Monthly Path (26-19)
Wawrinka 2-0
Army
22 or more
Alabama
Davidson
Oregon
UConn offense
Baylor
I am not going to be very confident on a lot of these college basketball picks today because its hard to know what to expect from some of these teams.
910 Wawrinka 2-0- I love all the people that will say no theres no way. This is the kind of pick that I love because no one will actually research it at all and will just say "well Ferrer is ranked higher he has to win at least 1 set and he might win the match". Now its funny comparing these 2 players because I am really not a big fan of either. But as I have said in previous predictions including Ferrer he is not a good hard court player. Wawrinka is kind of hit or miss for me and a lot depends on how his serve is working. But because of Ferrer performance in his previous games he is ELIMINATAED and cannot advance to the next round so what does he have to play for but his pride. Wawrinka needs this game to advance so he has more to play for. Ferrer has played a ton of tournaments recently which could be a reason as to why he hasn't played well but he has looked really fatigued. This is definitely the better pick and I am just hoping it comes through. Confidence:3
100 Army - Confidence:3
310 22 or more- Confidence:2
335 VMI by DD- Confidence:1
500 Alabama- Confidence:2
632 Maryland single digits- I think Maryland has a lot of young players that are coming off a good year. Only problem is how will they be able to play now without Len. UConn will be good this year but I think them by DD in first game is a little crazy. Confidence:3
700 New York Knicks- Confidence:2
700 Cleveland Cavaliers- Confidence:2
700 Wisconsin- The line for this should count as a good play but I think Wisconsin could struggle with St. Johns athleticism. Confidence:2
702 Davidson- Even for a great team like Duke I think 20 is a lot against a decent Davidson game. Both teams shoot a lot of 3s so it could go either way. Confidence:3
800 Winnipeg Jets- Confidence:1
800 Minnesota Timberwolves- Confidence:3
803 Georgetown- Confidence:4
804 Oregon first to 10- Confidence:1
832 Any other result - UCONN- Confidence:2
833 UConn total offense- Confidence:2
900 New Mexico- Confidence:3
900 Phoenix Suns- Confidence:3
1000 Baylor- Confidence:2
SFTC Rules
Thursday, November 7, 2013
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
SFTC Picks for Thursday 11/7
Monthly Path (21-18)
Any Other- Gasquet
Kuban Krasnodar
Sheriff Tiraspol
Any Other Number
2 tds or fewer
0 or 1
910 Any other Result- Gasquet- This really a coin flip for me. Both players need to win this match to have any hope to advance. This is a tough match to predict because these 2 haven't played recently and its been 2 years since they have played on the hard courts. I could see Federer bounces back with a solid win in decisive fashion but I think the most likely result is Gasquet steals a set and Federer wins in 3. Confidence:2
1200 Kuban Krasnodar- They are actually favored to win this game on some sites. The draw is probably the most likely result with both of these teams playing. Confidence:5
305 Sheriff Tiraspol- My reason for this is basically how much will Tottenham really push for a 3rd goal if they are up 2 late. Confidence:2
310 Novak wins 2-0 - This is really more of a gut call for me here. The smarter and safer pick is Any Other Result considering how well Del Potro has been playing this year and Del Potro has beaten Novak before and in most of their matches has taken a set. Confidence:1
700 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:3
700 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:3
700 Washington Capitals- Confidence:1
700 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2
700 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:4
700 Miami Heat- Confidence:4
733 Louisiana Lafayette by 15- Confidence:2
735 Baylor by 15- Confidence:1
736 Any Other Number- Confidence:2
829 Washington Redskins- Confidence:2
900 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:1
903 Stanford- Confidence:2
904 2 tds or fewer- Confidence:3
945 Lakers free throws made- spread is around 14. but I just don't know which rockets team will show up. I think they could keep this close just hope they get to the line enough. Confidence:3
1055 0 or 1- Confidence:3
Any Other- Gasquet
Kuban Krasnodar
Sheriff Tiraspol
Any Other Number
2 tds or fewer
0 or 1
910 Any other Result- Gasquet- This really a coin flip for me. Both players need to win this match to have any hope to advance. This is a tough match to predict because these 2 haven't played recently and its been 2 years since they have played on the hard courts. I could see Federer bounces back with a solid win in decisive fashion but I think the most likely result is Gasquet steals a set and Federer wins in 3. Confidence:2
1200 Kuban Krasnodar- They are actually favored to win this game on some sites. The draw is probably the most likely result with both of these teams playing. Confidence:5
