SFTC Picks for Monday 1/20

Monthly Path(66-53)
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Uganda
LA Kings
Real Valladolid
10 points or fewer
No 3PM in first 3 minutes
16 points or fewer
Golden State Warriors



800 Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg- Confidence:2

1200 Uganda- Uganda is a huge favorite based on the odds. My only concern here is Uganda might have already clinched and Morocco might need a win here. But I think Uganda at least gets a draw here. Confidence:3

105 Dallas Mavericks- Confidence:1

105 New York Islanders- Confidence:2

235 Brooklyn Nets- They really just have been well and even though most would probably think they shouldn't given the loss to Deron Williams. But I think they are the better team given the Knicks have so many people injured. Confidence:2

300 West Bromich- Confidence:2

305 LA Kings- Could come down to whether or not Rask is in net for the Bruins. I don't like goalies playing on back to back nights. West is a lot better than the East this year. Neither team really playing well but I like the Kings to beat the Bruins the 2nd this month. Confidence:3

400 Real Valladolid- Confidence:1

702 Virginia winning margin- For those that probably look at this and think UNC easily not so fast. UNC is not a good shooting team. They really only have 2 players who can make a 3 in McDonald and Paige. On top of that Virginia is one the best defensive teams in the ACC. You have 2 teams here who I think have really under performed expectations to this point. 1 in conference in UNC and 1 out of conference in Virginia. I think given the way Virginia has been playing and with the guards being so good defenensively they will really try to slow/stop Paige. I really don't think UNC makes more than 5 3s so its almost a straight up pick and I think Virginia at home gets it done. Confidence:3

703 10 points or fewer- I mean someone could get hot for either team. But outside of Paige or maybe McAdoo I don't anyone on UNC goes off. Then Virginia its only Harris or Brogdon. Given I think theres only a handle full of players that have a chance to do it I think 10 or fewer is a decent play. Confidence:3

704 North Carolina A&T- Confidence:1

735 St. Louis Blues- Confidence:2

805 Phoenix Coyotes- Confidence:2

805 Nashville Predators- Confidence:3

807 No 3PM- I lost a W10 on this pick last year in the UCLA/Arizona when the 3 was made at exactly 17:00. But given neither team a great 3 point shooting team especially UNC I have to think No is a pretty good play here. Virginia has a couple different guys who made 3s this year but the main guy is Harris. But given that only 1 player in Harris is average a little over 1 3 a game I have to think the odds at least in my mind make this a pretty good play. Confidence:4

810 Houston Rockets- Hard to trust a team that only scores 19 points in a second half. I think they are the pick here at home. Portland took advantage of a pretty easy schedule this year but are a still very good team. Confidence:2

905 Maryland- I think they are the better team but I'm a little biased. Confidence:1

905 Kansas DD- Confidence:2

906 16 points or fewer- Both of these guys scoring numbers have been all over the map. 2 freshman in a really big game for both teams going up against some of the best big guys that played against all season. Then to factor in the possibility of foul trouble give me the under. Confidence:3

907 Marquette- Hard to think I could back them after what they did on Sunday but I just don think Georgetown s that good right now. Confidence:1

1045 Golden State Warriors- Confidence:2