SFTC Picks for Thursday 8/8

Monthly Path (20-17)
34 or more
Dila Gori
10 or more
Indiana Fever
No
Field Goal


Trap Picks (6-8)




835 34 or more- My initial guess was he shoots a 69 on his first round. Tiger is the odds favorite to win this tournament because he is the best golfer in the world. I have him having a really good chance to do so. This is the safer play in my opinion. The main reason is I think Tiger could struggle reading the greens on the first day. On top of that there is a good chance of some rain and high winds predicted when Tiger tees off. Now the rain could actually help him as long as its not pouring. I think its too early in this tournament to expect Tiger to be aggressive and push for birdies. He is more than capable of hitting the under here but I got him shooting a par on the back nine. Confidence:3

1200 Dila Gori- I usually don't like to pick teams that have already won the first leg of the macth. But I will here because I think Dila Gori is the better team. I think everything in this match points to a draw. Confidence:2

1210 No- This isn't Nadal's best surface but I still think he is a solid enough player to win this match tomorrow in straight sets. The only thing that scares me is Vegas has the over/under at 21 which would mean they think Janowicz could have a shot in a set. Confidence:2

145 Adam Scott- I love seeing picks on streak where the guy with the tie option is actually favored. Always makes me wonder if they know something. First days are hard to predict. I have both of these golfers contending this weekend. But given I have Adam Scott as my pre tournament pick how could I not pick him here. First round odds Scott -125 Mickelson +105. Confidence:4

225 10 or more- I think Gulbis has a shot to atleast take a set tomorrow against Murray. I think his best chance to do so would be in the first. Confidence:2

700 Indiana Fever- Both teams are playing really well lately. I think the Sparks are a better team because they have Candace Parker but I cant pick against the Fever at home here. Fever are -2.5 favorites here. Candace Parker is not expected to play. Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers- Don't let the percentages and name recognition fool you on this pick. Don't get me wrong the Tigers are a solid play any time especially with Scherzer on the mound. I am not a huge McAllister fan but he has won against Detroit in his last 3 starts. I think the Tigers are the team more likely to win tomorrow. But if the Tribe came through it wouldn't surprise me. As much as I think this game has trap potential I have put this game with a high confidence because the money line has gone up to around -160.  Confidence:3

730 Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Confidence:1

800 Washington Redskins- Confidence:1

800 St. Louis Rams- Confidence:1

805 Atlanta Falcons- Confidence:2

806 No- Confidence:2

810 Boston Red Sox- I think they are the better team. But I have no clue what to expect from Lester. Some of the Red Sox hit Chen pretty well. Confidence:2

815 Los Angeles Dodgers- I don't think I have gotten 1 game right in this series. Guess that means the Cardinals are going to win tonight. Confidence:3

900 San Francisco 49ers- Confidence:1

930 Length of longest Field Goal- Confidence:1

1000 San Diego Chargers- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 8/7

Monthly Path (18-15)
Nordsjaelland
PSV Elndhoven
No Puig
No


Trap Picks (6-8)


1200 Nordsjaelland- I don't feel great about this pick because I feel Zenit is a much better team. But when you have a team like Nordsjaelland that is going to need to push to get goals. I think all the numbers point to Zenit winning tomorrow 2-1. Confidence:3

245 PSV Elndhoven- They won the first leg of this match 2-0. I think they could play a little conservative here. But they are a much better team so I cant pick against them. Confidence:2

340 San Diego Padres- Baltimore generally will play a weaker lineup in day games. I never know what to expect out of Gonzalez. I am not confident in the Padres but I like Stults at home. Think they are the better pick here. Confidence:1

340 Seattle Mariners- Not a big fan of Harang here but he pitches better at home. Cant see Toronto winning 3 in a row against the Mariners. Confidence:1

640 AC Milan- Confidence:1

807 St. Louis Cardinals- Should be a tight game. I have to give an edge here to the home team and the pitcher with the better starting pitcher on the mound. Confidence:2

808 No- Confidence:1

840 No - Confidence:1

910 Real Madrid - Confidence:3

930 Portland Timbers- Confidence:1

940 Tampa Bay Rays- I really like both of these young pitchers. I would give a slight edge to Delgado here at home. But I think the Rays are the better team and its hard to see them losing 2 days in a row. Confidence:2

1005 Texas Rangers- A better team with a better pitcher on the mound. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 8/6