305 Sheriff Tiraspol- My reason for this is basically how much will Tottenham really push for a 3rd goal if they are up 2 late. Confidence:2
310 Novak wins 2-0 - This is really more of a gut call for me here. The smarter and safer pick is Any Other Result considering how well Del Potro has been playing this year and Del Potro has beaten Novak before and in most of their matches has taken a set. Confidence:1
700 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:3
700 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:3
700 Washington Capitals- Confidence:1
700 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2
700 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:4
700 Miami Heat- Confidence:4
733 Louisiana Lafayette by 15- Confidence:2
735 Baylor by 15- Confidence:1
736 Any Other Number- Confidence:2
829 Washington Redskins- Confidence:2
900 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:1
903 Stanford- Confidence:2
904 2 tds or fewer- Confidence:3
945 Lakers free throws made- spread is around 14. but I just don't know which rockets team will show up. I think they could keep this close just hope they get to the line enough. Confidence:3
1055 0 or 1- Confidence:3
Tuesday, November 5, 2013
SFTC Picks for Wednesday 11/6
Monthly Path (15-17)
8 or more
FC Porto
Messi
No
Rose and Boozer
3 or fewer
Anaheim Ducks
910 8 games or more- Really tough pick here simply because Nadal is on fire and the course fits his game and style perfectly. I think 7 and 8 are the most likely numbers here. Even though Wawrinka has almost never had success afainst Nadal I think Wawrinka will have his serve on tomorrow and will be able to steal 4 games in both sets. Confidence:2
1200 FC Porto- I think the draw is probably the most likely outcome. Confidence:3
245 Barcelona by 2- Confidence:2
245 Messi- Confidence:1
245 Borussia Dortmund- Confidence:4
310 Tomas Berdych- Neither player is in great form. Ferrer has not played well in his last 2 matches and I think its in large part that he isn't a great hard court player. Ferrer has won the majority of the head to head matches between the 2 but Ferrer won when they played last year. I think he gets it done on Wednesday. Confidence:2
346 No- Confidence:3
703 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:2
704 Rose and Buzzer- Even though I don't look at Rose as being a huge scoring threat right now. I just think the Pacers spread the ball around so much and Boozer will most likely carry the Bulls offensively. Confidence:2
705 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:1
705 Washington Wizards-Confidence:2
730 Pittsburgh Penguins- With all the talent the Penguins have its really hard to find reasons not to pick them. This is a solid play even on the road. I just feel this has the potential to be a let down game. Confidence:3
735 Boston Celtics- Confidence:2
802 Central Michigan- Confidence:2
805 Minnesota Timberwolves- Confidence:1
805 New York Red Bulls- Confidence:1
805 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:3
830 3 or fewer- Confidence:3
905 Sporting Kansas City- Confidence:1
940 Thunder DD- Confidence:2
1000 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:5
8 or more
FC Porto
Messi
No
Rose and Boozer
3 or fewer
Anaheim Ducks
910 8 games or more- Really tough pick here simply because Nadal is on fire and the course fits his game and style perfectly. I think 7 and 8 are the most likely numbers here. Even though Wawrinka has almost never had success afainst Nadal I think Wawrinka will have his serve on tomorrow and will be able to steal 4 games in both sets. Confidence:2
1200 FC Porto- I think the draw is probably the most likely outcome. Confidence:3
245 Barcelona by 2- Confidence:2
245 Messi- Confidence:1
245 Borussia Dortmund- Confidence:4
310 Tomas Berdych- Neither player is in great form. Ferrer has not played well in his last 2 matches and I think its in large part that he isn't a great hard court player. Ferrer has won the majority of the head to head matches between the 2 but Ferrer won when they played last year. I think he gets it done on Wednesday. Confidence:2
346 No- Confidence:3
703 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:2
704 Rose and Buzzer- Even though I don't look at Rose as being a huge scoring threat right now. I just think the Pacers spread the ball around so much and Boozer will most likely carry the Bulls offensively. Confidence:2
705 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:1
705 Washington Wizards-Confidence:2
730 Pittsburgh Penguins- With all the talent the Penguins have its really hard to find reasons not to pick them. This is a solid play even on the road. I just feel this has the potential to be a let down game. Confidence:3
735 Boston Celtics- Confidence:2
802 Central Michigan- Confidence:2
805 Minnesota Timberwolves- Confidence:1
805 New York Red Bulls- Confidence:1
