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Saturday, November 30, 2013

SFTC Picks for Sunday 12/1

Monthly Path
Tottenham
St. Josephs
LSU
VCU
Oklahoma St
Marquette




A shame the stash was won in November but all I can do is tip my hat to the people who had some of the most amazing runs in SFTC history. It seemed like it was the first month in a while that all the big favorites kept winning. I hope everyone is as happy as I am to have a clean slate and begin a new month.

I love watching the NFL but hate picking it because truthfully I haven't had a whole lot of success this year. It seems I either pick 80% right or 20% right each week. Here goes nothing.


700 Tottenham - I think more times than not this pick will hit. It Is definitely the safer pick in my opinion. It really could depend who ends up playing for United. RVP is expected to miss another game from everything I have seen. It does scare me that United is coming off of a 5-0 victory the other day and Tottenham has lost 2 of their last 3 matches at home. But Tottenham should at least draw here in my opinion. A decent pick for every one to start the month. Confidence:3

1200 St. Josephs- Confidence:1

100 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:2

100 Jacksonville single digits- I have been a backer of Jacksonville for most of this year and at times it has paid off. They have been playing better recently but still are not a great team. The main reason for this pick is I really don't like Brandon Weeden. It really is nothing against him but it just seems every game he plays in he struggles. Confidence:3

100 Chicago Bears- Slight lean on the better here. Minnesota has had success at home in the past. But as bad as the Bears defense has been I still have to give them an edge here. Confidence:2

100 Buccaneers- This is a pick that I absolutely love. Glennon looks like he has control of this offense and Revis has started to play like his old self recently. I think the Buccaneers last couple of weeks is not a fluke and that they will really compete in this game. Even though the Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the NFL I got the Buccaneers not losing by more than 1 possession.  Confidence:5

100 Patriots- I really think the Texans have given up this year and for someone that picked them to be great this year because of how much talent they have it is disappointing. One of the things Texans have struggled this year and in the past was teams with dangerous passing attacks. Even though I would generally like to take a team like the Pats to not do well in this game. I think this is the smarter pick given Brady and the Patriots offense. Confidence:2

100 Philadelphia Eagles- don't really have a whole lot to say here I just like the Eagles at home with how Foles has played. Confidence:2

100 New York Jets- Honestly have no idea. Confidence:1

100 Indianapolis Colts- This is the smarter pick even though I think the Titans have a really good chance here. Titans are one the must underrated teams in the NFL in my opinion. People will have to remember a couple of weeks ago when the Colts had to come back and win that game. Luck is so good but the offense has struggled so much without Wayne you have to wonder if it will hurt them here. Confidence:1

100 Saint Louis- Think they are a really underrated team and match up well against Wichita St. Confidence:3

230 LSU Tigers- I think they are a much more athletic team and will cause problems for Butler. Confidence:3

400 DePaul- Confidence:1

405 49ers- The Rams offense has really been playing well recently but that could change in this game as the 49ers defense has started to come back around. I really try not to pick a team to win by double digits especially in the NFL. But in this case I think its the most likely scenario. Confidence:2

405 Buffalo Bills- Toss up. Confidence:1

425 Cincinnati Bengals- I kind of like this pick despite me not liking road teams. In  my opinion the Bengals are a better team from top to bottom. I think a lot of people are starting to see that the Chargers are a legit team and have a great shot at getting the 2nd wild card. But as far as winning the battle at the line of scrimmage I give a pretty big edge to the Bengals. They are 2-4 on the road in a large part to Andy Dalton not playing well. The Bengals should be rested coming off of a BYE. I think they win this game here. Confidence:3

425 Denver Broncos- Going into this year I thought the Chiefs would have a chance to be pretty good because of their defense and Andy Reid. They have exceeded my expectations and barring a disaster will make the playoffs this year. This is really a huge game because it could ultimately determine home field in the AFC. Even though the Broncos haven't played well on the road this year I still have to pick them here. The pass defense for the Broncos scares me but I don't think Alex Smith is that good of a passing quarterback to torch them like Brady did. Broncos money line is a little higher then I have but none the less a solid pick to start December. Confidence:5

500 VCU- Confidence:2

530 Ottawa Senators- Confidence:1

600 Golden State - Just a better team. Confidence:3

600 Dallas Stars- Confidence:4

730 New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

730 Oklahoma State-I think this will be a much better game then when these 2 teams met ago recently. I think Ok St was on fire in that game and Memphis played awful. I still do think the Ok St should win this game just off of having more talent. Smart is a great leader and I think they win this championship game. Confidence:5

