SFTC Picks for Tuesday 10/1

Monthly Path
Zenit St. Petersburg
No
0 or 1
Any other result
2 or 3
Oilers

Trap Picks (9-11)


1200 Zenit St. Petersburg- Basically I think this is the better pick of the 2 options and is most likely to hit considering how well Zenit is playing right now and how many goals they are scoring. But reasons why I am hesitant is I see Zenit scoring 2 but I don't think they get 3. So the pick could come down to if Austria Vienna scores. Confidence:2

245 Barcelona- The only reason for this pick being on the board is because its the first on the month and Messi wont play. Now as much as that hurts them and Celtic has beat them in the past. Barcelona should do no worse than a draw here. You have to think they have enough talent to get the W here. Confidence:4

245 No- I think Celtic will be lucky to score in this game. If they do it will probably be early. I just think more times than not it wont happen. Confidence:3

245 Napoli- I think this pick is pretty much a toss up but I would lean towards the draw here. Both teams are playing really well. These teams played in March and it was a 2-2 draw. I think Napoli at least gets a draw here. Confidence:1

347 0 or 1- A lot of this pick depends on what happens in the first half. If Barcelona is up or draw at half time then I will like this pick probably a little more. But if they are losing I will definitely be switching to 2 even without Messi. Confidence:2

705 Toronto  Maple Leafs- Even though the Canadiens are always tough at home. I really like Toronto's offensive fire power. I think they have the ability to put 4 or 5 goals a night up. I know that probably wont happen against Price. Maple Leafs just match up well against the Canadiens. Confidence:2

807 Pittsburgh Pirates- I cant pick against the Pirates here. 1 because of how big of a fan I am but because I really like the matchup here. Its funny that Liriano has pitched so well this year and espeically against the Reds but yet the Pirates are 0-4 in those games. The Reds have struggled all year against lefties and considering how well Liriano has pitched at home this year I am not sure how you cant feel like the Pirates should get a win here. They have so much momentum and the crowd at PNC will be nuts considering this is the first year in so long that the Pirates are actually competitive. Now some people might view that as a negative thing but I think it will allow the Pirates to play really loose and have nothing to lose. If people didn't want to touch this game because it should be a low scoring game I would understand. I got the Buccos 4-2 tomorrow. Confidence:3

810 Chicago Blackhawks- I cant pick against the Blackhawks here and I think it is just a matter of how confident you are in this pick. Blackhawks are projected to win the Western Conference and be 1 of the top 2 favorites to win the cup. Capitals are always dangerous with Ovechkin but Blackhawks are just a better team top to bottom. Confidence:4

822 Any other result- Confidence:1

845 2 or 3 - Confidence:2

900 DC United- Confidence:2

1005 Edmonton Oilers- Edmonton really under performed my expectations for them last year. They have a lot of young guys that continue to get better and I think you will see them have really good years. But there problem is their goaltending. If they get good goaltending they should definitely win this game. But I think Winnipeg has the potential to really surprise some people this year. Confidence:3

1025 7 or 8- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Monday 9/30

Monthly Path (86-69)
Lokomotiv Moscow
No
0 or 1
No
Tannehill
2 passing TDs

Trap Picks(9-11)

I hope everyone is excited as I am that a new month will finally begin. Hoping none of the leaders will be able to win the stash this month so $350,000 will be on the line in October.


1015 Lokomotiv Moscow- Confidence:2

300 Everton- Confidence:2

301 No- Confidence:1

402 0 or 1- Confidence:2

807 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

808 No- Confidence:2

840 Saints winning margin- Confidence:1

841 Ryan Tannehill- Confidence:2

1015 2 passing TDs- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Sunday 9/29

Monthly Path (82-68)
Liverpool
Chiefs
Broncos DD
Brady
No

Trap Picks (9-11)


1100 Liverpool- Confidence:2

100 Kansas City Chiefs- Confidence:4

100 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:3

100 Seattle Seahawks- Confidence:2

100 Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Confidence:2

425 Broncos DD- Confidence:3

503 Phoenix Mercury- Confidence:3

830 Atlanta Falcons- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Saturday 9/28

Monthly Path (78-66)
Tottenham
Central Florida
Oklahoma
Ole Miss
NO
Arizona St

Trap Picks (9-11)


745 Tottenham Hotspur- Confidence:2

1200 South Florida - Confidence:2

1202 Central Florida- Confidence:5

1230 Arsenal- Confidence:1

106 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:3

330 LSU- Confidence:2

330 Oklahoma- Confidence:3

635 Ole Miss- Confidence:4

705 Arkansas- Confidence:4

805 Wisconsin- Confidence:3

1034 Arizona St- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Friday 9/27

Monthly Path(75-64)
Torpedo
3 or more
No
0 or 1
Oakland Athletics

Trap Picks (9-11)

1100 Torpedo- Confidence:1

230 Augsburg- Confidence:2

300 3 or more- Confidence:2

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:1

707 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

710 Pittsburgh Pirates- Confidence:2

730 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

805 Texas Rangers- Confidence:4

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

830 Queretaro- Confidence:3

903 Middle Tenn points- Confidence:2

905 San Jose st- Confidence:2

905 0 or 1- Confidence:2

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:2

1010 Oakland Athletics- Confidence:3

1050 29 or fewer- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 9/26

Monthly Path (72-61)
Amkar
Rubin Kazan
Villarreal
No
Rams
Los Angeles Dodgers

Trap Picks (9-11)


900 Amkar- Confidence:2

1230 Rubin Kazan- Confidence:2

245 Inter Milan- Confidence:2

400 Villarreal- Confidence:3

640 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

705 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- Confidence:3

705 Indiana Fever- Confidence:4

710 New York Mets- Confidence:2

733 GT DD- Confidence:1

734 No-Confidence:3

735 Tulsa- Confidence:1

810 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:2

830 St. Louis Rams- Confidence:1

831 Rams- Confidence:2

905 Mercury- Confidence:3

1010 35 or more- Confidence:1

1015 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 9/25

Monthly Path (69-58)
PFK Samara
Cska Moscow
Manchester United
No
Yes
Giants

Trap Picks (9-11)


1015 PFK Samara- Confidence:2

1230 CSKA Moscow- Confidence:1

145 Washington Nationals- I don't see them getting swept here. Zimmerman has been on fire recently. Confidence:3

230 Hannover 96- Confidence:2

245 Manchester United- Confidence:3

335 Los Angeles Angels-Confidence:2

400 Real Madrid by 2- Confidence:2

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

707 Tampa Bay Rays- How can you big against them right now. Confidence:4

708 No- Confidence:2

825 2 or more- Confidence:1

1005 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 9/24

Monthly Path (66-56)
5 or fewer
Borussia Dortmund
Yes
Montreal Impact
Kansas City Royals

Trap Picks (9-11)


900 5 or fewer- Confidence:1

100 Borussia Dortmund- 2 and 3 are the most likely numbers that they win by. I really don't see them winning by 4. I don't think 1860 Munich doesn't score so I got this game 2-0. Confidence:3