805 Milwaukee Bucks- Confidence:3
830 3 or fewer- Confidence:3
905 Sporting Kansas City- Confidence:1
940 Thunder DD- Confidence:2
1000 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:5
Monday, November 4, 2013
SFTC Picks for Tuesday 11/5
Monthly Path (12-15)
Nadal wins 2-0
27 or later
1 player
Washington Capitals
Portland Trail Blazers
910 Nadal wins 2-0 - I know tennis didn't go the way as planned on Monday but I really like both picks today. When researching the Nadal pick I was actually really surprised to see Ferrer beat Nadal a few days ago on the hard courts and Ferrer has actually had a good bit of success on the hard courts against Nadal. Spanish players are not known for playing well on the hard courts which both players are. I really don't like picking Ferrer in any prop unless hes on clay. Nadal has just been on a roll on the hard courts this year and for whatever reason he slipped up to Ferrer. I really don't think that happens again. Nadal is around -430 on most sites and I actually think it should be higher than that. I would be really surprised if Nadal loses tomorrow and pretty surprised if he drops a set. Nadal to win 2-0 is around -180 on most sites. Confidence:4
245 Real Sociedad- I think the draw is the most likely outcome here. Confidence:2
245 27 or later- Confidence:2
245 Yes- Confidence:1
245 Any Other Result CSKA Moscow- Every time I run numbers on this game it comes back there is no way Manchester City covers this unless Moscow gets a red card. I think there is a very good chance Moscow scores and I don't see City getting 4. I think City wins 2-1 tomorrow. Confidence:5
310 Yes- I think more times than not this pick will win when these 2 play. Novak sometimes starts slow and could have a bad first set. Its tough because Novak should win this match and theres a pretty good chance that he could win in straight sets. But even if he does win in straight sets Roger could get 5 games in a set. I think he will tomorrow. Confidence:2
347 1 player- Confidence:1
705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:4
705 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:2
735 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:1
735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1
735 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2
735 Indiana Pacers- The Pacers didn't play particular well in their only road game this year but they should be able to handle the Pistons. Confidence:3
802 Buffalo- Confidence:3
802 Miami OH- Confidence:1
905 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:3
905 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:3
1005 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:2
1005 Portland Trail Blazers- Not sure what to expect the Rockets playing on back to back nights especially getting killed against the Clippers. Confidence:3
Nadal wins 2-0
27 or later
1 player
Washington Capitals
Portland Trail Blazers
910 Nadal wins 2-0 - I know tennis didn't go the way as planned on Monday but I really like both picks today. When researching the Nadal pick I was actually really surprised to see Ferrer beat Nadal a few days ago on the hard courts and Ferrer has actually had a good bit of success on the hard courts against Nadal. Spanish players are not known for playing well on the hard courts which both players are. I really don't like picking Ferrer in any prop unless hes on clay. Nadal has just been on a roll on the hard courts this year and for whatever reason he slipped up to Ferrer. I really don't think that happens again. Nadal is around -430 on most sites and I actually think it should be higher than that. I would be really surprised if Nadal loses tomorrow and pretty surprised if he drops a set. Nadal to win 2-0 is around -180 on most sites. Confidence:4
245 Real Sociedad- I think the draw is the most likely outcome here. Confidence:2
245 27 or later- Confidence:2
245 Yes- Confidence:1
245 Any Other Result CSKA Moscow- Every time I run numbers on this game it comes back there is no way Manchester City covers this unless Moscow gets a red card. I think there is a very good chance Moscow scores and I don't see City getting 4. I think City wins 2-1 tomorrow. Confidence:5
310 Yes- I think more times than not this pick will win when these 2 play. Novak sometimes starts slow and could have a bad first set. Its tough because Novak should win this match and theres a pretty good chance that he could win in straight sets. But even if he does win in straight sets Roger could get 5 games in a set. I think he will tomorrow. Confidence:2
347 1 player- Confidence:1
705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:4
705 Columbus Blue Jackets- Confidence:2
735 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:1
735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1
735 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2
