the East this year they have to be at least considered a decent pick here. Confidence:3

732 Northwestern - Confidence:2

735 Los Angeles Clippers- Just from a talent stand point they should win this game. Confidence:3

805 New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

805 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:3

807 Ohio ST 15- Confidence:1

810 Detroit Red Wings- Zetterberg being out really hurts them. Confidence:2

905 Michigan St DD- I think UNC will play well here because they generally play well in big games. But they are just a mess now. Even without Harris I think MSU should roll. Confidence:2

905 Purdue- Confidence:1

935 Nebraska- Confidence:3

935 San Antonio - Confidence:2

1005 Phoenix Coyotes- Really good depend if Smith is in net here. If he is they should win here. Confidence:2

1005 Oklahoma City- Confidence:1



Monday, December 2, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 12/3

Monthly Path (8-4)
Spezia
Lille
1 team
No
Fair and Cooney
Yes
Anaheim Ducks


Monthly Pickers: there will most likely be props added so pick them and if I don't update my monthly path I would roll with the high percentage



900 Spezia- I have yet to find out a whole lot of info about this match. Spezia to advance is around -130 which shows they are the favorite. Odds for them to win this match are pretty low. I have to go with the odds and hope for a draw at home for Spezia. Confidence:1

100 Lille- Even those both of these teams are at the top of the standings I think Lille is the much better team. They have scored 17 goals and only given up 4 through 15 games which is really impressive. They have great at home going 7-0-3 in their last 10. I have to think Lille finds a way to win this match. Confidence:2

300 AS Monaco- They are the better team out of these 2. But they really aren't in great form and struggle on the road. Monaco should win this game but a draw here wouldn't surprise me. Confidence:2

300 Crystal Palace- Neither team is really that good. Hard game for me to pick considering I hate taking road teams to straight up win. West Ham has only scored 4 goals on the road in 6 games. The much safer play is the draw at home in my opinion. Confidence:2

300 1 team- Really a toss up since the o/u is set at 2 with a lean on the over. Im going to say 1 of these teams scores in the first half. Confidence:1

402 No- I doubt they get more than 1 so I might switch if they don't score in the 1st half. Confidence:1

705 Philadelphia 76ers- Confidence:1

705 San Jose Sharks- They are absolutely on fire lately going 8-1-1 in their last 10. Toronto has all kinds of problems. Even though Sharks on the road they should win this game. Confidence:3

705 Columbus Blue Jackets- Really a toss up but I don't trust the Lightning that much without Stamkos. Confidence:1

715 Yes ACC- I think this pick really comes down to 2 who wins 2 games. The odds have really shifted towards Georgia Tech and Minnesota. Duke Syracuse Pitt and Iowa should all win their games. I still think Illinois is a better team than GT but odds are really pointing to them winning at least 4 games today. If you were to parlay the 3 most likely to win tonight for the big 10 it would be around +250. Confidence:4

717 Indiana 3 pointers- This is a really tough pick for me as I have it as a toss up. The game all comes down to who dictates the pace. If Indiana can get out and face break and not let Syracuse play their defense then Indiana might have a shot. I got Cuse winning by around 5-8 points and Indiana hitting enough 3s to keep it close. Confidence:2

719 Illinois - They are the better team here but will be a good road test for them. Confidence:2

732 Penn ST- toss up for me. Pitt has looked great so far this year but sometimes they let bad teams keep games closer than the spread is. This is kind of a rivalry game for both teams so I expect Penn St should come out and play well here. Confidence:1

735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1

735 Denver Nuggets- Nuggets are just the better team at the moment winning 6 in a row. Nets have so many issues for a team that was suppose to be the top of the East. Without pierce and Williams I don't know how you can like the Nets. I mean sure Johnson could go off. Only thing that scares me is Denver doesn't play great defense and this game could be high scoring so it could let the Nets in the game. But more times than not Nuggets winning this game. Confidence:4

805 Vancouver Canucks- Canucks are the better team in my opinion and have played really well on the road this year. They are in a bit of a slump so I really don't have a whole lot of confidence in them. Confidence:1

920 Duke winning margin- Now this pick will probably surprise some people. Since Michigan is a great 3 point shooting team and it basically all they do. Now I don't actually have this stat but I will try and find it tomorrow when I research this pick a little more but Coach K RARELY if ever loses 2 games in a row. I don't think Michigan is a great team and think they are a pretty easy team to scout for. In Michigan both losses this year they struggled against teams that were more athletic then they are or at least could match it. Michigan is averaging close to 9 3s a game but that number is a little skewed due to the fact they hit 15 against LBSU.  I mean even though they could hit 7 or 8 here I think Duke absolutely dominates them here at home. Confidence:3


