SFTC Picks for Saturday 3/1

Monthly Path
Chelsea
Rutgers
Alabama
VCU
Marcus Smart
75 or more


Rest of the picks should be up by the after noon.



1000 Chelsea- In this match we get the best vs the worst in the Premier League. Chelsea's manager came out and said something that I thought was pretty interesting. He said Fulham has been struggling recently and sometimes that can be a bad thing because teams can be so desperate for points. Really not seeing any reason as to why not to take Chelsea here. Maybe Fulham scores early and then tries to hold on for a 1-1 draw but even in that scenario I have to think Chelsea would find a way to get 2. I'm not going to be up early enough to find out Chelsea's actually lineup but from what I could find and see its not a bad one. Chelsea's expected lineup : Cech, terry, cahill, cole, lampard, matic, azpilicueta, schurrle, torres, salah, and hazard. I'm not overlooking or overthinking this pick at all and hoping nothing crazy and Chelsea wins to start the month off with a green. Confidence: 4

1010 Tomas Berdych- Confidence:1

1100 Dayton- Confidence:1

1200 Rutgers- Rutgers decent favorites here think they are the better team and already beat this team by 10 earlier this year.  Confidence:3

1200 Tennessee- Vandy beat them earlier this year but it was one of Tenn worst games this season. Think Tenn comes out and stomps this average Vandy team even though Vandy has covered in a lot of SEC games this year. I just don't think they match up with Tenn athletically. Confidence:2

1200 Cincinnati- I think UC defensively is too tough for UConn. Think they slow down Boatright and Napier. UConn had to play really well for their first matchup to be close. Confidence:2

1230 Southampton - Confidence:2

100 Indiana St- Confidence:1

100 Boston Bruins- This line is way too high in my opinion. Bruins have way too many injuries and Rask isn't for sure starting but is expected. Confidence:3

100 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:3

100 New York Rangers- Confidence:2

135 Brendon de Jonge- Confidence:1

200 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:4

200 Pitt- Confidence:2

200 Louisville- Confidence:3

205 Missouri St- Confidence:2

300 St. Joes - Confidence:3

300 Alabama- Confidence:4

300 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:1

300 Dallas Stars- Confidence:3

400 LA Kings- Confidence:2

400 Oklahoma- Even though I think Texas matches up really well against them. Confidence:1

400 Syracuse- Confidence:1

400 Mich St DD- Confidence:2

405 LSU- Confidence:1

500 Nebraska- Confidence:5

500 Creighton- Confidence:4

600 VCU- Confidence:3

600 Arizona St- Confidence:2

600 Kentucky DD- Confidence:2

605 Boise St- Confidence:2

700 Iowa St- Confidence:3

700 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:2

800 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:1

800 UC Davis- Confidence:2

830 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:4

900 Temple- Confidence:2

902 Kansas- Not too many teams I would pick against Kansas. Should be a good game and Ok St might need this game to make the tourney. Ok St has played well since Smart has come back but are wins against TCU and Tech that big of a deal. Confidence:4

903 Marcus Smart- Confidence:2

1000 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:1

1000 Gonzaga- Confidence:2

1000 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:3

1005 San Diego St- Confidence:2

1007 75 or more- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Friday 2/28

Monthly Path(104-83)
Adam Scott
Novak 2-0
Evian
Manhattan first to 10
4 or more
51 or fewer



725 Adam Scott- Confidence:1

1010 Novak wins 2-0- Confidence:3

230 Evian- Confidence:3

230 Bilbao by 2- Confidence:2

700 Providence- Confidence:2

700 Manhattan- Confidence:1

730 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:4

800 Golden St Warriors- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 2/27

Monthly Path(100-79)
Zach Johnson or Keegan Bradley
Any Other Result
Napoli
No
Kentucky Lead
Wade and Chalmers
Knicks
Oregon St

735 Zach Johnson or Keegan Bradley- Confidence:3

800 Any Other Result- Confidence:3

100 Napoli- Confidence:4

100 FC Porto- Confidence:1

305 No- Confidence:2

700 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:3

700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:2

700 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:4

700 New York Rangers- Confidence:1

700 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:1

730 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:2

730 Washington Capitals- Confidence:2

800 Nashville Predators- Confidence:2

800 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:3

807 NY Knicks- Confidence:2

830 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:1

900 Iowa- Confidence:3

900 Marquette- Confidence:4

930 LA Kings- Confidence:2

930 Minnesota Wild- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 2/26

Monthly Path(94-78)
19 or more
FC Sion
Either team leads
0 or 1
UCF/Anthony Davis
50 or fewer
Arizona St



1005 19 or more- Confidence:3

1230 FC Sion- Confidence:2

245 Schalke 04- Confidence:3

245 Chelsea- Confidence:2

245 Either team leads- Confidence:1

347 0 or 1- Confidence:3

702 Notre Dame winning margin- Confidence:1

704 UCF- Confidence:2

705 Philadelphia 76ers- Not confident in either team. Magic might be without some players. Confidence:1

735 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:1

735 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:2

740 6 goals or more- Rask wont be playing here for the Bruins. Confidence:2

805 Golden State Warriors- Confidence:2

810 New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

811 Anthony Davis- Think Davis should outscore and outrebound him here. Confidence:4

905 Texas- Confidence:3

905 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:2

905 California- Confidence:2

930 50 or fewer- Confidence:2

1005 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:3

1005 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:1

1035 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:1

1040 LA Clippers- Confidence:2

1105 Arizona St- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 2/25

Monthly Path (90-75)
No Novak doesn't lose 4
Borussia Dortmund
Rooney or No Goalscorer
Yes
Florida halftime lead
Vanderbilt 10
Suns


