SFTC Picks for Friday 7/5

Monthly Path (14-8)                                          Traps (2-3)
Any other                                                            Pirates
Murray in 3 or 5
Cubs (hopefully)
Yes lead
Yes hit
Guatemala


620 Mark Cavendish or Sagan - Confidence:2

810 Any Other- Del Potro- Really tough pick in my opinion. I think Djokovic is on base to win this tournament regardless of who he plays. I think Del Potro steals a set tomorrow but I don't feel great about it because of how well Novak has played. Confidence:1

1045 Murray wins in 3 or 5- I think Murray wins in straight sets tomorrow but he has struggled to get off to get a good start. Could easily see Murray win in 4. Confidence:2

100 67 or more- Just the safer play in my opinion. Tough to play that good in back to back days. Confidence:4

245 Derry City- Confidence:2

405 Chicago Cubs- Liriano has been solid this year and has beaten the Cubs twice this year. Just think the Cubs will win this game. Confidence:2

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Hudson not good on the road. Confidence:4

705 Baltimore Orioles- Just trust their offense a little more. Really a toss up. Confidence:1

706 Yes 1 team lead- Confidence:1

805 Yes- I don't see either of these pitchers having great games. Especially in Yankee stadium. Confidence:3

810 Oakland Athletics- Think they are the better team. They play well on the road and I have a little more faith in Milone than Davis. Confidence:2

810 Milwaukee Brewers- 2 teams that are not that good. That don't have good starting pitchers on the mound. I would take the home team. Confidence:1

1005 Boston Red Sox- Both teams are playing really well right now. I like both pitchers but I think CJ Wilson could struggle here. Confidence:2

1015 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 7/4

Happy Fourth of July to everyone! Hope everyone will get to see some fireworks tonight and some green on their picks.

Monthly Path (10-6)                                                                        Traps (1-1)
Bartoli                                                                                            Radwanska       
Lisiski                                                                                             Yankees
63 or more(hopefully)                                                                  Any Other Cyclist
Diamondbacks(maybe forfeit if there losing) or Twins
Yes
15 or more
Cardinals




720 Mark Cavendish- Stage 6 is another stage for the sprinters similar to stage 5. So its hard to not pick the best sprinter in this race. Cavendish should win this race but they are some minor concerns with picking him here. His health is 1 thing and it looked like it shouldn't be problem considering how he raced in stage 5. The possibility of a crash. The fact that other top sprinters feel they need to perform better today. If this pick was Cavendish and Sagan then I would feel great. Confidence:4

805 Marion Bartoli- Think she has looked better so far in the tournament. She is also a little bit better of a grass player. Confidence:2

1030 Sabine Lisicki- She is going to be known as the 1 who beat Serena. She has played extremely well in the tournament to his point. She has had 1 of the best serves. I think Radwanska could be a little tired after a tough match against Li Na- Confidence:3

1105 Washington Nationals- This pick is closer to a tossup then the percentages would indicate. Hand is a reliever making another start. Jordan is a young guy making his second start. I would pick the Nationals here because I think they are the better team and the Brewers have not done well in day games. Confidence:2

1225 63 or more- I really don't have a whole lot of information to go off  of. I mean the winner of this will be Joey Chestnut. Over the past 6 years the over would of won 3 times and under 3 times. Vegas has the over/under at 62.5. I am just saying the under if the safer pick. I am switching to the over simply because Joey Chestnut tweeted that he would bet on him getting 63. Confidence:2

110 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:2

135 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:2

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

210 Minnesota Twins- I think Gibson is a lot better than Phelps. No way that the Twins get swept in a 4 game series at home to the Yankees. Confidence:3

210 Tampa Bay Rays- There are just a better team than the Astros. Archers numbers are slightly higher but he has pitched against some of the top teams in the AL. Confidence:3

210 Baltimore Orioles- I like Quintana but I just don't like the rest of his team. Orioles have 1 of the best lineups in baseball. Britton should be able to pitch well enough to win this game. Confidence:3

705 Winnipeg - Confidence:1

706 Yes- How many people really knew what a rogue was? Confidence:1

707 Detroit Tigers- How can you ever pick against the Tigers. Blue Jays are a very good team don't get me wrong. But Verlander is so much better than Rogers who has been good this year. Toronto bullpen tired after yesterday. Confidence:2