920 Iowa DD- pick could come down to how Marble is. I heard he was hurt a couple games ago and his minutes could take a hit. If that is the case I might switch. But if he is 100 or close to 100 I have to Iowa here. They just are the better team. Confidence:1

935 Minnesota- I think they are the better team and playing at home. They should win this game. Confidence:3

935 Phoenix Coyotes- Good come to down to whos in net in this game. I actually like the talent Edmonton has and the potential but they really haven't play up to it this year. They have been playing better of late. But its hard to pick them and have any confidence given how bad their defense has been. I would lean slightly on the Coyotes if Smith is in net. Confidence:2

1005 Anaheim Ducks- Ducks are in a bit of a slump but they should definitely win this game. They always play tough at home. They are 10-0-1 their this year. Kings are tough all the time. But given Quick is out Scrivens might be asked to play on back to back days which I don't like in hockey. If the Kings choose not to use Scrivens they will be having a rookie making his first career start which is really tough especially against a good offensive team like Anaheim. 7 of Anaheims win at home this year have been my 2 goals or more. Ducks will win this game more times than not. Confidence:4

Sunday, December 1, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 12/2

Monthly Path (4-2)
CSKA Moscow
Fiorentina
Lazio
Napier
Drew Brees completions
No


(11:30 PM Eastern Time) I am expecting StreakMaster to add some more games I will try to check and the morning and update my picks.



800 CSKA Moscow- Not very confident in this pick because Moscow is the better team. Rostov is a really tough home team. I think Moscow should get it done tomorrow. Confidence:2

1230 PAOK - This is a toss up for me. Confidence:1

100 Fiorentina- They are the better team and having been playing pretty good lately. Verona is not a good road team. I got Fiorentina winning 2-0 today. Confidence:4

300 Lazio- I love this pick. I wouldn't even be surprised if Lazio won this match. They have only 1 loss in their last 10 games. Napoli is in absolutely bad form right now losing their last 3 games. I really like Lazio to get a result here. Confidence:5

702 UConn- This is a solid pick considering UConn is getting 5 points. I think from a talent stand point I give a slight edge to UConn. Florida is a team that might surprise some people with how many players they lost. Wilbekin a key player for them will making his 2nd start and it will be interesting to see how they start to come together as a team. I think this game should be close but UConn at home is too tough for me here. Confidence:4

703 Napier- Its only for a half but Napier should win this pick. Florida is solid defensively which scares me. But they spread the ball around offensively. I think now that Wilbekin is back for Florida it will take shots away from Prather. Only way I think this pick loses is if Napier gets in foul trouble or if Prather goes off. But just based on how they have played so far this year and by how many shots they will probably take Napier has an edge. Confidence:3

704 Auburn- I think Auburn is kind of an underrated team and I really haven't been that impressed with Iowa State. I think 20 is a lot for this game. Confidence:3

840 Seattle Seahawks- This should be a great game on Monday night. But I have to take the Seahawks here for a couple of reasons. 1 is the Saints have not played well outside of New Orleans all year. The weather is suppose to be cold so for me those kind of conditions favors the team with the better defense and better running game. Seattle should have an edge with both of those. Seattle hasn't played great in some of their last couple games considering they were against some bad teams. But they found ways to win. I think with Seattle coming off of  a bye week and playing behind the crowd on MNF will get them the win there. Sure they have a comfortable lead in their division but I think they want home field so they will come out and win this game. Confidence:6

841 Drew Brees completions- I expect a low scoring game. I think weather could play a factor but Brees should win this because he spread the ball around so well. Confidence:2

905 Mercer- I think Mercer's ability to score will keep this game close. I think if they can get out and fast break it could give Oklahoma trouble here. Oklahoma should win this game but from what I have seen Mercer is a decent team. Confidence:3

905 Texas DD- Confidence:1

1005 Indiana Pacers- Both of these teams are playing on back to back days. Both teams won that game. Its just really hard for me to pick against the Pacers the way they are playing but not very confident since both teams are really good. Confidence:1

1015 No- Only way I would think about changing this is if Seahawks start to pull away a little bit because then the Saints will be throwing the ball more and I could see them scoring 2. But given how both teams are solid defensively this has to be a decent pick. Confidence:3

1030 St. Louis Blues- 2 of the best teams in NHL. Blues are red hot but Kings at home are tough. I think with Quick on IR it gives a slight edge to the Blues in this game. Confidence:1