1005 No Novak doesn't lose 4 in any set- Confidence:3

1200 Borussia Dortmund- Confidence:2

245 Olympiakos- Confidence:2

245 Rooney or No Goalscorer- Confidence:3

347 Yes- Confidence:2

700 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:3

702 Florida DD- Confidence:3

703 Florida Halftime lead- Confidence:2

704 Iowa- Confidence:3

704 Kansas St- Confidence:1

704 Virginia Tech- Confidence:2

705 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:3

735 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:2

807 Vandebilt 10- will switch if Florida is losing at the half. Confidence:2

905 Portland Trail Blazers- Depends on Aldridge. Confidence:1

905 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:5

905 Indiana- Confidence:1

905 Wichita St DD- Confidence:2

905 Missouri- Confidence:1

1005 Houston Rockets- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday 2/24

Monthly Path(88-71)
7 games or more
Parma
Genoa/Villarreal
No DD lead
Maryland 15 points
Oklahoma




1000 7 games or more- Confidence:2

100 Parma - Confidence:2

300 Genoa- Confidence:2

400 Villarreal- Confidence:3

700 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:1

700 Penn St- Confidence:2
  
702 Oklahoma St- Confidence:3

702 Syracuse- Confidence:4

703 No DD lead- Confidence:1

730 New York Knicks- Confidence:2

810 Maryland 15 points- Confidence:2

900 Utah Jazz- Confidence:3

905 Oklahoma- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Sunday 2/23

Monthly Path(85-68)
Canada
Michigan St
Any Other- Rutgers
Providence
Goran Dragic
No 1 doesn't score 50



900 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:4

905 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:2


910 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:2

911  Goran Dragic- Confidence:2

1030 No 1 doesn't score 50- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Saturday 2/22

Monthly Path(81-64)
Stoke City
Louisville
Tennessee
UCLA
No 40
Arizona
UFC
UFC


Might not have time to upload every pick but well see.



1000 Stoke City- Confidence:2

1000 USA- Confidence:2

1130 Xavier- Confidence:2

1200 Louisville- Confidence:3

1230 Manchester United- Confidence:4



Apologize to everyone only posting the plays I feel good about and making sure the UFC 170 picks will be up.


605 UCLA - Confidence:3


702 Duke- Confidence:3

815 Northwestern- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Friday 2/21

Monthly Path(76-62)
Canada
Canada
Schalke
FGCU
Bulls higher FG%
10 or more
Boston Celtics


700 Finland- Confidence:2

830 Canada- Confidence:3

1200 Canada- Confidence:1

107 Rickie Fowler- Confidence:3

230 Reims- Confidence:1

230 Schalke - Confidence:3

300 Levante- Confidence:2

600 FGCU- Confidence:1

700 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:1

700 New York Knicks- Confidence:2

702 VCU- Confidence:2

730 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:4

800 Iona- Confidence:3

800 LA Clippers- Confidence:3

810 Bulls winning margin- Trust the Bulls a little more than the Nuggets who should be without Lawson here again. Confidence:2

811  Bulls high FG %- Bulls have a bad offense and Nuggets are good defensively. Confidence:1

900 Phoenix Suns- Can they really burn me 3 straight times. Playing without Parker here again. Confidence:3

930 10 or more- Think both teams spread the ball around well enough is a decent odds play. Confidence:3

1005 129 or more - Confidence:2

1045 Boston Celtics- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 2/20

Monthly Path(71-60)
Sweden
Dnipro
Swansea City
Mich st
Jabari Parker
Duke first to 10
BYU


700 Sweden- Confidence:3

1200 Canada - Confidence:2

100 Dnipro- Confidence:4

144 Henrik Stenson- Confidence:2

305 Swansea City- Confidence:3

700 Michigan St- Confidence:3

700 Nebraska- Confidence:3

700 Texas A&M- Confidence:1

800 Denver Nuggets- Confidence:2

810 OKC- Confidence:2

811 James- Confidence:1

900 Temple- Confidence:2

900 Toledo- Confidence:4

900 Georgetown- Confidence:1

905 Duke- Confidence:4

906 Jabari Parker- You have a go to scorer in Parker against a streaky inconsistent shooter in Paige. Paige doesn't look to shoot that often and from what I have seen tries to get other people involved early. Paige could hit 2 3s but I think Dukes guards are good enough defenseivley to contain Paige. UNC will probably try and attack Dukes big guys early. Only way I think this pick doent hit is if Parker gets in foul trouble. Confidence:5

1010 Duke- Confidence:1

1045 Golden St- Confidence:1

1100 LMU- Confidence:1

1100 BYU- Confidence:2

SFTC PIcks for Wednesday 2/19

Monthly Path(68-56)
Russia
Canada by 4
Bayern Munich
No DD Lead
Kevin Love
Yes Pacers
Arizona St



Rest will be up by tomorrow afternoon

730 Russia- Finland is actually a surprise team that I think is pretty good especially since Rask is 1 of the best goalies in the world if not the best. But I cant pick against Russia since they have 3 of the best players in the world on their team. Confidence:3

1200 Czech Republic- Confidence:3

1200 Canada by 4- Confidence:4

1225 Graeme McDowell- Confidence:3

245 Bayern Munich- Confidence:3

245 AC Milan- Confidence:2

702 Boston College- Confidence:2

703 No DD lead- Confidence:2

704 Cincinnati DD- Confidence:1

705 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:3

705 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:1

735 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:1

802 Creighton- Confidence:4

805 New York Knicks- Confidence:1

810 Indiana Pacers- Confidence:2

810 Kevin Love- Confidence:3

905 Kansas St by 15- Confidence:2

905 Washington- Confidence:3

905 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:3

930 Yes- Confidence:2

1005 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:4

1010 Arizona- Confidence:1

1032 UCLA - Confidence:2

1105 Arizona St- Confidence:2

1105 New Mexico- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 2/18

Monthly Path (63-54)
Netherlands all 3
Yes both advance
No Messi
Barcelona
Randle + Young
Ole Miss 3
Phoenix Suns