Monthly Path (18-11)
Jerzy Janowicz
Grasshoppers
Juventus
Everton

Trap Picks (6-8)


1210 Jerzy Janowicz 2-0 - Benneteau is a good player but I like Janowicz more. I got him winning this match just hope he does it in straight sets. But I could see Benneteau playing tough. Confidence:2

100 2 or fewer- Toss up but Vegas has the under at -118 and the over at +103. Confidence:1

300 Grasshoppers- I think every sign here points to a draw. The Grasshoppers are losing 0-1 in the leg and will need to push for goals. I see a 1-1 draw. Confidence:2

640 Juventus- Vegas has Juventus around -157 which are pretty high odds. I am not that confident because I wonder how motivated Juventus is because this is the 7th place game. Milan hasnt looked good but I could see a draw. Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers- This is going to be a really tough game to predict especially with what happened on Monday night. This features 2 really good starting pitchers. Both of these pitchers have seen these teams multiple times in their career and even this year. Both have struggled because both teams have very good lineup. In this kind of game I would just give an edge to the Tigers because they are the better team. Confidence:2

710 Colorado Rockies- Chatwood is one of the best young pitchers in the game. He really struggled on the road against Atlanta. The braves were really hot so I will kind of excuse that game. I think he will have a chance to bounce back here with a solid game against a not so good Mets lineup. Chatwood has pitched well against the Mets in the past. I think the Rockies are a better team. But the Rockies have some of the worst statistical road numbers in MLB. I still think they have a very good shot to win this game.  Confidence:3

810 Chicago White Sox- Both teams are pretty cold right now. I have to give a slight edge here to the White Sox with Sale on the mound. Confidence:2

910 Everton - The odds favor the draw here but I got this as a toss up. I am hoping Valencia can come through. Confidence:1

940 Tampa Bay Rays - Hellickson has been absolutely on fire in the last couple months. But he struggled in his last outing which was against Arizona. Hellickson was 6-0 in his last starts before going against Arizona. Hellickson really struggled that night with his command. Miley has been better of late but his home splits are still high. He was inconsistent in the beginning of the year but has seem to come around. I still don't trust him here. The main reason for my pick is the Rays eat up lefties. They are 23-13 this year against Left Handed Pitchers. Confidence:3

1002 Mercury DD- I know this pick might surprise people considering the Storm beat the Mercury twice this year. But Griner is expected to play a big role in tonight's game. I have to think her and Taurasi could be really dangerous at home. Confidence:1

1005 Texas Rangers- I cant see anyone in their right mind that would think picking against Darvish is a good idea. So it is just a matter of your confidence level. Its a decent pick but I am just not super confident in the Rangers on the road. Especially when the Angels are so tough at home. Cruz wont be playing even though he isn't that big of a loss. Just thinking this might be one of those games were it looks so easy on paper. Confidence:3

1010 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday August 5

Monthly Path (15-9)
Bayern Munich by 4
Adam Wainwright
No
4 or 5
Seattle Mariners

Trap Picks (6-8)



1200 Lokomotiv Moscow- I think they are the better team and are at home. Odds favor them winning this game. I could see a draw but I think Lokomotiv winning tomorrow is the most likely outcome. Confidence:1

230 Bayern Munich by 4 - I think this is the most likely outcome. Bayern is the best team in the world but it will come down to what lineup Bayern plays. I got Bayern 3-1 or 4-1. Confidence:3

245 Real Betis - This is a tough pick because it is just a friendly. I think Fulham is the better team but I think draw is the most likely option here. Odds would favor this pick just because Betis might be able to get a win. Confidence:2

703 St. Louis Cardinals-  This should be a really good game but I think the Cardinals are a better team even though they haven't performed that way recently. Wainwright is a stud. Greinke has been too inconsistent for me. I think he hasn't looked the same ever since he came back from his injury. I think the Cardinals bats have been too hot for me. Confidence:3

704 Adam Wainwright- Confidence:2

705 Detroit Tigers - Cleveland is tough at home but the Tigers love playing against Kluber especially Cabrera. Both these teams are hot. But Sanchez is too tough for me to pick against him here. Confidence:3

705  Washington Nationals- Braves are red hot recently. But Strasburg usually pitches really well against the Braves. But some Braves hit him well. Mike Minor has been good all year but I give a slight edge to the Nationals here. Confidence:2