200 Any other Real Sociedad- Confidence:2

245 Aston Villa- Confidence:2

300 Everton- Confidence:2

400 Yes both win- Madrid is a pretty big favorite here. So it basically will come down to will Malaga win. Even though odds would suggest otherwise. I got Malaga around -150 which would be a solid play. I think both win. Confidence:3

705 Tampa Bay Rays- Outside of his start at NY and his last outing against Texas Moore has been on fire. Rays are 8-2 in his last 10 starts. Rays are 1 of the hottest teams in baseball and are close to locking in 1 of the wild card spots. Yankees are just about out of it. Even though Moore struggled in his last outing against the Yankees I cant pick against the Rays here. Confidence:3

805 Montreal Impact- Confidence:1

815 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:4

840 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:1

1010 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

1010 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:2

1015 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Monday 9/23

Monthly Path (64-54)
Atis
Athletic bilbao
dream
mercury

Trap  Picks(9-11)


305 Tampa Bay Rays- They are rolling right now. Orioles are cold of late. Archer has been doing really well in last couple starts and looks like he has worked out the problems with his control. I cant pick against the Rays with the way they have been playing. Confidence:4

400 Athletic Bilbao- I think they are the better team here and have the draw option. Espanyol can be tough at times at home. But nothing to scare me here. Confidence:3

803 Dream winning margin- The Mystics are not a good 3 point shooting team so I almost look at this pick as straight up. I think the Dream got embarrassed and game 1 and wont let that happen against. I think they should run away with this game. Confidence:3

805 Chicago Cubs- Morton has not been that good this year in my opinion and has really struggled on the road. Samardzija hasn't had his best stuff this year but has given the Pirates trouble in the past. I think the Cubs should get him enough run support here. Confidence:2

830 Broncos by 15- Broncos should run away with this game but I think the Raiders could score a decent amount of points. Confidence:2

1005  Mercury single digits- I think you will see the Sparks play really aggressive like they did in Game 2. But the Mercury have played really well with their backs against the wall. I think when you have some really tough competitors like Taurasi and Griner that the Mercury don't get blown out here even on the road. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Sunday 9/22

Monthly Path (60-53)
Manchester City
Lions
Jaguars
No
Bears

Trap Picks(9-110

1100 Manchester City- Confidence:1

100 Pats DD- Confidence:2

100 Browns- Confidence:2

100 Cardinals- Confidence:3

100 St. Louis Rams-Confidence:1

100 Detroit Lions- Confidence:3

100 New York Giants- Confidence:3

135 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

140 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

210 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:4

303 Chicago Sky- Confidence:3

410 San Diego Padres- Confidence:2

425 Colts- Confidence:2

425 Jaguars- Confidence:3

615 Falcons- Confidence:2

800 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:3

835 Chicago Bears- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Saturday 9/21

Monthly Path (56-51)
Liverpool
Fulham
Utah State
Atlanta Dream
LA Sparks
UFC


Trap Picks



I don't have enough time to research and post every pick so I am going to post what I think the best picks are and the best pick at each time slot.

1000 Liverpool- Confidence:2

1230 Fulham- Confidence:3

330 Utah State 2nd half points- Confidence:3

705 Arizona ST- I would be really shocked if they don't cover here. I don't have them winning but I have them at least having a shot. I think as long as something like Stanford breaking a late run in the 4th/ Pick 6 that they don't lose by DD. Confidence:5

1000 Los Angeles Sparks- I don't see 1 of the most talented teams in the WNBA getting bounced especially when they have 1 of the best players in the league Candace Parker. Confidence:3

1015 No BYU- Confidence:3


Will have a writeup for the UFC Pick so check the UFC predictions
1155

SFTC Picks for Friday 9/20

Monthly Path(50-51)
5 or fewer
Lithuania
France
Fever
2 tds
no

Trap Picks


900 5 or fewer- This pick is basically a toss up. Confidence:1

1145 Lithuania- Confidence:2

200 Adam Scott- Confidence:4

300 France single digits- Confidence:3

300 Osasuna- Confidence:3

810 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 9/19

Monthly Path (49-46)
Yugra Knatv Manslvsk
Valencia
Lyon @Real Betis
Passing TD
91 or more
No

Trap Picks (9-11)

Yesterday was one of the worst days ever for my picks. Hope I can really bounce back.

900 Yugra Knatv Manslvsk- Confidence:2

1145 Croatia DD- Confidence:1

100Valencia- Confidence:3

110 New York Mets- Confidence:1

200 Tiger Woods- Confidence:1

305 Tromso- Confidence:2

305 Lyon @ Real Betis - Confidence:3

340 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:2

707 New York Yankees- Confidence:1

710 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:2

710 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:2

732 NC State- Confidence:2

733 Passing Td- Confidence:1

825 Philadelphia Eagles- Confidence:3

826 91 yards or more- I think McCoy will have a big game here but not sure about Charles especially since he got banged up last week. Confidence:3

1020 No- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 9/18

Monthly Path(47-43)
Serbia
Yes
2 goals
Yes
2 runs
Dodgers

Trap Picks (9-11)

Some of the soccer plays really depend on the lineups also. I don't think I'll be able to send out the lineups on twitter because I have class in the afternoon. If you want to know the lineups then follow @FoxSoccerTrax as they should tweet what they are about an hour before the game starts. Best of luck to everyone on Wednesday.


1130 Serbia- Spain is a tough team to predict because it really depends on how aggressive they want to be. I though the spread should be at 8 but its at 6.5 which based off the odds Serbia is a pretty solid play. Confidence:3

245 Any Other Result(Ajax)- I mean don't get me wrong Barcelona is 1 of the best teams in the world and has some much offensive fire power that they could score 8 goals if they really wanted to. But that is really my question in this game is how much does Barcelona push. I got the score as 3-1. I think as long as Ajax scores they should green here. It might come late but I feel pretty good that they score here. 2-0 wouldn't surprise me but like I said I would be pretty surprised considering that Ajax is a good team that they should not get killed here. Confidence:3

245 Yes- Barcelona should score a goal in the first half and it will most likely be 1 of these 2 players. Confidence:2

246 FC Basel- This might surprise some people especially the Chelsea supporters. Confidence:1

300 France- Confidence:1

347 2 or more- This play depends on how many they get in the first half. I don't think they score more than 3 in the game so I would go under probably if they have a big first half. Confidence:2

705 Washington Nationals- Nationals are 1 of the hottest teams in baseball going 9-1 in their last 10. Wood has really struggled in his last couple outings. The only way I see the Nationals losing this game is if there bullpen blows it which is possible. But their bats are too hot to pass on them here. Confidence:3

707 Texas Rangers- I hope what happened on Tuesday was what the Rangers will play like over the next couple of weeks. Both pitchers have been really struggling. I like Holland more but his ability to control his pitches really scares me. He walks a lot of people and could be tough against a patient Tampa Bay lineup. Confidence:1