730 Norway- Confidence:1

800 Netherlands all 3- Normally I would be all over this pick but the gold and silver winners are almost locks so this is a toss up. Confidence:2

1200 Yes both advance- Confidence:3

1230 Wise or Blunck- Confidence:2

245 Manchester City- Confidence:2

245 No Messi- Confidence:3

245 Bayer Leverkusen- Confidence:3

348 Barcelona- Whoever is losing. Only taking City here if Barcelona up. Confidence:2

702 Kentucky- Confidence:3

703 Randle and Young- Confidence:2

704 Richmond- Confidence:1

704 Clemson- Confidence:2

704 Iowa ST- Confidence:1

704 Villanova- Confidence:4

705 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:2

705 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:3

805 Orlando Magic- Confidence:2

807 Ole Miss- Confidence:1

835 Miami Heat- Confidence:3

905 Phoenix Suns- As long as Lawson doesn't play. Confidence:4

905 Iowa- Confidence:2

905 Georgia- Confidence:3

1030 LA Clippers- Confidence:4

SFTC Picks for Monday 2/17

Monthly Path(58-51)
USA by 4
Any Other Result
Switzerland
Hellas Verona
2 goals or fewer
Any Other Player
No
Oklahoma St


730 USA by 4- Confidence:3

1105 Any Other Result- Confidence:2

1200 Switzerland- Confidence:1

1215 Japan or Austria- Confidence:2

245 Hellas Verona- Confidence:2

400 2 goals or fewer- Confidence:3

702 North Carolina- Confidence:2

703 Any Other player- Confidence:3

704 Duke- Confidence:4

807 No- Confidence:3

902 Miss Valley St- Confidence:1

905 Oklahoma St- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Sunday 2/16

Monthly Path (56-46)
Slovenia
Liverpool
Tennessee
South Carolina
Minnesota
16 or fewer
149 or fewer


Waiting to see where the NCAAW lines are before I do anymore of their picks will be updated tomorrow.


730 Slovenia- Confidence:2

1100 Liverpool- They are favored to win this match and have the draw option. It really comes down to their lineup. I am expecting them to play all of their usual starters so they have to be the pick here.  Confidence:4

1200 Finland- Finland hasn't been that bad but this Canada team is just stacked. Confidence:3

100 Georgia - Want to see where they put the line but have to think Georgia by at least 3/4. Confidence:3

100 Michigan- Confidence:4

100 (Womens) Wisconsin(Any Other Result)- Confidence:2

100 Oklahoma(W)- Confidence:2

100 Tennessee(W)-  They are 9 point favorite here and dominate the H2H. Tenn looks like the best pick today. Confidence:4

115 McGirt, McNeill, Beljan- I think this is the side I would lean. A lot of good golfers sitting at -8 but hard for me to think that some of then would shoot -4/-5 on this course to win. Really will come down to whether or not McGirt chokes because if he does then this wide open then -10/-11 might win it. Confidence:2

305 Oregon St- Don't really think Oregon is that Oregon St won the match earlier this year but they haven't been that good on the road. Confidence:3

330 South Carolina (W)- Confidence:1

330 NC St(W)- Confidence:1

330 Memphis (W)- Confidence:2

500 Villanova- Should be a good game but I think Nova wants to get revenge from being embarrassed at home earlier this year. Confidence:1

600 Notre Dame- Confidence:1

600 Minnesota- Confidence:3

605 Rutgers- Confidence:2

700 St. Johns- Confidence:4

800 Colorado- Confidence:3

805 Western Conference NBA- Confidence:3

806 16 or fewer- Confidence:1

935 149 or fewer- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Saturday 2/15

Monthly Path(51-44)
Russia
Virginia
Oklahoma
LSU
Any Other Player
Eastern Conference
Any Other Result


24


730 Russia- If Russia had a better goalie I would feel a lot better about this pick. But I think Russia is the better team right now playing basically a home game for them. Quick and Kane scare me from the US but when you have some of the best players in the world come out and say they want to and need to win the gold I have to think Russia wins this one here. Confidence:3

1200 Memphis- Not really sure how UConn beat Memphis by 10 earlier this year. Looks like UConn shot the ball really well. Think Memphis guards are athletic enough to guard Napier and Boatright. I don't think UConn bigs are that good and Memphis are a better team right now. Confidence:1

1200 Virginia - I don't like taking road teams but I think Virginia is 1 of the best teams in the ACC and the way they have played in the ACC is great. It might be a close low scoring game but give me Virginia here. Confidence:3

1215 Manchester City- Confidence:2

1230 Kamil Stoch- Confidence:1

100 Iowa winning margin- Confidence:2

100 North Carolina- Confidence:4

200 St. Louis- Confidence:2

200 Oklahoma- No way I can trust them the way they played against Texas without Smart. Confidence:4

300 Cincinnati by 15- Confidence:1

400 Xavier- Confidence:2

400 Tennessee- Confidence:2

400 Indiana- Confidence:1

500 LSU 3 pointers- LSU has been god awful on the road in the SEC but Arkansas has not played well since they upset Kentucky. Have to think LSU keeps this game close against a team they already beat by 14. Confidence:3

600 Duke by 15- Confidence:1

600 Troy- Confidence:1

700 Baylor- Confidence:4

800 Ohio St- Confidence:3

800 BYU- Confidence:3

835 Any Other Player- Just from an odds persepective. Love, Kyrie, Beal , and Lilliard all have a decent chance. But I would hate to pick against the best shooter in the NBA. Confidence:3

900 Florida- Confidence:1

900 Northern Iowa- Confidence:1

920 Eastern Conference-I think the top 3 dunkers in the contest are on the East. Confidence:4




UFC

1155 Any other result- I don't really have a ton of time to do an in depth writeup but usually I like fighters who are fighting down a weight class cause it gives them a size advantage. Mousasi is a judo black belt with good strikes that I think matches up well with Machida. I think we could see the older Machida come out slow in this fight. I'm not completely sold Machida wins this outright. But I got Machida by decision. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Friday 2/14