820 No- Confidence:2

905 4 or 5- Confidence:1

1005 Texas Rangers- I got this game as a complete toss up. Confidence:1

1010 Seattle Mariners- Hard to trust Dickey especially on the road. Iwaukma has been good all year and I just hope the Mariners can give him enough runs here. I think Dickey could give up enough runs that the Mariners should win this game. Have to hope their bullpen doesn't blow another game late. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Sunday 8/4

Monthly Path (11-7)
FC Porto
Kansas City Royals
Azarenka
Yes
Braves more hits
2 or more


Trap Picks (6-7)
Cleveland Indians






900 FC Porto- Confidence:1

110 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

110 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

110 Kansas City Royals- Santana is a stud and Mets best player David Wright not playing. Confidence:4

205 Any other- I feel Tiger will play conservative and someone will shoot a pretty good round. I got Tiger by 5. Confidence:2

210 Milwaukee Brewers- Confidence:2

220 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:1

335 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

405 Texas Rangers- Confidence:3

405 Valencia- Confidence:1

410 New York Yankees - Confidence:1

510 Azarenka -Confidence:1

640 Chelsea- Confidence:1

805 Miami Dolphins- Confidence:1

805 Philadelphia Phillies- Braves are hot and usually hit Lee pretty well. I just trust Lee a lot more than Wood. I have to think the Phillies have too many veterans on this team to lose 5 straight even if those loses are to the best team in their division. I got Lee pitching a gem and the Phillies winning a low scoring game. Confidence:2

808 Yes- Confidence:1

840 Braves more hits - Confidence:1

1005 2 or more- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Saturday August 3

Just a warning I am going out tonight so my picks might be short and might not have time to do writeups or fully research every pick.


Monthly Path (7-5)
Galatasaray
Bordeaux
Azarenka
Boston Red Sox
-UFC
-UFC


Trap Picks (6-7)



900 Galatasaray - 2 evenly matched teams. I think the draw is the most likely outcome. Confidence:2

110 68 or more- Tiger was unbelievable on Friday. I just think he is more likely to come out and not dominate like he did today. I mean Tiger could obviously shoot a 65 tomorrow and it wouldn't surprise me. But I just feel that give the cushion Tiger as after the second round so if he shoots a -2 tomorrow he will be pretty happy. Confidence:2

245 Bordeaux - Confidence:1

405 Oakland Athletics- Garza is tough but A's tough at home. Feel the Rangers streak comes to an end here. I got this as a toss up though. Confidence:1

405 Los Angeles Dodgers- Samardzija has been inconsistent this year and the Cubs aren't playing that well. But I don't like Capuano just hope the Dodgers offense can outscore the Cubs here. Confidence:2

510 Azarenka - Confidence:1

710 Washington Nationals- Neither pitcher is very good. But I think the Brewers bullpen will be tired. Just think the Nationals are a better team. Confidence:2

710 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

805 Real Madrid- Better team but I think Everton is better than the Galaxy were yesterday.  Confidence:2

840 New York Yankees- Confidence:3

1040 LA Galaxy- If their key players play in this game I think they will compete and at least keep it close here. Confidence:3


Make sure to check out my UFC picks under my UFC predictions page

http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/ufc-predictions.html

1130 Decision - Confidence:3

1205 KO or TKO- Confidence:5

SFTC Picks for Friday August 2

Also if anyone is interested in playing fantasy football then make sure to let me know. I am thinking about creating a league in the next few days. If you want to read more about the league then you can click on the link below.

http://danossftcpicks.blogspot.com/p/fantasy-football-news.html


Monthly Path (5-1)
Rory McIlroy
Rostov WDLby1
Ajax by 3
Isner 2-0
Boston Red Sox
3 or more


Trap Picks (6-7)


940 Rory McIlroy - This is a really tough pick for me. Both guys are some of the best golfers in the world. These 2 will be teeing off on the back 9 nine on Friday. They both shot the same score on there first round. Rory didn't play that well on Thursday even though his scorecard would indicate otherwise. Rory made a lot of good putts to shoot a 70. Snedeker on the other hand hit the ball very well but couldn't get a good feel for the greens. The back nine favors a striker which would mean to pick Rory. I think Snedeker will come out and play better today. Think he will get a better feel for the greens. Rory has not been in that great of form from his last couple tournaments. But Rory played really well here last year finishing in a tie for 5th. Bottom line is I see 2 very good golfers and the tie option here being too good to pass up. Confidence:2