707 New York Yankees- Confidence:1

708 Yes- Both pitchers have relatively high 1st inning numbers. I usually go with the safe play with which would be No here but I think both of these pitchers could struggle in the first inning. Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- I think this is the game the Red Sox finally clinch. Peavy has been solid and Boston's tough at home. I think they bounce back after a tough loss. Confidence:3

710 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:1

745 2 runs- Confidence:1

810 Chicago Cubs- Confidence:2

810 Kansas City- Really too tough of a game to predict. Both teams really fighting hard for the playoffs and a pretty even pitching matchup. Confidence:1

1005 Los Angeles Dodgers- With Kemp back in the Dodgers lineup it only adds another dangerous bat and considering how well he hit the ball on Tuesday this could mean bad things for McCarthy and the Diamondbacks pitching staff. I am really not a huge fan of Fife but I think more times than not he has a chance to outpitch McCarthy. The lose on Tuesday all but makes it impossible for the Diamondbacks to make the playoffs and I wonder if that's the way they could play in this one. As I have said I don't really trust Fife so this is probably one of the weaker decent plays but none the less still a decent play. Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 9/17

Monthly Path(45-40)
Avangard Omsk
Yes
1 goal
Nationals
Angels

Trap Picks (9-11)


900 Avangard Omsk- I really have nothing to go off other than odds here. I assume every person who has picked this prop is just taking the home team. Avangard is the favorite on almost every site but its basically a toss up. Confidence:1

245 Manchester United - I think they are the better team but a lot depends on their lineup. I am thinking that even if they don't have all of their key players they should still get a win here. My prediction is 1-0 ManU. Confidence:3

245 Manchester City- I think Bayer has a better defense than Plzen. I think the tie is pretty big here. I cant find odds on a team totals for each team. But the odds I saw were that Manchester City had a higher chance of scoring at least 1. Sometimes these picks worry me where all the odds point to 1 play but somehow Manchester United will find a way to score 4 tomorrow. Confidence:2

245 Yes- The odds are that 1 goal will most likely be scored in the first half. So I would lean Manchester United to get it. But a draw wouldn't surprise me. Confidence:1

347 1 goal- I think this is the most likely outcome. Sometimes I try to make my predictions based off of what the 2 props are. Which in this case draw- then 1 goal would lead to prediction. Maybe they win 2-1 or 2-0. But until I see a 2nd half line and see how the first half went. Its really tough for me to do a solid writeup on this pick. Most likely I will stick with 1 but it will really be a toss up. Confidence:1

705 Washington Nationals- All comes to what lineups the team use for Game 2 of this doubleheader. If it is the lineups I am expecting I will kind of like this pick. Just because Garcia is really unpredictable and Roark has been really good considering he is 6-0 with a 1.3 ERA. Confidence:3

707 New York Yankees- Confidence:2

710 New York Mets- I am really a big fan of Wheeler as I think he is 1 of the better young pitchers in the game. Petit has been pitching well recently. Just no confidence in the Mets to get Wheeler enough run support. Confidence:2

710 Baltimore Orioles- Boston is red hot but I feel like they might take their foot off the gas a little bit. They only need 1 more win to clinch the division. Feldman has been pitching really well recently. Baltimore needs this game pretty badly. Confidence:1

710 Texas Rangers- I want to wait and make sure Ogando is starting tomorrow. I really don't have a lot of analysis on this game other than Hellickson is inconsistent and has struggled against the Rangers in his past. The Rangers are due to win a game sooner or later. I mean can a team with as much talent as they have really lose 8 in a row? Confidence:3

800 Sporting Kansas City- Confidence:1

810 Milwaukee Brewers- Confidence:1

810 Chicago White Sox- Confidence:1

840 St. Louis Cardinals- Cardinals need this game in order to stay in NL Central race. With that being said and Kelly on the hill I think you have to consider this pick as one of the best of the night. Cardinals have 1 of the best lineups in all of baseball and Kelly should be dealing tonight. Only reason this pick is not higher is Chacin's number at home over the past couple years are good. Even with Chacin pitching well the Cards should win this. Confidence:3

940 Los Angeles Dodgers- This is a tough game because the Dodgers need this game probably more. Corbin has had a lot of success against the Dodgers this year and the Dodgers hitting against lefties isn't that great. Which is really the thing that worries me. But I like Greinke a little more with a game in September even at Arizona. This is a game I would probably try to avoid. But I would take the better team here. Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Angels - Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Monday 9/16

Monthly Path (44-35)
Ural
Spain DD
26 or later
Yes
AJ Green
No 15

Trap Picks (9-11)


900 Ural - I think draw is the most likely outcome. Moscow is just an average team. Ural isn't anything special but it looks like the majority of there losses were to good teams. My main reason for this pick is Moscow is 1-1-3 in their last 5 matches so they are not in great form here. Confidence:1

940 Any other player- I would try to avoid this pick at all costs. I would say Furyk is the most likely to win giving his lead but there are a lot of quality golfers behind him. Then you add in their that Furyk usually plays conservative when he has a lead. I would think someone catches him and my official prediction is Zach Johnson does. Confidence:1

1145 Spain DD- The spread is at 9.5 so its close but I think they cover. Spain recent matches have either been they blowouts team or lose. Confidence:2

300 Swansea City - Swansea is tough at home. Even though based on recent performance you would think Liverpool should win this game. I just cant trust them on the road at a tough place. I got a draw here. Confidence:3

301 26 minute or later- Confidence:2

402 Yes- Liverpool will score no more than 1 goal if that. If they score in the first half then I would love this pick. Despite me being dead wrong on the game up to this point. I think this is a total toss up and would lean Yes here. Confidence:1

705 Atlanta Braves- Minor is a better pitcher than Haren. Haren is 1 of the most unpredictable pitchers this year. The Braves are cold right now and have struggled on the road. Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10. Nationals need this game a lot more since they are only 4.5 games out of the wild card but I have to lean the Braves here because I don't trust Haren at all. Confidence:2

710 Tampa Bay Rays- I really thought the Rangers were going to be a team that could make a run in the postseason. The still have a chance but considering their recent performance it is looking that they might not even make the playoffs right now. I think this has the makings of giving the Rangers bats a chance to get hot. Considering they have a good history against Cobb and he has struggled a little in his past 2 outings. But until the Rangers actually start producing as a team I have no faith in picking them here. Confidence:2

840 Steelers- I don't see the Steelers winning this game even though I guess they have a chance. But even as a Steeler fan I think this could be a pretty bad year. I thought that at the beginning of the season but the lose of Pouncey only adds to make me doubt more. I think this will be a low scoring game like 17-10 but the double digits wouldn't surprise me. The Steelers o-line is not good right now and ben might not have a lot of time to throw the ball. Confidence:2

841 AJ Green- I just have more faith in the Bengals offense to at least move the ball here. Confidence:1

1015 No - I am really expecting a low scoring game and I think 1 team might be lucky to score 20 points in this game. But I think a lot depends on what happens in the first half. Confidence:4

SFTC Picks for Sunday 9/15

Monthly Path (40-35)
West Ham United
Chargers
Broncos
Wilson
2 or 3


I apologize I am going to just post some of my picks today. I have not been feeling well and just got back from the ER. Good luck to everyone on Sunday.