Monthly Path(47-42)
Russia
Any other
Russ Smith
Any Other
11 or fewer
At least1 doesn't make 3 3 pointers



1000 Russia- Not that I am a curling expert but based on my research neither team is that good. US has a match tonight at 12 and then plays against Russia at 10. My guess is that US might be fatigued and Russia wins but no idea. Confidence:1

1200 Canada by 5- I got to think Canada plays better here. There team is just stacked and I don't think Austria is that good. Crazy to think Canada is -160 to cover 4.5 Confidence:3

1200 Finland by 3 - I think as long as Rask is in net for Finland they have a decent chance to cover this one. I really didn't think Norway was that good and not really sure how Canada only scored 3 against them. But I think Finland has a pretty young squad that will play well here. Confidence:2

230 Valenciennes- Tough pick because PSG is the best team in this league and Valenciennes is one of the worst. But PSG has only covered the 2.5 3 out of their last 10 home games. I have to take my chance they don't here. Confidence:2

300 Osasuna- Confidence:2

301 Matt Kuchar-both are really good golfers. But I cant see Kuchar playing as bad as he did on Thursday again.  He barely hit 50% of the greens which really isn't like him. I think he gets his putter going and plays well on Friday. Confidence:2

603 Temple- Funny how Thursday I was on Louisville covering now im flipping. Louisville will have to play 3 games in the next 5 days. So I'm wondering if Pitino will think about taking starters out and limiting minutes in this game if they go up big. I think theres a good chance of that happening. Confidence:2

604 Russ Smith- I cant pick against Smith here. Pepper is a really good shooter who can get hot. His highest scoring games this year were almost all against the best teams they have played. He is a really good FT shooter. Only reason I am not more confident in Smith is because I think Louisville could spread the ball around a little more offensively. Will be interesting to see how Pepper handles against Louisville defense. Confidence:1

700 Princeton- Confidence:2

700 Oakland- Confidence:1

708 Any other result- 9 is a lot for me even for this game in the second half. I think 9 points would only be the pick if Louisville has a really bad first half. I will probably update this pick considering this is the only good game tomorrow. Confidence:3

800 Marist- Confidence:1

905 Arizona St 3 pointers- Arizona has really struggled since Ashley went down. Arizona has a really good offense that makes around 7-8 3s  a game. I think they keep this game close so I think they are definitely the pick here. Confidence:3

906 11 or fewer-Confidence:2

1010 No at least 1 team doesn't make 3 3pointers- Just from an odds perspective I like this pick. I hate saying this for every 2nd half pick but it really depends on the flow of the game but I'll take my chance that 1 team gets cold. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 2/13

Monthly Path (43-38)
United States
Canada gold silver bronze
Norway
Keegan Bradley
No 1 doesn't score 35
2 or 3
3 or more 3PMs
San Diego


My top 4 picks for Thursday:
USA- Missouri- Keegan- Minnesota


730 United States- Just from a talent stand point US should win this one pretty easily. Slovakia is an okay team but easily the 3rd best team in Group A. I might think about this one a little bit but some of Slovakia top players are hurt and wont be playing. Quick would have to play really bad for them not to win here. Confidence:5

900 Richardson or Wust- You have the top 2 favorites out of 10 skaters. Bowie is really the only other skater with decent odds the rest are at +800 or worse. I have to take my chances with those odds and like the 2 favorites. Confidence:3

1115 Canada gold silver or bronze- Confidence:2

1200 Norway any other- 5 just too much for me even for a great team with as much talent as Canada has. Confidence:2

245 Lens - Confidence:3

312 Keegan Bradley- Always have to give an edge to the tie option in the 9 hole props. Outside of the Waste Management Tournament Keegan has been really good this year. He usually plays really well at the course finishing 2nd here in 2012 and 16th last year. Confidence:3

702 Rutgers- Confidence:1

702 Missouri- Missouri is definitely the pick in this game its just a mater of how confident you are in them. Arkansas is a really streaky team that has a really good offense. They can sometimes rely on the 3 offensively so they can get hot or cold and it could ultimately determine whether they win or lose. Missouri is a team for me that I struggle backing at times because they play so many tight games. Even with teams they should beat they don't pull away and allows for average teams to stay in games. Confidence:3

703 No at least 1 doesn't score 35- I'll take my chances from an odds perspective that 1 wont score 35. Both teams have good offenses and are more than capable of hitting 35. A lot could depend of how the game is officiate which has happened a good bit of times this year. O/U set around 70 I think that's pretty accurate just hope 1 doesn't. Confidence:2

702 Louisville by 15- Confidence:2

703 Arkansas or Missouri- Confidence:2

810 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:1

811 2 or 3- I think 2 or 3 makes more sense but I'm a little hesitant because I could see 4 if a shoot on either team gets hot. Confidence:2

905 Belmont winning margin- Confidence:3

905 Minnesota- Confidence:3

905 UCLA DD- Confidence:2

905 St. Johns- Confidence:1

930 3 or more- Bulls aren't a great shooting team but I really like the way the Nets have been playing and think they could 3 by themselves here. Confidence:3
 
1045 Thunder DD- Confidence:1

1105 San Diego- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 2/12

Monthly Path (40-34)
Canada
Shani Davis
Sweden
Bayern Munich by 2
CJ Fair
Cooney 3PM
Stanford



730 Canada- Not a womens hockey expert but I think Canada has the better team. Odds point to US being a slight favorite. Confidence:1