834 Washington Redskins- Confidence:2

930 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:2

935 Marquette - Confidence:1

Friday, November 29, 2013

SFTC Picks for Saturday 11/30

Monthly Path(100-87)
Arsenal
North Carolina
Virginia
Yes
Yes


1000 Arsenal- Confidence:3

1200 Rutgers- Confidence:2

1200 North Carolina- Confidence:5

1202  Florida St by 30- Confidence:1

1205  Michigan- Confidence:2

1205  Kansas st by 15- Confidence:1

1230 Maryland- Confidence:2

1230 Newcastle United- Confidence:2

200 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:1

330 Northwestern- Confidence:2

330 Georgia- Confidence:2

330 Boston College- Confidence:1

335 TCU- Any other- Confidence:2

335 Penn St- Confidence:2

335 Virginia points scored- Confidence:4

340 Auburn- Confidence:2

405 Iowa St- Confidence:1

700 South Carolina- I'm kind of surprised of how high the spread is in this game since I have it as a pick em. USC is the safer pick here but I think I'm taking Clemson in my fantasy picks. Confidence:1

700 Tennessee - Confidence:1

700 Washington Wizards- Confidence:3

705 Notre Dame- Confidence:4

730 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:3

745 Texas A&M- The past couple weeks I have backed Missouri but I really haven't liked what I saw. I am a not big fan of Manziel. But I think this my upset of the week. Missouri with a ton of pressure on them to win here and I just have a feeling Manziel has a great game here. It might be the kind of game where Manziel leads a TD drive as time expires and wins 37-36. Confidence:1

808 USC - Confidence:2


Thursday, November 28, 2013

SFTC Picks for Friday 11/29

Monthly Path (97-85)
Purdue
Bruins
Penguins
2 or 3
Any other score



1102 Purdue- Confidence:3

1135 Philadelphia Flyers- Confidence:3

1200 Nebraska- Confidence:2

1200 Marshall- Confidence:4

1202 Houston- Confidence:3

105 Boston bruins- Confidence:3

130 Bowling Green- Confidence:1

240 LSU by 25- Confidence:2

305 Florida International(Any Other)- Confidence:3

330 Miami- Confidence:3

335 Washington by 15- Confidence:2

405 New York Islanders- Confidence:1

405 Pittsburgh Penguins- Confidence:3

405 San Jose Sharks- Confidence:2

505 Washington Capitals- Confidence:2

605 Colorado Avalanche- Confidence:1

705 Carolina Hurricanes- Confidence:2

705 Oregon by 20- Confidence:3

735 Toronto Maple Leafs- Confidence:3

735 Atlanta Hawks- Confidence:2

735 Boston Celtics- Confidence:3

803 Central Florida by 25- Confidence:3

804 2 or 3- Confidence:2

805 New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

835 Chicago Blackhawks- Confidence:2


950 Any other score- Confidence:2






Wednesday, November 27, 2013

SFTC Picks for Thursday 11/28

Monthly Path (95-80)
Shakter Karagandy
Oklahoma st by 15
Butler
Cal St Fullerton
Siena
LSU
Arizona St


I hope everyone has a great holiday. Happy Thanksgiving everyone.


1000 Shakter Karagandy- Confidence:2

1203 Oklahoma St by15- Confidence:1

1230 Packers Tds and FGs- Hard to really trust the Packers without Rodgers. Lions haven't been great either recently. Lions have lost the last 2 Thanksgiving games I cant see them losing 3. My prediction is Lions 27-23. I think Packers score enough points and keep this close. Confidence:2

200 George Washington- Confidence:3

230 Butler- I don't think either of these teams are very good. I think this game is a toss up. Confidence:1

430 Cowboys DD- I didn't think I would ever say this but I am really impressed with the way Romo has been playing. I think if the Cowboys can get there defense together they have a shot to make a run in the playoffs this year. Prediction is Cowboys 30-17. Confidence:3

445 Cal St Fullerton- Confidence:3

640 Siena- Confidence:2

700 Iowa- Should be a really good game between 2 underrated teams this year in college basketball. The one concern I have for Xavier is who will guard Marble. I think he creates some matchup problems for Xavier. Iowa wins in a close one. Confidence:1