810 Colorado Rockies- Chcain at Coors Field and Puig probably not playing. Confidence:3

840 15 or more- Confidence:1

905 St. Louis Cardinals- I'm a little concerned that Vegas doesn't have the moneyline higher. Wainright is an ace and Blanton is not good which his 2-10 record indicates. Slightly concerned because Holliday has not been playing but Cards have enough talent and bats to light up Blanton. Just a better team. Confidence:4

1035 LA Galaxy- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 7/3

Monthly Path   ( 6-5)                                                                         Trap Picks (0-1)
Sagan, Cavendish, Greipel                                                                               
Columbia                                                                                             Rays
No Harvey K
Yes run
NO Full Count
Athletics(if lucky)

600 Sagan, Cavendish, Greipel- I'm not sure if I will ever get 1 of these picks right. I have a feeling that 1 of the top sprinters has to win eventually. These are the top 3 favorites in this race and I really think 1 of them gets it. Confidence:4

808 Juan Martin Del Potro- Ferrer is a very good player but like most Spaniards he struggles on grass. Ferrer is the odds favorite and has won the only match these 2 played on grass. I just have a feeling Del Potro wins tomorrow. I think he has looked better so far in the tournament. Confidence:2

1100 Portugal- Confidence:1

1130 Andy Murray- The better pick here. Murray will either win this match 3-0 or 3-1. I don't see Verdasco being able to play that well with Murray. These 2 have played against each other but they were all on a hard surface. Verdasco has looked good so far but hasn't been challenged by someone like Murray to this point. Confidence:3

200 Columbia- Confidence:2

605 Washington Nationals- I don't like when picks are added late. I feel that they are always end up as traps. Detwiller has been shaky at times but I think the Nationals are a much better team and should win this game. Confidence:3

705 New York Mets - This will probably surprise some people. But as good as Harvey is I just cant trust the Mets lineup to generate enough run support. I know the Diamondbacks aren't in good form. I was impressed with Delgado in his last couple starts. Think he should pitch well here and the Diamondbacks find a way to win this game. Confidence:1

706 No- Dbacks are not a huge strikeout team but I think Harvey finds a way to do in each inning. Confidence:1

707 Detroit Tigers- Hard to pick against the Tigers every time there on SFTC. Especially when Scherzer is pitching. But I have a feeling that Johnson will pitch well tomorrow. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- No way I could like them here. Lester has not been great and his last couple starts. Volquez has actually pitched well in his last couple starts. I just cant trust Volquez against the Boston lineup. Confidence:4

805 Texas Rangers- I would pick the Rangers here just because they have done well against Hernandez. Hernandez is a stud but I hate picking a great pitcher knowing that they might not score 3 runs. Confidence:2

810 Houston Astros- Hernandez has not been that good all year but especially on the road. He is 1-5 with 5.93 ERA. Norris on the other hand has been good all year but especially at home. He is 3-3 with a 2.38 ERA. Think the Astros win this game as long as they score 4 or 5 runs. Confidence:2

810 New York Yankees- CC's numbers are slightly higher this year especially his road numbers. But nothing to not  make me pick them in this game. The Yankees have dominated the first 2 games and CC has owned the Twins in the past. Walters is not very good. Wondering if this looks too good to be true. Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royals- Indians are red hot but I don't trust Kazmir on the road. I think Guthrie will pitch well tonight. Confidence:1

810 Los Angeles Dodgers- This is really a tough game to predict. I have not been a fan of Greinke since he has come off the DL. Chatwood on the other hand has been solid all year. I just think the Dodgers lineup will be too much for Chatwood and the Rockies tonight. Confidence:2

825 Yes run - Confidence:1

925 No Full count- Confidence:1

1005 Oakland Athletics- Hard to not pick the Athletics when Colon is pitching. Colon is 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA at home. I think Garza has looked good this year and his road numbers are 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Neither of these pitchers have pitched against these teams in a couple of years. So there is not a whole lot of info on batters history. But I cant pick against the Athletics at home. Confidence:3

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Usually I would pick the Cards especially when Miller is pitching. Williams has been good all year. Miller has struggled his last 2 outing and his road numbers are slightly higher. Angels on a 7 game win streak and I think they find a way to win tonight. Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 7/2

Monthly Path  (2-3)                                                                                                 Trap Picks
Li Na                                                                                                                 -Tampa Bay Rays
Spain
France
20 or more
35 or fewer
Athletics