900 Shani Davis- Confidence:1

1200 Sweden- Confidence:3

1230 2 Medals or more- Confidence:2

230 Bayern Munich by 2- Confidence:3

245 Manchester United- Confidence:2

245 AS Roma- Confidence:3

400 Real Sociedad- Confidence:2

702 Syracuse- From a talent perspective I think Cuse is so much better. Pitt always plays well at home but Pitt has lost 2 games at home to the best 2 the ACC they have played. Cuse could be due for a bad game here soon but until it happens I have to get riding them. Should be a good close game but I think Cuse comes out on top. Confidence:3

703 CJ Fair- He is the pick just because Pitt will need him to generate offense. Confidence:2

704 Baylor winning margin- Confidence:3

704 USF- Confidence:1

807 Cooney 3 PM- Syracuse has made 123 3s this year and 71 were from Cooney which is around 58%. Outside of Cooney its really either Fair or Ennis but I don't see either has a real threat. Maybe Pitt focuses on Cooney or he has a bad game here but I have to think he makes 1 in the 2nd half. Confidence:3

905 UCF- Confidence:2

905 Duke- Sure this is a rivalry game which makes this a lot of fun. But I think Duke is just so much better than UNC this year. UNC gets all these top recruits but I sit there and wonder how they are playing basketball in college when they cant make a jump shot. Duke should be able to slow down Paige which basically controls UNCs offense. Tokoto has impressed me the last couple games and is good defensively but I don't fell confident in him slowing down Parker. Might be close but Duke comes out on top. Confidence:4

905 Stanford- Confidence:2

915 Boise St- Confidence:2

1035 Golden St Warriors- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 2/11

Monthly Path (36-31)
Any Other Country
Shaun White
Chelsea 1-0 or 2-0
1 goal
11 or fewer
Michigan
68 or more



830 Any Other Country- Confidence:2

1230 Shaun White- White is -250 to win. Confidence:4

1230 Sara Takanashi- Confidence:2

245 Borussia Dortmund- Confidence:3

300 Chelsea by 2- Confidence:2

300 Chelsea leads 1-0 or 2-0- Confidence:2

300 Real Madrid- Confidence:2

300 Fiorentina- Confidence:2

403 1 goal- Confidence:1

702 Florida - Confidence:2

703 11 or fewer- Confidence:3

704 Marquette- Confidence:1

704 NC State winning margin- Confidence:2

704 Texas- Confidence:5

705 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:2

705 Dallas Mavericks- Confidence:2

805 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:1

905 Miami Heat- Confidence:3

905 Alabama- Confidence:2

905 Michigan- I think right now Michigan is the better team. Confidence:2

906 Michigan- Confidence:1

912 Xavier- Confidence:3

1005 Oklahoma City - Confidence:1

1007 68 or more- Confidence:2

1035 LA Lakers- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday 2/10

Monthly Path (32-28)
Any Other Competitor
Aris Salonika
QPR
Celta Vigo
6 or fewer
8 or fewer
Kansas


800 Any other competitor- Confidence:1

1230 Aris Salonika- Confidence:2

245 QPR- Confidence:2

300 Academica- Confidence:2

400 Celta Vigo- Confidence:3

702 Miami single digits- Confidence:3

703 6 or fewer-Confidence:3

704 Iowa St- Confidence:2

705 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:4

735 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:3

805 8 or fewer- Confidence:1

805 Boston Celtics- Confidence:1

905 Kansas - If I didn't lose my W9 on Sunday this is the pick I was 90% most likely to pick. Kansas is the best team in the Big 12 and K State is streaky even though they usually play well at home. Don't think they can match up with Kansas. Confidence:4

905 Virginia DD- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Sunday 2/9

Monthly Path(29-24)
Russia by 3
Manchester United by 2
Wisconsin
UMass
12 or fewer
70 or fewer
Colorado FT



800 Russia by 3- Confidence:1

1100 Manchester United by 2- Confidence:2

100 Wisconsin- They need this game a lot more than MSU does. Plus Michigan St still has some players injured and Wisconsin tough at home. Confidence:2

102 Uconn by 20(womens) - waiting to where the line will come out a pick I'm staying away from UConn is just dirty though and could beat everyone outside of Notre Dame by 20. Confidence:1

105  New York Knicks- I think Chandler makes the Knicks a different team but I hate picking against the Thunder. Durant is just too dangerous especially at home coming off a loss. Confidence:1

200 Houston- Confidence:1

300 Sevilla- From what I heard Barcelona did not look that good in their last match without Neymar. He wont playing here so why would I pick them to cover on the road against another decent team. If I was to pick a soccer game on a decent streak it would be one that favors the odds. Granted Barcelona and Messi are dangerous at any time. But I think Sevilla holds them to at least 1 here. Confidence:3

340 Chicago Bulls- Really a tough game to try to predict. If you follow the NBA at all you have to be aware that the Lakers only have 6 players who are healthy so I don't know who will play. On the other side you have the Bulls who have been awful on this road trip. I have to take my chance with an average Bulls team. Its just hard for me to feel pretty confident in them. This pick is assuming Gasol and some of the guards don't play. Confidence:3

415 Illinois- Confidence:1

600 Akron- Confidence:1

605 Central Florida 3 pointers- Confidence:2

605 Clemson- I think Syracuse is due for a bad game and this might be it. Clemson has had nights where they play well and beat Duke and then they get killed by Pitt. Not really sure how to interpret that. There numbers and record indicate they are a decent team. I also think Cuse could be over looking the big game coming up against Pitt. Confidence:3

700 Creighton- I think Creighton is a pretty good team against an average St. Johns team. I don't think I'm taking against outside of Nova to beat Creighton right now. I could see them losing here because McDermott scored 39 for them to beat St. Johns last time. Confidence:3

805 Washington 3 pointers- Washington really inconsistent and not a great shooting team. But I don't trust Colorado since Dinwiddle got hurt. Confidence:2

806 70 or fewer- O/U in the first half is set to 65 so this pick should at least be considered as a decent one. Only reason I'm not more confident is Washington is streaky and if they get hot early I could see it going over. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Saturday 2/8