735 Indiana Pacers- The Pacers didn't play particular well in their only road game this year but they should be able to handle the Pistons. Confidence:3
802 Buffalo- Confidence:3
802 Miami OH- Confidence:1
905 San Antonio Spurs- Confidence:3
905 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:3
1005 Sacramento Kings- Confidence:2
1005 Portland Trail Blazers- Not sure what to expect the Rockets playing on back to back nights especially getting killed against the Clippers. Confidence:3
Sunday, November 3, 2013
SFTC Picks for Monday 11/4
Monthly Path(10-12)
Tomas Berdych
Atromitos
Del Potro 2-0
Cavaliers
24 or fewer
910 Tomas Berdych- This is a pretty tough pick there are stats that point both ways. The big thing for me is Berdych is the better player and is the better hard court player. But Wawrinka has had Berdych's number on the hard court. Neither player is in great particular form but I think Berdych has an extra reason to win. The winner of this game will face Ferrer and Berdych was pretty upset he lost to Ferrer a couple of days ago. I think more times than not Berdych wins this match. Confidence:3
1230 Atromitos- Both teams are pretty good form but Panthrakikos has just been awful on the road. Confidence:4
245 Chievo- Confidence:2
310 Del Potro wins 2-0 - Del Potro is a pretty big favorite here as he is 1 of the top hard court players in the world. He has beaten Gasquet before on the hard court and I think that trend should continue here. Confidence:3
400 Elche- Confidence:2
700 Cleveland Cavaliers- I think Cleveland will be happy to come home and play on Monday. It seems they always play well in Cleveland regardless of who they play. Timberwolves are 1 of the best teams in the NBA and I thought they had a decent chance to surprise a lot of people this year. That is in large part to Kevin Love. I think Cleveland has enough athletic big guys to contain Love. I also think Minnesota could have a hard time guarding Kyrie and Waiters. I don't like teams playing on back to back days especially when they have to travel. Cleveland wins at home. Confidence:3
740 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2
805 Detroit Red Wings- I think a lot of people don't think Winnipeg is that good. I think they have a decent shot to win tomorrow because Detroit has some injuries. Confidence:1
840 Bears single digits- This is probably a pick I would try to avoid at all costs. I could easily see it going either way. Confidence:1
841 Forte and Marshall- I think they get more work and touches. Confidence:2
1015 24 or fewer- Confidence:2
Tomas Berdych
Atromitos
Del Potro 2-0
Cavaliers
24 or fewer
910 Tomas Berdych- This is a pretty tough pick there are stats that point both ways. The big thing for me is Berdych is the better player and is the better hard court player. But Wawrinka has had Berdych's number on the hard court. Neither player is in great particular form but I think Berdych has an extra reason to win. The winner of this game will face Ferrer and Berdych was pretty upset he lost to Ferrer a couple of days ago. I think more times than not Berdych wins this match. Confidence:3
1230 Atromitos- Both teams are pretty good form but Panthrakikos has just been awful on the road. Confidence:4
245 Chievo- Confidence:2
310 Del Potro wins 2-0 - Del Potro is a pretty big favorite here as he is 1 of the top hard court players in the world. He has beaten Gasquet before on the hard court and I think that trend should continue here. Confidence:3
400 Elche- Confidence:2
700 Cleveland Cavaliers- I think Cleveland will be happy to come home and play on Monday. It seems they always play well in Cleveland regardless of who they play. Timberwolves are 1 of the best teams in the NBA and I thought they had a decent chance to surprise a lot of people this year. That is in large part to Kevin Love. I think Cleveland has enough athletic big guys to contain Love. I also think Minnesota could have a hard time guarding Kyrie and Waiters. I don't like teams playing on back to back days especially when they have to travel. Cleveland wins at home. Confidence:3
740 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:2
805 Detroit Red Wings- I think a lot of people don't think Winnipeg is that good. I think they have a decent shot to win tomorrow because Detroit has some injuries. Confidence:1
840 Bears single digits- This is probably a pick I would try to avoid at all costs. I could easily see it going either way. Confidence:1
841 Forte and Marshall- I think they get more work and touches. Confidence:2
1015 24 or fewer- Confidence:2
Saturday, November 2, 2013
SFTC Picks for Sunday 11/3
Monthly Path(9-7)
Everton
Saints
Steelers
Buccaneers and Raiders
No
No
I apologize I wont have time to post every pick because I will be going out tonight so I wont have a clue as to what will be going on. I hope everyone that needs my monthly advice will be able to figure out the best route to get the most wins. If you need any help send me a tweet and Ill try to respond.