100 Chargers- Confidence:3

425 Denver Broncos- Confidence:4

SFTC Picks for Saturday 9/14

Monthly Path(36-33)
Manchester United by 2
Taylor Martinez
0 or 1
No
3 or fewer
Arizona St

Trap Picks (9-11)

Too many picks on the board to give full writeups on every game. I bolded the once I think have the best chance of winning. I will update the rest tomorrow afternoon.


745 Manchester United by 2- I think MANU by 2 is the most likely outcome. The spread is 2 in this game. Confidence:2

1200 UCLA- This game is pretty much a toss up. I'm  leaning this way because I think UCLA will play with a ton of emotion after losing a teammate. Confidence:1

1201 Taylor Martinez- Confidence:2

1202 Indiana- Confidence:2

1202 Oklahoma by 25- Confidence:1

1202 Louisville- I think they cover this but this will be the best team they have seen this year and could be a closer game considering rivalry game on the road. Confidence:2

1203 Stanford by 30- Confidence:1

1205 East Carolina- Confidence:1

1230 Wake Forest- You would think Wake should win this game but given how they played against BC. There is no way that I could feel confident with them here. Confidence:1

1230 Chelsea- Everton always plays Chelsea tough. I think this is either a draw or a Chelsea win. I would lean Chelsea but I think its a bit of a toss up. Confidence:1

105 Texas Rangers- Wonder how many more days I can say Texas will win cause they need to in order to stay on top of the wild card. There bats seem to come around late in Fridays game. But with 2 aces on the mound its hard to say. I got the Rangers here. But not very confident given Darvishs struggles against Oakland. Confidence:2

105 New York Yankees- Boston are pretty big favorites here based on the money line. I would lean Yankees here because they are about to fall out of the wild card chase soon and Lester has not beat the Yankees at home in 4 starts since 2010. Confidence:1

150 Brandt Snedeker- Furyk shot a great round on Friday. Generally after you shoot that kind of round your will step back to reality and shot a decent score. I got Furyk shooting a -1 or -2 on Saturday. I think there is a pretty good chance Snedeker atleast ties those 2 scores. Confidence:3

333 Georgia Tech DD- Confidence:1

335 Oregon by 30- Tennessee is good but I cant see them slowing down Oregon's offense. Confidence:2

335 Nevada - I think Nevada scores enough points in here to not get blown out. Confidence:2

340 Texas AM - I think Alabama wins this game but I think Manziel gets some points later in the game so Alabama wont win by the DD. Confidence:4

341 0 or 1- I think these are the most likely numbers. I expect Saban to have a solid defensive plan to slow Manziel down. Confidence:2

407 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

410 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

600 Iowa- Confidence:2

703 LSU by 35- Confidence:1

703 Auburn winning margin- Confidence:2

703 Vanderbilt points scored- I think Vanderbilt keeps this relatively close. I think they score around 20 points and I don't see South Carolina scoring 40. Confidence:3

704 No - I think Vanderbilt's defense is good enough but its a toss up. Confidence:2

705 Washington Nationals- Confidence:2

705 Ohio ST by 15- Confidence:2

710 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

710 New York Mets- Confidence:1

800 Ole Miss- Confidence:1

805 Notre Dame by 20- Confidence:2

850 3 or fewer- Might change after 1st half. Confidence:2

1000 Utah Utes- Confidence:3

1030 Arizona ST- Even though Wisconsin is ranked I don't think they are the better team in this match up. Arizona ST strength is their passing attack and Wisconsin weakness is their secondary. Watch for Arizona ST to get a lot of deep passes and dominate on offense. Confidence:3

1145 Mayweather by decision - I am not a die hard boxing fan as I am for UFC. But if you have love for fights or just sports in general then you have at least heard about this fight. Mayweather is an absolute beast for his size and that's not hard to see considering Mayweather is 44-0. Majority of these fights go the 12 rounds which given the odds and the likelihood is the most likely outcome. So it will come down to a decision. I could see Alvarez stealing a couple of rounds but the only way I see him winning is by a fluke decision. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Friday 9/13

Monthly Path(32-32)
Any Other-Belgium
Matt Kuchar
France DD
115 or more
Seattle Sounders

Trap Picks(9-11)



830 Any other Belgium- The spread for this game is 13 and I agree with it. Lithuania is good but I think Belgium will keep it close. Confidence:2

1153 Matt Kuchar- Tie option is a huge here. But it wouldn't surprise me if he didn't straight up beat Phil here. Kuchar should definitely respond with a solid round here after shooting a +3 on Thursday. Confidence:3

210 Chicago White Sox- One of the biggest things for the Indians is they don't hit lefties well. Santiago struggled against the Indians earlier this year. Salazar is good but he has looked shaky to me at times. Some of those games are on the road. I think a day game in Chicago could cause problems for Salazar. I got this game as a toss up. Confidence:1

230 Paris Saint Germain- Confidence:2

300 France DD- The spread is 8. Confidence:1

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

710 Boston Red Sox- Boston is the better team but both are hot right now. Yankees need this game more to stay in the wild card chase. Confidence:2

730 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

803 Any Other Result (Air Force)- Air Force got absolutely embarrassed last week at home against a pretty Utah St team. I would look for them to respond with a good game here. One of the weak things I noticed is Boise St run defense isn't as good as it used to be. Which mean Air Force should be able to kill the clock and move the ball. They should cover this as long as they don't turn the ball over. Confidence:3

804 115 or more- Confidence:2

805 Texas Rangers- Holland was on fire before his last couple starts. One of things is he struggles to throw strikes at time which forces him to walk a good bit of batters. Holland has had some good outings against the Athletics before. I give the Rangers an edge here with Holland at home. I think the key is the Rangers need this game. They cant afford to lose this series or they will hand Oakland the division. Confidence:3

940 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:2

945 9 or fewer- Confidence:2

1015 Seattle Sounders- Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Thursday 9/12

Monthly Path (29-30)
143 or fewer
Tiger Woods
TCU
Patriots Passing TD
No

Trap Picks (9-11)


830 143 or fewer- Whenever I saw that these 2 teams were playing I predicted that the over/under should be at 140. Which is only 3 points but Croatia is a really good team and really gets after it on the defensive end. Confidence:2

1153 Tiger Woods- Tiger is tough to predict at times. But most of the time this year he has been having solid 1st rounds. Scott having the tie option kind of scares me. But this isn't a major tournament and Tiger is the clear odds favorite here. I think Woods more times that not would shoot a solid 1st round. Confidence:2

1240 Atlanta Braves- I never know what to expect out of Garcia. So I have to go Marlins here just because Eovaldi is the better pitcher in my eyes. Eovaldi has had some bad outing at home. But he has pitched very well in day games this year. Braves will generally rest some key players in day games so I would look for McCann and maybe Johnson to both not play tomorrow. Confidence:1