730 Texas Longhorns(football)- Confidence:4

730 Ole Miss- Confidence:2

730 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:2

800 Nashville Predators- Confidence:3

834 Pittsburgh Steelers- I really hope this game lives up the hype. It seems almost every time these 2 teams meet its always decided by a field goal. I cant be the only one who a couple of weeks ago thought both of these teams were done. However I have been more impressed with the Steelers recently. I don't know what happened to them but the defense is finally playing like everyone expected. I got the Steelers winning 20-17. Confidence:2

855 LSU Tigers- Confidence:3

1110 Arizona St- Confidence:1

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 11/27

Monthly Path (94-75)
CSKA Moscow
either team leads
0 or 1
Kyrie Irving
5 or more
Syracuse


1200 CSKA Moscow- Confidence:3

245 Manchester United- Confidence:2

245 either team leads- really a toss up. I think 1 goal in the first half is the most likely option. Confidence:1

245 Victoria Plzen- Confidence:3

347 0 or 1- Once again I think this is the most likely option. Only way I would think about changing my pick would be if 0 goals get scored in the first half. That is because one of these 2 teams will most likely score and then if 1 does the other might try and counter to get at least  the draw. Confidence:2

702 Arizona DD- Confidence:2

705 New York Islanders- Confidence:1

705 Washington Capitals- Confidence:3
 
705 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:1

733 Heat- Would stay away from this game because Lebron will come out and play hard here. But Miami has struggled at times on the road and Cleveland has looked better at home. Confidence:1

734 Kyrie Irving- Confidence:2

735 Memphis Grizzlies- Confidence:2

735 Brooklyn Nets- Confidence:1

735 Tampa Bay Lightning - Confidence:2

735 New York Rangers- Confidence:3

740 Boston Bruins- Confidence:2

805 Washington Wizards- Confidence:1

805 Oklahoma City Thunder- Confidence:3

805 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:1

835 Dallas Mavericks- Confidence:2

900 5 or more- Just because Heat are a great 3rd quarter team. Confidence:2

905 Portland Trail Blazers- Confidence:2

905 Colorado Avalanche - Confidence:1

930 Duke DD- Confidence:1

1000 Syracuse- Confidence:5





Monday, November 25, 2013

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 11/26

Monthly Path (90-72)
Zenit
Chelsea
70 or earlier
Gonzaga by 25
Cj Fair
Yes
Wichita St


1200 Zenit St. Petersburg- Confidence:2

245 Chelsea- Confidence:3

245 Chelsea- Confidence:2

245 Yes both teams win- Confidence:4

346 70th or earlier- Confidence:1

433 Gonzaga by 25- Confidence:1

702 California- I think Cals guards are good enough to cause trouble for Cuse here. Syracuse is obviously the safe pick for people on a decent streak but I think California gets it done. Confidence:1

703 Cj Fair- Confidence:2

702 Northern Illinois by 35- Western Michigan is really bad. Confidence:2

732 Texas Longhorns- Confidence:3

805 New Orleans Pelicans- Confidence:2

810 Anaheim Ducks- I really don't like the Stars but they seem to always find ways to win. Even though Ducks have struggled on the road give me the better team here. Confidence:2

930 Dayton- Confidence:1

930 Stanford- Confidence:2

1000 Wichita St- Confidence:3

Sunday, November 24, 2013

SFTC Picks for Monday 11/25

Monthly Path (87-69)
Krasnodar
No
No
Syracuse
Kaepernick
Vancouver Canucks


1000 Krasnodar- Confidence:2

245 Caligari- Confidence:3

300 West Bromwich- Odds point to the draw here but I think Bromwich at home will find a way to get the win. Confidence:1

301 No- Total toss up I think theres a pretty good chance no one scores in the first half. Confidence:1

303 California- Confidence:3

401 No- I doubt they get more than 1 in this game. If they score in the first half I will like this pick more. Confidence:2

530 Syracuse- Confidence:1

705 Boston Bruins- Confidence:1

705 Charlotte Bobcats- Confidence:2

705 New Jersey Devils- Confidence:3

732 BYU winning margin- Confidence:3

732 Pitt DD- Confidence:2

735 Florida Panthers- Confidence:1

735 Tampa Bay Lightning- Confidence:1

805 Houston Rockets- Confidence:4

840 Redskins TDs and FGs- Confidence:2

841 Colin Kaepernick- Confidence:2

905 Chicago Bulls- Confidence:1

932 Baylor by 20- Confidence:2

1001 Stanford DD- Confidence:2

1005 Vancouver Canucks- Confidence:4

1015 15 or more- Confidence:1