Everton- Confidence:2
New Orleans Saints- I really like the Jets to cover at +7 but I think the Saints win. Confidence:3
Kansas City Chiefs- Confidence:2
Panthers DD- Confidence:2
Steelers single digit- Confidence:3
Indianapolis Colts- Confidence:3
Everton
Saints
Steelers
Buccaneers and Raiders
No
No
I apologize I wont have time to post every pick because I will be going out tonight so I wont have a clue as to what will be going on. I hope everyone that needs my monthly advice will be able to figure out the best route to get the most wins. If you need any help send me a tweet and Ill try to respond.
Everton- Confidence:2
New Orleans Saints- I really like the Jets to cover at +7 but I think the Saints win. Confidence:3
Kansas City Chiefs- Confidence:2
Panthers DD- Confidence:2
Steelers single digit- Confidence:3
Indianapolis Colts- Confidence:3
Friday, November 1, 2013
SFTC Picks for Saturday 11/2
Monthly Path(5-4)
Chelsea
Arsenal
Michigan St
Wise Dan
Winston passing yards
Any Other score
San Jose Sharks
50 props on the board tomorrow...I don't have time to research every single pick so I will post the plays I like better. Best of luck to everyone.
845 Chelsea- Confidence:4
1200 Virginia Tech- Confidence:2
1201 Iowa- Confidence:3
1230 Syracuse- Confidence:5
103 Midd Tenn St- Confidence:3
130 Arsenal- Confidence:3
300 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:3
334 TCU DD- Confidence:3
335 Michigan ST- Confidence:4
500 Florida Atlantic- Confidence:3
700 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:4
700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:3
700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:3
700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:3
705 Georgia Tech DD- Confidence:4
810 Florida St by 20- My prediction for this game is FSU continues its dominance as 1 of the best teams in the nation even against a really good Miami team. I think this will be the kind of the game that will be really close for 3 quarters and then see FSU pull away late. I got this game as 44-20. Confidence:2
830 Dallas Mavericks- Confidence:3
900 Houston Rockets- Confidence:5
1030 LA Kings- Confidence:4
1030 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:5
Chelsea
Arsenal
Michigan St
Wise Dan
Winston passing yards
Any Other score
San Jose Sharks
50 props on the board tomorrow...I don't have time to research every single pick so I will post the plays I like better. Best of luck to everyone.
845 Chelsea- Confidence:4
1200 Virginia Tech- Confidence:2
1201 Iowa- Confidence:3
1230 Syracuse- Confidence:5
103 Midd Tenn St- Confidence:3
130 Arsenal- Confidence:3
300 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:3
334 TCU DD- Confidence:3
335 Michigan ST- Confidence:4
500 Florida Atlantic- Confidence:3
700 Anaheim Ducks- Confidence:4
700 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:3
700 Boston Bruins- Confidence:3
700 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:3
705 Georgia Tech DD- Confidence:4
810 Florida St by 20- My prediction for this game is FSU continues its dominance as 1 of the best teams in the nation even against a really good Miami team. I think this will be the kind of the game that will be really close for 3 quarters and then see FSU pull away late. I got this game as 44-20. Confidence:2
830 Dallas Mavericks- Confidence:3
900 Houston Rockets- Confidence:5
1030 LA Kings- Confidence:4
1030 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:5
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