300 Slovenia- Slovenia is a pretty decent favorite here despite losing back to back games. That is a large part due to beating Italy on the road by 8 points almost 2 weeks ago. From everything I saw Slovenia is the better team here. Confidence:2

707 Los Angeles Angels - The Angels and Richards have been really hot recently. But I don't like picking teams to get 3 game sweeps on the road. Hard to trust Happ here but could just be 1 of those games where he pitches well. Confidence:2

710 Boston Red Sox- One of the hottest teams in baseball. Their bats have been absolutely on fire. Rays struggle against Peavy. Peavy is a much better pitcher than Hellickson who will be making his 2nd start after being recalled from the minors. Hard to trust Hellickson here even though the Rays need a win pretty badly. Confidence:3

730 TCU- This game is pretty much a toss up. I think TCU is the more talented team but that Texas Tech could take advantage of some matchups with their offense. Confidence:1

731 TCU score first- Confidence:1

732 Troy- I think Troy is really a solid team. Arkansas ST is good but I don't think they cover here. Arkansas ST won the last 2 times these teams have played against each other. But I think Troy has better athletes and will have more speed on the field. Confidence:2

735 Tulane- Confidence:1

810 Cleveland Indians- Don't trust the Indians on the road or Danks. Confidence:1

830 Jets- I cant believe I am actually recommending this pick or am even saying this. But I thought the Jets didn't look that bad. Even though it was just Tampa Bay. I felt that the Jets defense looked good especially their D line. I feel that with all the injuries the Patriots have it could hurt them on a short week. Don't get me wrong they are clearly the better team. I would be really shocked if they lost this game. But I feel its hard to absolutely dominate a team this early on in the year on a short week. Confidence:2

831 Patriots Passing TD- Confidence:2

1010 No- This is just an odds play and could depend on the score at the half. Like I said in my writeup I think the Jets defense is pretty good. Plus you add in their that Amendola is most likely not playing it takes away another Patriots offense weapon. The only way I would change this is the first half is really low scoring and the Patriots would get the ball to start the 2nd half. Confidence:4

1030 Los Angeles Sparks- Both of these teams are very good. They have played 4 games against each other this year and the home team has won all 4games. The Sparks are 13-2 this year at home this year and that is a big reason why I think they should definitely win this game. Candace Parker is a beast and always has a solid game at home. The Lynx will be coming off of limited rest. Even though the Lynx have won 7 in a row. I cant pass on the Sparks at home. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 9/11

Monthly Path(26-27)
Lativa
Serbia by DD
Texas Rangers
Red Sox
No
Los Angeles Dodgers

Trap Picks (9-11)


All the night picks will be posted in the afternoon around 3.

830 Latvia- They are pretty big favorites here despite the percentages. Confidence:3

1145 Serbia by DD- Confidence:1

1205 Kansas City Royals- Confidence:2

205 Texas Rangers- Rangers need this game pretty bad. If they keep losing then they will be lucky to even get a wild card let alone win the division. Garza has struggled pitching at Texas at times but he is a stud. The Rangers are a team that doesn't get swept often and the Pirates are a team that usually doesn't sweep teams. I could see the Pirates giving some qualities a day off here. The only fear I have here is that the Pirates have seen Garza enough to have something on him even though most Pirates don't have great numbers against Garza. I would be pretty shocked if the Rangers lost this game. Confidence:4

330 Cordoba- Confidence:1

345 Colorado Rockies- Confidence:1

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:3

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

708 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

709 Red Sox- Confidence:1

710 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

710 New York Mets- Confidence:1

735 Toronto FC- Confidence:2

802 Mercury 3 pointers- Confidence:2

820 No- Confidence:2

1005 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 9/10

Monthly Path (23-25)
Israel
Yes
Match Tied
Mexico or No Goal
Dodgers

Trap Picks (9-11)


I will try to have all the picks up by tomorrow afternoon.



1100 Israel - I just think Israel will play tough here and think they keep it close. Confidence:2

200 Spain by 2- Just a friendly so I am not really sure what to expect. Will really come down to what line up Spain uses. If its there usual lineup then I would like this pick a little more. Confidence:2

245 Yes - Confidence:2

705 Philadelphia Phillies- Confidence:1

705 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:2

705 New York Yankees- The Yankees hit Gonzalez really well in their last outing. Nova has been good this year and has decent numbers against a lot of the Orioles. Confidence:2

707 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:3

710 Tampa Bay Rays- Price has some pretty high numbers when he plays the Red Sox at home. but dominates when they play at Fenway. But I think its hard to trust Bucholz here in his first start back. The loss of Ellsbury is huge. I just think most of the signs point to the Rays here. Confidence:2

710  Washington Nationals- Confidence:2

805 Texas Rangers- I keep waiting for the Rangers to get hot. Tonight might be the night. The Rangers are 1 of the better teams in the league when it comes to lefties. Liriano will  be coming off of a bad outing which means he will probably do really well. But the Pirates have struggled against lefties. Perez has been solid all year and I think could give the Pirates trouble here. I think as long as the Rangers score 4 runs they should win this game. Confidence:3

805 United States- Confidence:2

806 Match Tied- I think this is going to be a low scoring game. So it wouldn't surprise me if there wasn't a goal in the first half. Confidence:1

900 Brazil- Just a friendly but Brazil should win this match. Confidence:3

907 Mexico or No Goal- Really depends on the score at this point. If Mexico is up at half I would love this pick because I think the US will at least draw in this match. If US is up then I would like this pick a little more. Confidence:2

1010 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:2

1015 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Monday 9/9

Monthly Path (20-22)
Spain
Any Other(Belgium)
9 or 10
Vick and McCoy
No
Texans

Trap Picks (9-11)


830 Spain by 20 - Vegas has this line at 16. But I think Spain is a much better team. Confidence:1

300 Any Other Result(Belgium)- I think Belgium is not that bad. I am not completely sold that France is a good team. Confidence:2

515 Rafael Nadal- Novak is probably my favorite tennis players out of the top players in the world. But I have to have Nadal here. Nadal has been absolutely on fire this year especially on the hard court. Nadal has winning the majority of the matches when these 2 go head to head. Before this year Novak was the better hard court player. But Nadal really focused on training to be a better hard court player. I think everything points for this to go 5 sets and should be a great match. Confidence:3

515 9 or 10- These are the 2 most likely numbers to hit. I highly doubt the under 9 would be in play here. Just have to hope that this doesn't go past 10. I think more times than not these 2 numbers would hit in their first set. Confidence:2

655 Washington Redskins- Even though I think RG3 could be rusty. I think the Redskins are a much better team and this could be a tough test for Chip Kellys first game. Confidence:3

656 Michael Vick and McCoy- There is a chance this prop will get pushed because RG3 might not even play. I think he will. But with that being said I think he could be really limited today. I think the Redskins are not going to let him go and run around. Which would mean probably more work for Morris. But I think the Eagles have a pretty good run defense and will be able to slow down Morris a little bit. Shannahan has a history of switching running back when nobody expects it. So it wouldn't shock me if Helu and Royster could some work. Basically I am taking Vick and McCoy here based on number of rush attempts and 2 is greater than 1. Confidence:2