810 Li Na- I think this should be a good match since both are good players. These 2 have played 3 career matches on grass. Na has 1 2/3 and has won the most recent. I think Na has just looked like the better player to this point in the tournament. Confidence:1

915 Omega Pharma or Garmin Sharp- 0/3 so far. Garmin Sharp is stacked and other teams have injuries. I think Garmin Sharp wins this tomorrow but these team trials are tough to predict because they come down to seconds. Confidence:3

1100 Spain - Just a better team and are in great form. Vegas considers them huge favorite for this match. Confidence:3

200 France- I haven't really seen a whole lot of each team but based off of the numbers France seems like the better team. They should advance here. Confidence:1

707 Detroit Tigers- Even though the Tigers are in a bit of a slump I cant pick against them. Fister has been pretty consistent all year except for a few bad starts. Wang on the other hand is either hit or miss. Detroit should bounce back here with a win. Confidence:3

710 Cincinnati Reds- Until the Giants start to hit the ball I just cant pick them. The Giants have also had struggles on the road all year. Lincecum has just not been himself this year. Bailey has been decent all year but especially at home. I think the trends continue and Reds win tonight. Vegas has this around -170. Confidence:4

805 Texas Rangers- Not really sure how you could not pick the Rangers here. They are 8-2 in their last 10. Grimm has been shaky at times but has beaten the Mariners twice this year already. He looked good in both of those games. Saunders has pitched better of late but struggled in his last outing against the Pirates. Rangers are just too tough and should win this game. Rangers are 16-9 against lefties this year. Confidence:5

805 storm win or single digit loss- Sky have been really good this year especially at home. I think they win here but just and odds play to say the Storm can keep it to single digits. Confidence:2

806 20 or more- Della Donne is 1 of my favorite players in the WNBA. Sky might have some injuries that will force her and Prince to score more. Confidence:2

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:1

810 Minnesota Twins- Think they bounce back tonight after a tough loss. Not a huge fan of Hughes on the road. Confidence:2

810 Houston Astros- I would pick them here for 3 main reasons. The first is I'm not sure what to expect from David Price. He is one of my favorite pitchers but sometimes pitchers will struggle on their first start coming off the DL. The second is Carlos Pena is expected back after taking the last few days off. I know that isn't a huge deal considering he is not having a great year. But it adds an extra bat in their lineup. The third and main reason is because Bedard is on the mound. I honestly cant believe I just said that. But believe it or not Bedard has been pretty good especially at home. Bedard is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 6 home starts. He has yielded 3 runs or fewer in 9 of his 10 starts. Confidence:1

840 Los Angeles Dodgers- Hard to not pick them here. Kershaw is the best pitcher in MLB and Puig is arguably the hottest hitter at the moment. I think the Dodgers will win but seeing some numbers of the history between these 2 teams and pitchers is making me a little cautious. Kershaw is 0-1 with a 5.01 ERA in his last 5 starts at Coors Field. Oswalt is 5-1 with a 2.05 ERA in his last 7 starts against the Dodgers. Even with that said the Dodgers should win this game. Confidence:3

910 35 or fewer- Confidence:2

1005 Oakland Athletics- This is a matchup between 2 1st year pitchers who have never played against either team. Griffin has struggled at times this year but nothing terrible. He is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA at home. Rusin has made 7 career starts but his numbers just are not that good. Athletics are too good of a team and should win this game. Athletics 15-11 against left handed starting pitchers. Confidence:5

1005 Los Angeles Angels- This pick is a toss up. Weaver and Lynn are both very good. Both teams have some of the best hitters in the league. Angels currently on a 6 game winning streak. I think Cards find a way to win this game and I see Weaver struggling with the Cards lineup. Confidence:1

1035 Los Angeles Sparks-  Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for July 1

I don't think there is a greater feeling then a start of a new month on SFTC. Hopefully everyone is as excited as me. W27 this month will be worth $200,000. I am going to try and update something's on my blog for the new month.  Good luck to everyone and streak on.