Monthly Path(25-21)
Canada by 10
Alabama
Iowa
West Virginia/ Arizona St
Boise St
Joe Jackson
6 or fewer



41

My top 4 picks on Saturday : Iowa- Arizona St- Memphis- Oklahoma St



745 Arsenal- Confidence:1

800 Canada by 10- One thing I have learned about the history of SFTC in picks like this if its crazy its usually good. Canada beat them the last 2 times 13-0 and 12-0. Don't have a whole lot of knowledge about womens hockey but I will definitely lean towards the 10. Confidence:2

1200 Alabama - Florida is really start to impress a lot of people recently. Bama record isn't good but they either play well or they don't. Over there history even against some good Florida teams the last couple of years that have covered. I think they have a decent chance to do that here. Confidence:3

1200 North Carolina- UNC has been playing better of late where I don't know what Notre Dame team will show up. Confidence:3

1230 Swansea City- Confidence:1

100 Northwestern- Confidence:1

100 Georgetown- Decent favorites here at home. I don't think either team is that good. Georgetown beats Michigan St and now their considered good again. I don't know if I buy it. Odds have it at -6 so I have to at least consider it. Confidence:3

100 Cleveland St- Confidence:2

100 Philadelphia Flyers- Could be a bit of a trap even though Flyers play well at home Calgary playing well of late. Confidence:2

130 Kansas St- Confidence:1

200 Miami- Confidence:2

200 Iowa- First game today that I actually like a little bit. This could be a really big game for how I look at Iowa. They really need to make jumpers for their offense to flow. They have a big edge at their home court and its really tough for me to see them lose 3 straight their. Michigan has been playing really well in the Big 10 but have escaped with some close games. GR3 scares me but I think Iowa will have a big size advantage and well be able to take advantage of that in the game. Confidence:4

300 Maryland - Confidence:2

300 South Carolina- Confidence:2

400 West Virginia- Confidence:3

400 Arkansas- Confidence:1

500 St. Louis - Confidence:3

500 Arizona State- Confidence:4

600 Duke DD- Confidence:1

600 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2

600 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:3

605 Boise ST- Confidence:3

700 Oklahoma- Confidence:2

700 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:2

700 Colorado Avalanche - Confidence:3

730 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:3

730 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:1

730 Cincinnati- Confidence:2

800 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:3

800 South Florida- Confidence:3

800 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3

800 Nashville Predators- Confidence:1

800 Dallas Stars- Confidence:3

800 VCU- Confidence:3

815 Minnesota- Confidence:3

900 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:2

900 Northern Iowa- Confidence:3

902 Memphis- Confidence:4

903 Joe Jackson- Confidence:1

930 Oklahoma St- Confidence:4

1007 6 or fewer- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Friday 2/7

Monthly Path (20-20)
KuPS
Any other score
St. Etienne
24 or fewer
Trail Blazer 3 pointer
Detroit


Weird how all the hockey ran close to the same numbers. Heres the order I would rank them:
 Penguins- Sharks- Devils- Hurricanes


Pacers and Penguins probably the best 2 picks on Friday night. Kind of like 24 or fewer as well.

1000 KuPS- They won the last time these 2 played about a week ago. Confidence:2

122 Any other score- Tried researching this pick a little bit at least even though its pretty unpredictable. To add on top of that they are using 2 different courses for this tournament. Phil dominated the par 5s on Thursday going 2 birdies, an eagle, and 1 par. Phils a pretty good chance for a birdie on the par 5s. The 2nd hole on this course was the easiest hole on Thursday with 31 birdies, 12 pars and 4 bogeys. Granted they could switch it to a tough pin location but I'll take my chances here with Phil birdieing. Confidence:2

230 St. Etienne- Basically a pick em game with St. Etienne being high in the standings and Toulouse low. Only reason Toulouse doesn't have the draw option is because they are at home. Confidence:4

230 Bayer Leverkusen- Confidence:3

300 Espanyol- Confidence:1

700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:3

700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Maybe I'm being too hard on the Guins since a lot of numbers point to this being a pretty good pick but I have seen the Rangers beat us before. Lundqvist is most likely going to be in net and  Malkin and Crosby have done really well against him in the past. Guins have had the Rangers number this year. The killer for me last year was every time I picked the Penguins on SFTC depended if Letang was playing. This team this year is a little different with Maatta being back there. Penguins should win this game but Lundqvist is more than capable of playing well so I don't feel as great. Confidence:3

700 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:3

700 Philadelphia 76ers- Confidence:2

700 Yale- Confidence:2

700 Fairfield- Despite what their records are I think these teams are pretty even. Never have seen either play. Fairfield was a sleeper of some experts to have a shot to win the MAAC. Monmouth on the other hand was projected to finish last by almost every project. These teams played earlier this year Monmouth won 63-60. Monmouth shot a really high FG% in the game while Fairfield made a lot of 3s to stay in it. I think Fairfield gets a win here. Confidence:3

702 Manhattan- Confidence:1

705 Villanova by 15- Confidence:2

710 Indiana Pacers- At least a pick that has to be favored with the Pacers being 23-2 at home. Portland has been struggling recently. Definitely considering it as 1 of the better picks on Friday.  Confidence:3

711 24 or fewer- Confidence:3

730 Boston Celtics- Confidence:1

730 New York Knicks- Confidence:2

730 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:1

825 Trail Blazer 3 pointer- Confidence:2

900 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:1

905 Detroit- Confidence:2

905 DePaul- Confidence:1

1030 San Jose Sharks- Will be interesting to see whos in net for Columbus. Don't trust the back up and don't expect Brobvosky to play on back to back nights. Sharks have been in a little bit of a slump but always a good pick at home. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 2/6

Monthly Path(18-16)
Hunter Mahan
6 strokes
Napier
Nets player to 10
Nets FGs
Chicago Bulls