705 Baltimore Orioles- Orioles are a lot better at home this year and the Yankees road numbers are pretty low. When you add in all the injuries the Yankees have had the past few days I am not really sure who is going to play. I give a slight edge in starting pitching to Baltimore. Tillman has had more success against the Yankees in the past. CC has given up at least 4 runs in his last 3 starts this year against Baltimore. Even though the Yankees won 2 of those games I still cant trust him here. One of the big things for me is the Yankees bullpen is probably really tired after getting used for a lot of innings this past weekend against the Red Sox. I think the Orioles will have a good shot to get to CC early and if they do they might run away with this game. Confidence:3

705 Cleveland Indians- I trust the Indians more here at home. They seem to always find ways to win when Jimenez pitches. Santana has been very good against the Indians in his last couple starts. Confidence:2

835 No- I would probably switch this if they get ball first in the 2nd half. I think this pick is pretty much a toss up though .Confidence:1

1015 Houston Texans- I expect Houston to be a pretty good team this year and contend in the AFC. I really don't know what to expect out of Phillip Rivers and the Chargers. Confidence:3

1015 San Francisco Giants- Rockies are 1 of the worst road teams in the league this year. I don't trust Lincecum that much but hoping he can do well against the Rockies awful road bats. Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Sunday 9/8

Monthly Path (20-17)
Zimbabwe
Tampa Bay
Serena 2-0
No
34 or fewer

Trap Picks (9-11)

I wont have writeups for the NFL games. But I have been following the NFL a lot in the off season and over the past week I have been really trying to do well on my NFL pick'em picks. I am in a couple groups that have money on it so this picks are researched as much as the first game can be. A lot of what I will be picking will be based on how I think some of these teams will do this year. I wont be very confident in many games just because it is the first game of the year. Best of luck to everyone today.


900 Zimbabwe - Confidence:2

100 New Orleans Saints- Toss up. Confidence:1

100 Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Bucs should be a pretty good team this year. I don't like the Jets this year and could see them struggling a lot this year. Hard to trust a rookie QB. Confidence:3

100 Chicago Bears- Confidence:2

100 Cleveland Browns- Confidence:1

100 Seattle Seahawks- Confidence:2

100 Colts DD- Confidence:2

100 Titans TDs and FG- I think this game will be closer than some people think. Confidence:1

100 Calvin Johnson- Confidence:1

100 Kansas City Chiefs- Confidence:1

100 Bills- Confidence:2

105 New York Yankees- Hard to think that Boston can win 4 in a row on the road. Ellsbury is out. I like Kuroda more than Lester. Confidence:2

135 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:2

210 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:2

215 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:2

220 Milwaukee Brewers- Confidence:3

335 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

405 San Francisco Giants- Confidence:1

425 St. Louis Rams- Confidence:1

425 San Francisco 49ers- Confidence:2

440 Serena wins 2-0 - Azarenka has given Serena trouble in the past. But Serena has been too dominant in this tournament for me to past up here. Confidence:2

800 Los Angeles Dodgers- Reds are hot and are always tough at home. But there is really only a handful of pitchers I would ever pick against Kershaw or even think about it. Kershaw struggled against Colorado but considering his potential I love this pick. Confidence:4

830 Dallas Cowboys- Confidence:2

840 No- Confidence:1

1030 34 or fewer- Confidence:2

1105 San Jose Earthquakes- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Saturday 9/7

Monthly Path (15-17)
South Africa
44 or fewer
12 or more
2 or 3
No

Trap Picks (9-11)


Ill post the rest of the picks in the afternoon sorry.

930 South Africa- Confidence:1

1200 Houston- Confidence:1

1201 Florida- I just have a hard time thinking that Miami's offense will be able to do a whole lot against Florida's defense. Florida offense hasn't impressed me but I think they should definitely beat the Canes here. Confidence:2

1202 44 or fewer- Confidence:1

1203 Illinois- I don't think they will be able to beat Cincinnati here. But I think their offense will be able to score enough points late to at least make this game interesting. Confidence:2

1210 Novak wins 3-0- I know this might surprise some people given how well Wawrinka has been playing. But I think its the better play. Confidence:1

105 Los Angeles Dodgers- This game is basically a toss up. I just trust Grienke here more than Latos. Confidence:1

105 Boston Red Sox- Given how the Red Soxs have been swinging the bats I don't know how you don't like them here. Confidence:2

130 Any Other Result (south Florida) - Confidence:3

300 12 or more- I think this pick could basically be will Gasquet be able to steal a set. I think he has a chance tomorrow just because of much he competes. Confidence:2

335 Ohio st by 30- Confidence:2

335 Oregon by 25- Confidence:1

335 Toledo points scored- Missouri has a pretty good offense which kind of worries me. But Toledo should be able to score on their defense. I don't see Missouri winning by more than 20 points which is what they would need to do. Vegas has the spread around 16 and they think Toledo scores around 23 points so they would give a pretty big edge here. Confidence:3

430 Georgia- This should be a really good game. I could make a case for either team to win. But I think Georgia needs this game more and give them an edge at home. Confidence:2

635 Kansas ST DD- They need this game bad after getting embarrassed last week. Confidence:3

702 BYU - I wouldn't even be surprised if BYU won this game. This will be a really big test for Texas. Spread is around 7 I think it should be closer to 4. Confidence:4

703 Any Other (UAB)- Confidence:2

705 Oklahoma 20- Confidence:2

710 Washington Nationals- Confidence:2

710 Detroit Tigers- Not sure how you can pick against Verlander here. Confidence:3

710 Toronto Blue Jays- Confidence:1

800 Michigan Wolverines- Should be a really good game. But I have to give an edge here to Michigan. I think Michigan is the more talented team and give them an edge playing in the Big House. I am not completely sold on Tommy Rees and I am a pretty big Notre Dame fan. Confidence:3

801 2 or 3 - I think these are the 2 most likely numbers. Confidence:2

840 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

905 Texas Rangers- Confidence:2

910 Arizona Diamondbacks- Confidence:1

910 Tampa Bay Rays- I really cant see them losing this game. Archer has been solid and will be coming off of a bad outing at LA. The Angels were hot and Archer threw too many balls. But Archer is a really emotional player. I would look for him to respond here with a solid outing. The last time he had a bad outing was against Seattle and he came out and pitched 7 innings with 1 ER and 4 hits. I would look for something similar to that. Paxton is a rookie lefty. The Rays do very well against lefties so I don't understand why they would do so here. Tampa Bay is just 3-7 in their last 10 games which kind of scares me. But this team is headed to the post season and this is the kind of the game they cant lose. Confidence:5

950 No- This is just an odds play. I mean I could see a scenario where the yes plays out. But considering the over/under is at 50. I would have to think this would have a pretty good chance of winning. Confidence:3

1015 Seattle Sounders- Confidence:2

1035 Washington points scored- Confidence:2

SFTC Pick for Friday 9/6

Monthly Path (13-13)
137 or fewer
Ghana
8 games or more
19 games or fewer
field goal, safety or no score
United States