1200 Rostov WDLby1- This pick makes a lot of sense here. But I will say Russian soccer has been proven to have been rigged at points. Anzhi is the better team in my opinion even though they have not played well in their recent games. Rostov on the other hand has played well despite playing some bad teams. I got Anzhi winning a tight game 2-1. Just hoping Anzhi doesn't score a couple goals in the 90th minute. Confidence:3

110 2 birdies or fewer- This is just the safer play. Tiger is obviously more than capable of hitting 3 birdies on the first 3 holes. But all it takes is for 1 bad tee shot to green the under pickers. Tiger loves this course but his 2nd day scores are generally higher. I got him birdieing 3 and 8. But I could see him bogeying 1 of the par 3s(5 or 7). Confidence:3

140 Lee Westwood- I think a lot of people will see Webb Simpson is the leader at -6 and think why would you pick Westwood. I just think Westwood is a better golfer. Simpson is an amazing putter but I think he relies on momentum. I got both of these guys shooting a -1 tomorrow. Confidence:2

200 Ajax by 3 - This is 1 of those picks where I wish I knew more about soccer team and players. Ajax is definitely the better team. But I think a lot of this pick depends on the lineups. Both of these teams are playing really well lately. If Ajax plays their top lineup I think they take this 1. But Ajax just won a game in the Super Cup not too long ago and might rest some players. Confidence:2

330 Barcelona by 2- Surprised this pick isn't will they win by 3. They are just a much more talented team. Don't think I would even change this pick even if they didn't play some of their key players. Confidence:3

410 Isner 2-0 - Isner is a much better player in my opinion. His opponent has played him tough over their history. Even though they haven't play in almost 2 years which I think in that span Isner has gotten a lot better. Isner is a huge favorite to win this match which I agree with. Just hope he doesn't drop a set. Confidence:3

705 Baltimore Orioles- Just a much better team here with a better lineup. Tillman has been solid all year. Harangs road numbers are not very good. He has pitched well against the Orioles in the past. Even though they have been slumping I couldn't pick against them here. I think the money line is a little higher than what I would have it at. Vegas has it around -160. I would say closer to -140.  Confidence:4

710 Cleveland Indians- I got this game as a toss up. Jimenez is a little inconsistent but always seems to win when he is on SFTC. Fernandez is a stud. Give and edge to the Indians because they are the better team and red hot right now. Confidence:1

710 Kansas City Royals- Hard to not pick the Royals here considering how hot they are after winning 9 in a row. I'm a big fan of Gee who has been pitching well but especially at home. Confidence:2

710 Tampa Bay Rays- This is a decent pick considering how the Rays are a better team and at home. Bumgarner has put a pretty good numbers this year even though he has struggled at times. His road splits are slightly higher. Archer has been pitching better of late. I don't like pitchers coming off CGs because I think there is tendency for younger pitchers to struggle even though Archer was efficient and didn't have a high pitch count. But it was against the Yankees who were slumping. I have to pick the Rays here just because of how well they hit lefties and are playing better. Confidence:3

710 Boston Red Sox- I think this pick comes down to Lester. Lester has been up and down all year but has seem to found his groove the past couple starts. Any time Lester is going at Fenway it is a solid pick. Especially with the Red Sox lineup. I really like Delgado but he has never seen a talented lineup like the Red Sox this year. I got them riding the momentum of their comeback win on Thursday. Confidence:4

810 Washington Nationals- I don't care how bad the Nationals have played this year but this pick is based more off of their talent and potential. Zimmerman is a stud and has some of the best stuff in the game. I am slightly concerned though when you look at his past couple outings and you see this guy continually not pitching well. You have wonder if something is wrong with his arm. Gorzelanny is a former pirate so I have been able to seen this guys pitch before. I think he is awful but he has pitched better this year. I have to think Nationals take this game if they want to make any push for the playoffs. Also think they win as long as the good Zimmerman pitches well and I say he will. I might pick this with my streak but I don't think I would tell people to pick this. Confidence:3

1005 Oakland Athletics- I am really shocked with where the money line is at for this game. I would think this pick should be pretty close to a toss up. Ogando is pretty consistent and has done well against Oakland. Milone on the other hand has struggled against Texas. Texas could be tired from their past series but they eat up lefties. Confidence:2

1005 Toronto Blue Jays- I think the Blue Jays are a better team than the Angels. Johnson isn't pitching against which means the Angels wont be spotted 5 or 6 runs. I got the Blue jays in a close one. Confidence:1

1010 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

1110 3 or more- Confidence:1