1122 Hunter Mahan- Just a better golfer in my opinion in pretty good form. Confidence:3

200 Academia- Confidence:2

245 Ajax by 2- Confidence:2

315 6 strokes- really depends on how the hole is playing tomorrow. Will try to update my pick if I think it should be changed but its a short par 3 so it seems like a decent tee shot. Maybe someone could birdie but ill take my chances with 6. Confidence:1

400 Aves- Confidence:1

700 LSU- They should win here against an average Georgia team. They have struggled in Georgia the last couple years. Confidence:3

700 Robert Morris- I have been following Robert Morris basketball at least a little bit the last couple of years since its located about 30 minutes away from where I'm from. Most people remember Robert Morris for almost beating Nova as a 15 seed a couple years ago or beating Kentucky last year. Robert Morris and LIU have a pretty big rivalry going on between these 2 team because they always are a top of the Northeast Conference and 1 of them usually goes to the NCAA tournament. Robert Morris lost a couple of key players this year but still have their top 2 scorers. I think Robert Morris wins here because they are the better team but LIU always plays them tough and they probably need this game a lot more being 2-6 in conference. Confidence:2

700 Colorado Avalanche - Confidence:2

700 New York Islanders- Confidence:2

700 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:3

702 Cincinnati- Think this should be a really good game. Wouldn't be surprised if UConn won here. Its a big game for them. Think Cincy beat up on a pretty easy schedule and don't think they are 1 of the top 10 teams in college hoops. They really get after it on the defensive end but I think Napier and Boatright play well here and make this game close. Confidence:2

703 Napier- Think he might be a little more streakier than Kilpatrick. But think Napier will need to play well for them to stay in this game. Confidence:3

730 Montreal Canadiens- Confidence:3

730 Tampa Bay Lightning- Confidence:1

730 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:2

800 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:1

800 Nashville Predators- Confidence:1

810 Brooklyn Nets- with all the injuries the Spurs have and the way that Brooklyn has played recently I have to feel pretty good about the Nets here. Confidence:4

810 Nets player to 10- Confidence:2

905 Oregon- This might be the only pick I consider tomorrow putting on my w6. Oregon has really struggled in conference play this year which is a little be surprising for me that they have struggled on the road this year. But for me in this game its just a difference of styles. Oregon will want to get out and run and score. But Arizona only plays about 7-8 players deep and they lost Ashley 1 of their bench players. So how will they adjust to Oregon that will want to run with them. I think Oregon keeps this game close. Confidence:3

905 Penn St- Confidence:2

930 Nets - but probably who ever is losing. Confidence:2

1030 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:2

1045 Bulls- Good pick with Lee and Bogut out. Confidence:3

1105 Santa Clara- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 2/5

Monthly Path(15-12)
Zenit St. Petersburg
Shaktar Donetsk
Estoril
No DD Lead
Aldridge
No 10 points
Anaheim Ducks



1100 Zenit St. Petersburg- Confidence:1

200 Shakhtar Donetsk- Confidence:3

200 Real Madrid- Confidence:1

245 Napoli- Confidence:2

400 Real Sociedad- Confidence:1

400 Estoril- Confidence:3

702 Boston College - Confidence:1

703 No DD lead- I like this pick just because Virginia is a half court defensive team. Sure they could do but I have to think No is the better pick here. Confidence:2

704 Oklahoma- Confidence:2

704 UCF- Confidence:3

705 Boston Celtics- Confidence:1

705 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:3

705 Washington Wizards- Confidence:2

705 Detroit Pistons- Confidence:3

805 Dallas Mavericks- Not sure I can trust the Grizzlies without Conley. I highly doubt he plays here. Confidence:2

805  New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

805 Wichita St- Sure this team will probably lose at some point but I think they are a legitimate top 10 team. On top of that they beat Indiana St by 20 earlier this year. Game might not be played because of the weather but I'll take my chances with Wichita against anyone in the MVC right now. Confidence:4

810 New York Knicks- Portland has really been struggling recently especially Lilliard and Mathews. Hard for me to feel confident in the Knicks but I'm fading the Trail Blazers on the road here. Confidence:2

811 Aldridge- I like Aldridge here because of the tie and the fact that I think he is the better rebounder. Melo's rebounding numbers have been going down since Chandler is back. Confidence:2

905 Louisville DD- Confidence:3

905 Stanford- Confidence:1

915 Boise St- Confidence:2

930 No player score 10- Confidence:3

1005 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:2
 
1005 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:3

1040 Miami Heat- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 2/4

Monthly Path(11-10)
Sparta Prague
Feyernoord Rotterdam
PSG
1st half leading scorer Iowa
Iowa first 3PM
Wisconsin



PSG is the top morning/afternoon play

My top 3 picks for Tuesday are: Bruins- PSG - Iowa



1030 Sparta Prague- Confidence:1

1245 Feyenoord Rotterdam- Confidence:3

245 Fulham- Confidence:3

300 PSG- Confidence:3

300 Udinese- Confidence:1

702 Iowa- Confidence:3

703 1st half leading scorer Iowa- Marble is the best player on the court here and should be the leading scorer. OSU tends to spread the ball around but I could see Ross or Smith getting hot. Confidence:1

704 Kansas- Confidence:2

704 Kentucky DD- Confidence:2

705 New York Rangers- Confidence:2

705 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:1

705 Boston Bruins- I think this is still my top play but am a little concerned of picking the B's without Chara. Confidence:3

735 Washington Capitals- Confidence:2

735 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:2

735 Indiana Pacers- Confidence:2

805 Minnesota Wild- Confidence:3

905 Wake Forest- Confidence:2

905 Missouri- Confidence:1

905 Wisconsin- Confidence:3

905 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:2

907 195 or more- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Monday 2/3

Monthly Path(8-6)
Fenerbahce
Yes
17 or more
Atkins and Connaughton
36 or fewer
Prairie View A&M 3 pointers
San Jose Sharks



My top plays: Sharks- Morgan State then either Clippers or 36 or fewer.