Trap Picks(9-11)


830 137 or fewer- I would expect Germany to play better today. But from what I read they play a slower tempo game. Hoping that they don't go into overtime again today. Confidence:2

1200 Ghana- Confidence:3

145 8 games or more- Confidence:1

220 Chicago Cubs- A lot of people have never heard of Rusin before. But he is a really underrated lefty that has good stuff. The Brewers are not good at hitting lefties. Lohse is a very solid pitcher that will give you a quality start most of the time. I am thinking that this will be a low scoring game and due to the fact that the Cubs have seen Lohse a couple of times this year they will be able to give Rusin enough runs here. Confidence:2

245 2 or fewer- I haven't research all of the games but would just hope for the under here. Confidence:2

300 England by 3- Confidence:1

345 19 games or fewer- Confidence:2

430 Yes- Columbia is a pretty big favorite to win this game. I don't expect Ecuador to score tomorrow so it will come down to if Columbia can get a goal in the first half. Confidence:2

705 Atlanta Braves- Confidence:1

705 Boston Red Sox- Confidence:3

710 Miami Marlins- Confidence:2

710 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:1

800 Boston College- Confidence:2

801 Field goal, safety or no score- I am expecting a low scoring game in the first half. I know touchdown is most likely but I think these offenses could struggle and could see a field goal. Confidence:1

805 Central Florida by 25- Confidence:1

810 Toronto Blue Jays - Confidence:1

810 Detroit Tigers- Both of these pitchers are great. But surprisingly Shield has some pretty high home numbers. He has struggled against Detroit in the past. I got Detroit winning here because Sanchez has usually done well against the Royals. Tigers have some good averages against Shields. Confidence:3

815 St. Louis Cardinals- This is a huge series for both teams. Both teams are in a bit of a slump. But given how the Cardinals have played recently and in particular against the Pirates this year. I think this is their game to lose tonight. I sound like a broken record because Kelly gets no love from the odds makers once again. This kid is a stud and I have been saying it for 2 years now. Kelly has done really well against the Pirates this year and is 7-0 in his last 10 starts. Burnett is always solid but has had some bad game against the Cardinals in his history. But given this should be  a low scoring game I have to give an edge here to the better pitcher recently in Kelly. I got the Cards winning 4-3 tonight. Confidence:2

930 Mexico by 2- Confidence:1

950 No- I like this pick just because I could easily see 1 team not scoring a touchdown. Confidence:2

1000 United States- Confidence:3

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:2

1010 Tampa Bay Rays- Confidence:3

1010 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

1015 Arizona Diamondbacks - Corbin is a stud. Even though he has struggled against the Giants before I cant pick against him here. The Giants struggle hitting lefties. Petit is solid but the Diamondbacks are a better team. Confidence:3

SFTC Picks for Thursday 9/5

Monthly Path (10-11)
Finland DD
135 or fewer
Any other Result
Baltimore Orioles
No Neither

Trap Picks (9-12)


830 Finland DD- Sweden has a couple NBA players. But going off of their previous performance they could be in trouble against a solid Finland team. Confidence:1

1145 135 or fewer- the odds are set at 135.5. I think given that Germany is a big favorite that they could have a lead late in the game and let the clock run. So I like the under here. Confidence:2

1200 Hungary - Confidence:1

1210 Bryan/Bryan 2-0 - Confidence:2

150 Any Other Result ( Warwrinka) - I was really impressed with Warwrinka when he played against Berdych but mainly his serve. There is no doubt Murray should and will win this match. But these 2 have played before and Warwrinka has been able to steal a set from Murray. Murray sometimes gets off to slow starts so if he does tomorrow this could be an easy green. Confidence:3

300 Italy- Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- Both of these teams are really hot. Would expect a long game with a lot of runs. I would lean towards the Yankees here just because Peavy has never beat the Yankees before. Confidence:1

705 Baltimore Orioles-Orioles bats are cold and struggle against lefties. But they need this game a lot more and are a better team than Chicago. Only thing holding me back is Gonzalez is really struggled in his last couple starts. Confidence:2

710 Cincinnati Reds- This is a tough game to predict because of how competitive this series is. Cardinals are always dangerous with their lineup but the Reds play well at home. I would lean the Reds here just because I think Cingrani is better than Lynn. Lynn has had some shaky games against the Reds in his career. But given the leadership on the Cardinals team I could see them being more motivated to get a split in Cincinnati. I think the money line is a little too high on the Reds but its tough for me to pick against them at home. Confidence:2

735 East Carolina by 20- Confidence:1

815 Yes Youzhny wins 3 games- This pick is probably going to surprise some people given Novaks dominance. But I think Youzhny is more than capable of winning 3 games in every set just because of his serve. He played Novak tough in their matchups. I don't see him winning a set. But I could see a scenario where Novak lets him get a game in a set because so he could finish on serve. This will be Novaks toughest challenge yet in the tournament. I don't think Youzhny wins more than 4 in a set but steals 3 in every one. Confidence:2

840 Ravens points from field goals- This should be a good game despite how many players the Ravens have lost. Even though a lot of their key players on defense left I still think they will have a top defense. I think the Ravens will be able to keep this game close and wont be able to finish off a lot of drives. So it wouldn't surprise me if they kicked 3 or 4 field goals here. But given how good the Broncos offense is this year they could easily score enough points to cover that. Confidence:2

841 Thomas or No TD- My thought is the Broncos have so many weapons on offense so I don't think the ball has to go to Thomas. Another thought is the Broncos like to run the ball a lot in the red zone and near the goal line. So why is there to say that Manning defiantly has a TD in the first half. I still think he gets 1 and goes to someone else. Confidence:2

1010 No Neither- Just a simple odds play given 2 good defenses. Confidence:3

1015 Arizona Diamondbacks- I just think the Diamondbacks have more to play for since they are still technically in the wild card race. Confidence:2

SFTC Picks for Wednesday 9/4

Monthly Path (7-8)
Roberta Vinci
Arizona Diamondbacks
Azarenka 1st set
4 or 5
-UFC
Los Angeles Angels

Trap Picks (9-12)


1210 Roberta Vinci- I would recommend not picking this just based on their rankings. Pennetta is a solid player. Most odds sites have this as a complete toss up and I agree. I think Vinci is the better hard court player and is my reasoning for this pick. Confidence:1

200 Any Other Result (gasquet)- I think the most likely result tomorrow is Ferrer wins in 4 sets. Ferrer is a much better sand player but has been doing well on the hard courts. I think he steals 1 set tomorrow. Confidence:2

210 Houston Astros- I just trust Lyles more here at home. Confidence:2

335 Texas Rangers- Confidence:2

340 Arizona Diamondbacks- I would be absolutely shocked if they lost game. Confidence:5

640 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

705 Washington Nationals- Confidence:3

705 Baltimore Orioles- Confidence:2

707 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:1

708 No 3 runs- Confidence:1

710 Azarenka 1st set games- Confidence:1

710 St. Louis Cardinals- Confidence:2

840 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:2

845 4 or 5- Confidence:1

1005 Chivas USA- Confidence:1

1005 Los Angeles Angels- Confidence:3

Check out my pick/writeup under the UFC Predictions tab.
1030

SFTC Picks for Tuesday 9/3

Monthly Path (6-4)
19 games or more
Li Na
No
5 or more
Arizona Diamondbacks

Trap Picks (9-11)
Pittsburgh Pirates


I might research some of the baseball games I like a little more but for the most part I wouldn't change too much. Diamondbacks are my pick of the day.