Monthly Path/Most Wins                                          Traps of the Day
Serena                                                                         -
Yes break
3 or 4
No neither
No HR
0 or 1


635 Peter Sagan- I am 0/2 on TDF props so far but I hope to change that in the near future. I just feel that 1 of the best sprinters in the race has to win 1 of these upcoming races  sooner or later. This is just what would I would pick if I wanted this prop. I just feel everyone should look into tennis. But I would have no problem if people picked Any Other just strictly based off of odds. Confidence:1

810 Serena Williams- I really don't think a whole lot of information needs to be provided here. Serena is the best women's player in the world for a reason. Lisicki is a solid young player who does perform well on grass. I just cant see how Williams would lose this match. It wouldn't surprise me if Lisicki came close to taking a set but I think even that happening is a stretch. Williams to win in straight sets is at -400. For Serena to actually win the match is at -1730. This basically a gift from the StreakMaster. Confidence:6

1230 Novak wins 3-0 - Its just a matter that I think this is the better play on this pick. Haas is a very good player as his ranking would indicate. But Novak has proven in every 1 of his matches so far that he is the 1 seed for a reason. Confidence:3

1231 Yes- No way Novak does so it comes down to Haas. I will say he gets broken once but it wouldn't surprise me if he didn't. Confidence:2

107 Detroit Tigers- This pick is based  on the fact of Dickey inconsistency. I can never trust whether not he is going to pitch well or give up 6 runs in 4 innings. The Tigers lineup is stacked and I think they do well against the knuckleballer. Alvarez is not a great pitcher but I think he should do well enough here to get a W. Confidence:3

200 3 or 4 games- I just think this is the safer play. I could see Haas only winning 2 or 5 maybe. But I mean depending on the score at this point it is just the safer play. 3 or 4 would hit atleast 50% in my opinion. Confidence:2

245 Limerick- Confidence:1

707 Cincinnati Reds- They are clearly the better pick here. All the numbers point to them winning this game. Reds are 1 of the best home teams in MLB. Arroyo almost always pitches well at Great American ball park. Kickham on the other hand is a rookie who has not looked great in his starts so far. I am not going to be very confident in this game however. I don't know if it is me over thinking this game or not. Neither team is very hot right now Giants(2-8) and Reds (3-7) in their last 10. But since I have been a follower of the NL central I have found that sometimes the Reds will really struggle with lefties. The last time these 2 teams played a series @Cincinnati the Giants swept them. I still have to pick the Reds here but it wouldn't surprise me if they lost. Confidence:2

708 No neither- Confidence:1

710 San Diego Padres- Funny to think that Marquis and Fernandez are 2 of the better pitchers in the NL. Marquis has been solid all year except for his last game against Philadelphia. Fernandez is a young stud. I think Marquis bounces back with a solid game tonight. Really a tough game to pick but SD just finds ways to win when Marquis pitches. Confidence:2

745 No home run- I have been flip flopping on this pick but I'm leaning towards no. Confidence:1

810 Tampa Bay Rays- I just cant find a whole lot of reasons not to pick them here. Rays are clearly a better team. Moore is one of the best pitchers in MLB but has struggled of late. His last couple of road starts are slightly higher. But nothing that would make me not pick them here. Keuchel has not been that bad this year despite playing for the Astros. I just have to think the Rays find a way to win this game. Confidence:2

810 New York Yankees- Its hard for me to think they could lose 6 games in a row here. I dont have a ton of faith in either lineup. But I will give a slight advantage here to the Yankees because Pettitte is pitching. Confidence:3

910 0 or 1- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Sunday 6/30

Last day of the June is here. Expect detailed writeups tomorrow. I should be able to have picks up rather early tomorrow night.  Most likely tomorrow will be rather boring just as a warning. But the stash will be available in July so 200k to the lucky person who wins it.



740 Sagan or Cavendish- Confidence:2

1200 Italy- Confidence:2

110 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

140 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:2

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:3

405 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:2

410 Seattle Mariners- Confidence:1

410 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:3

600 Spain- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Saturday 6/29

Only 2 more days until a new month starts. I think the majority of people are already eliminated unless you are going for the monthly.



615 Mark Cavendish- For those curious this will end around 11:30. Cavendish is the favorite and I think he would win this stage. Confidence:3

1230 10 or more- I think Chardy is good enough to compete with Novak to green the overs. Confidence:2

110 New York Mets - Confidence:2

405 Atlanta Braves- Hudson tough at home. Confidence:4

405 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:3

405 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

410 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:2

410 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

410 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:1

410 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:2

710 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

715 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:3

715 Texas Rangers- Confidence:2

715 Chicago Cubs- Confidence:3

1000 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:2