1030 Fenerbahce- Don't really know a whole lot about either teams. Fenerbahce is 5 point favorites here on the road. Confidence:2

300 Manchester City- A lot of people that have a lot more soccer knowledge than me really like Man City here. I think it will come down to the lineups because there are some players expected to miss. Confidence:1

301 Yes- Confidence:1

400 Osasuna- Confidence:3

402 17 or more- Confidence:2

702 Notre Dame- Granted Syracuse is the best team ND has faced all year once out of 22 games. Syracuse has only covered 14.5 once through 8 conference games and it was against Virginia Tech. The 2 reasons why I kind of like this pick here is Notre Dame could get hot from the 3 point line with so many shooters which is big against this zone. I could also see a bit of a let down game here for Cuse after the big win on Saturday against Duke. Confidence:3

703 Atkins + Connaughton - Bit of a toss up here but I just think ND is going to need these 2 to do a lot of the scoring with Sherman to stay in this game. Where as Syracuse could be up 10 at the half and Fair + Ennis might not have done that much because Cuse has so many different options on offense. Confidence:1

704 Xavier- Confidence:1

704 Morgan State - They played a real tough non conference schedule or at least big name programs which is why they lost a lot of game. They have a lot of veterans players on this team. They also beat Hampton @ Hampton not to long ago by 9. I think they get it done here at home. Confidence:4

705 Edmonton Oilers- Confidence:2

705 Washington Wizards- Confidence:1

735 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:2

735 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:1

805 San Antonio Spurs- Will be interesting to see who plays in this game. Spurs have a lot of players banged up. Davis played the other night but is still banged up. Confidence:2

807 36 or fewer- I think this is the right side for this pick its just a matter of how confident to be. Waiting for the o/u to be set for this game I got it at 138 which I think might be a little high. I think for Syracuse to hit this over they will have to be down in the 1st half or it will have to be a tight game in the first half. Syracuse has only scored more than 70 twice in ACC play(Duke and VT). Confidence:3

905 LA Clippers - Pick could depend if Lawson plays or not. They have not looked good with Lawson out. Robinson is also done for the year so it really limits this already depleted Nuggets team. Lawson is expected to play here but I don't think he will. If he doesn't ill prob bump the Clippers up a little bit. Confidence:3

905 Toronto Raptors- Confidence:2

905 Oklahoma St- Confidence:2

905 Georgetown- How can anyone feel confident in picking Georgetown considering how they have played in Big East play and on the road this year. I don't think DePaul is very good but I think they might have a shot here because Georgetown isn't very deep. Confidence:2

905 Prairie View A&M 3 pointers- Confidence:3

1005 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:3

1005 Chicago Bulls- This pick is assuming Cousins doesn't play. Confidence:3

1035 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:4

1035 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Sunday 1/2

Monthly Path(3-5)
Yes
Arsenal by 2
Boston Celtics
Tails
No at least 1 doesn't
Broncos



Happy Groundhog Day and Super Bowl Sunday to everyone!


Straight Up(7-3 Bengals, Saint, 49ers)
Denver Broncos

Spread(6-2-1 Colts, 49ers)
Denver Broncos -2


720 Yes- Most people probably think to avoid this pick but given the history of this pick and the weather the last couple weeks I think people actually have to consider it. Yes has won 100 out of 117 times. Plus No has never won 2 years in a row. Confidence:4

1100 Arsenal by 2- Confidence:2

1130 Penn St- Confidence:1

1230 Pitt- Really tough to play at Pitt and all signs for this game might be first one to 50 wins. Both od these teams are playing really well especially Virginia who finally started to play well since it started ACC play. I think the key to beating Pitt this year is slowing down Patterson which I think Virginia will be able to do here. I have this game as a toss up and would give a slight edge to Pitt because its tough to play at. Confidence:1

1230 Detroit Red Wings- Confidence:2

100 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:3

100 Boston Celtics- I would feel better about picking the Celtics if Bradley was playing. But Magic are without Nelson here. Orlando has lost 10 straight road games and Boston has won majority of the H2H matchups. Confidence:3

100 Michigan- I really like they should win this game but I think Indiana is a lot better than there record indicates and IU is a really tough place to play. Confidence:2

200 Notre Dame- Confidence:2

230 UCLA - I really like teams that have multiple scorers and don't rely one 1 guy for their offense. I think UCLA is at the top of the Pac 12 right now. Nelson for OSU is legit but I think UCLA has multiple guys that can really guard him and sometimes OSU struggles offensively when he cant get going. Confidence:5

620 Tails- Heads 24-23 all time. Heads last 5 years is the longest streak in Super Bowl history who knows but more of a gut that Heads hits 6 in a row. Confidence:2

625 Denver Broncos- I wanted to write more a detailed writeup for this game but I came to the conclusion that I wasn't going to be confident either way so I figured why waste my time. More of just some general thoughts but this being Mannings 3rd Super Bowl gives him a huge edge and I think they will be able to dial up enough good plays in this game. I think the weather could play a big factor in this game so it will be interesting to see how the weather will be around game time. Bad weather definitely favors Seattle. The last thing and is why I really don't like this pick is because I think Percy Harvin could go absolutely off. I think the Seahawks need to get him going offensively doing whatever they can to get him the ball. I love the theory that defenses wins championships but I just think Manning finds a way here to get it done. Confidence:2

626 No at least 1 doesn't- I love these kind of picks because there is so many different scenarios that this could hit. But odds wise this is a pretty smart pick. Manning could struggle in the weather and going against the top secondary in the league so he is no lock. Wilson might not throw a TD pass all game. O/U 1st half is 24. I think the under in the first half is a solid play and then these teams make adjustments in 2nd half. Confidence:4

825 Broncos- Whoever is losing in first half. Confidence:3