1110 19 games or more- Ivanonvic has given Azarenka trouble in the past. But the way Azarenka has been playing its hard to not think she could win both sets 6-3. I think Azarenka wins in straight sets tomorrow and just hope Ivanovic wins enough games. Confidence:2

1230 Li Na wins 2-0 - Far better player. Odds are pretty high here. Confidence:3

235 No- I think this pick is pretty much a toss up. Not doubt Novak wins in straight sets. But have to wonder will he really want to dominate tomorrow. He is more than capable of doing it but I think odds would say Marcel should be able to win 2 games in all sets. Confidence:1

245 Sligo- Confidence:1

705 Washington Nationals- Gio is solid and Nationals need this game to have any chance at the playoffs. Confidence:3

705 Cleveland Indians- Confidence:1

705 New York Yankees- I don't have that much confidence in this pick because of the Kuroda has been pitching. Plus anything is possible in Yankee stadium. Confidence:2

710 Cincinnati Reds- Confidence:2

710 5 or more- Confidence:1

710 No Scherzer doesn't get win- Confidence:2

710 Detroit Tigers- Confidence:1

805 Miami Marlins- Confidence:1

810 Milwaukee Brewers- Gallardo is always solid at home. Even though the Pirates have already beat him at home this year. I think he will be able to slow down the Pirates bats. I think Cole could really struggle here. He has been a little shaky recently so I don't trust him on the road. Confidence:3

810 Houston Astros- Confidence:2

840 Los Angeles Dodgers- Confidence:1

940 Arizona Diamondbacks- Miley has been solid all year. I sound like a broken record but the Diamondbacks cant afford to lose another game here at home. Especially with 1 of their better hitters on the mound. Confidence:4

1005 Oakland Athletics- Colon is a stud and the Athletics hit lefties really well. Confidence:3

1005 Tampa Bay Rays - They need this game so much more. Moore is an ace. Rays don't hit lefties that well but the Angels are not a good lefties hitting team. Vargas pitched well in his last outing but I just don't trust him. Confidence:3

1010 San Diego Padres- Confidence:1

SFTC Picks for Monday 9/2

Monthly Path (4-2)
Jablonec
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh TD
Tampa Bay Rays

Trap Picks (9-11)


Hope everyone is excited to start a new month on SFTC. There will now be $300,000 up for grabs if anyone can win 27 in a row in September.
I started a group on SFTC and if anyone is interested in joining let me know. I wont turn anyone down but I am just trying to prevent any trolls from joining. If you want your friends to join feel free to let them know. Good luck to everyone in the new month.


1200 Jablonec - I got this as 50-50 between Jablonec winning and a draw. Jablonec has played well in their own league but as struggled in the European league. They just lost to 6-0 to Betis. I would look for them not to be happy and bounce back with a win here. They have own the series at home. Confidence:1

210 Seattle Mariners- Hernandez will be coming off 1 of his worst starts in his career. He usually does well against the Royals. I think he bounces back with a solid outing here. Duffy is 2nd year player who hasn't had a lot of starts experience. The reasons I don't like this pick more is because I don't trust the Mariners at all. I mean how can you if theres a pretty good chance that King Feliz could pitch amazing and might not get more than 2 runs for support. The Mariners don't hit lefties well but I just hope they can give King Felix enough runs today. Confidence:2

210 Houston Astros- Total toss up here. Cant trust the Twins at all without Mauer or Morneau. Confidence:1

210 Pittsburgh Pirates- Morton is one of the hardest pitchers for me to predict. He has struggled against the Brewers in his career. The Pirates before this year could almost never win in Milwaukee. This year is different because they are a different team. Funny that this might be the best baseball play in the afternoon. I just have a hard time as a Pirate fan to think they can win in Milwaukee. Thornburg is mainly a relief pitcher who has made some starts. I would lean on the Pirates to win this game because they are the better team and because Thornburg doesn't have a ton of starting experience. Confidence:2

220 Chicago Cubs- Wood is always tough at Wrigley. But I am big fan of Alvarez even though he has really been struggling his last couple starts. Wood has pitched against the Marlins 3 times in his career and 2 of those outings he gave up at least 7 runs. Confidence:2

300 Estoril - They are the much better team and are on fire considering how they played in their last couple games. I could see a draw here but I cant pick a game banking on the draw especially against a superior team. Only thing that concerns me is Estoril played only a few days ago in the Europe League and could be fatigued. But I still got them winning this game. Confidence:3

340 San Diego Padres- I don't trust either team or either pitcher. The money line Padres is too high to pass on them here. Confidence:2

405 Texas Rangers- I think they are more likely to win this game even though they haven't been great in day games. Holland has been 1 of the hotter pitchers in the game recently. Both teams are playing really well of late. Oakland needs this series more being the home team. I don't trust Straily who has struggled against the Rangers in his career. I just think the Rangers are the better team and cant pick against Holland who is 5-0 in his last nine starts against Oakland. Confidence:2

410 Arizona Diamondbacks- They just need this game more. McCarthy is a little inconsistent and hard to predict at time. But he generally pitches better at home. Rogers used to play for Colorado so he pitched against Arizona before. I have to think Arizona finds a way to win this game. Confidence:3

805 Florida ST by double digits- I think this has to be the better play. For someone who has followed Pitt the last couple of years I think there program could be headed in the wrong direction. They have a solid defense where the return 9 starters. They have solid play makers on the offensive side of the ball. But I don't think they'll be able to match Florida ST athleticism. Florida ST lost a good bit of starters but I think their underclassmen are so much more talented than Pitts. Confidence:3

806 Pittsburgh- I am thinking the first half could be a little low scoring. I think too many things could happen for Florida St to score twice before Pittsburgh. I am thinking the first half is around 16-6. SO it will just a matter if Florida ST will be able to capitalize on their drives. Confidence:2

905 Tampa Bay Rays- These 2 pitchers went head to head about a week ago. Tampa Bay won 4-1. Archer has been on fire recently. Richards has been better but has been inconsistent and can struggle at times. Both of these teams are heading in opposite directions. Tampa 3-7 and LA 8-2 in their last 10. But Tampa Bay lost a lot of close games to good teams. Even though LA is hot and riding a 4 game win streak. I cant pick against the Rays here. I think they have to win this game and well have a great shot with Archer on the hill. Confidence:3

950 25 or more- A lot depends on how the first half goes but I would lean towards the over in the 2nd half. I think the offenses could struggle in the first half then open it up more in the 2nd half. Confidence:2